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Very long thread, so if this is a repeat, sorry. If you have plateau'ed for a month or so and you have been tracking your intake accurately and religiously, then you know FOR A FACT what your BMR+TDEE is - that is the answer. That is better than any calculated estimate. For every 500 calories/day you subtract from that…
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How long have you been at the current intake? When I calculate your BMR with the simplistic calculator on mfp, I get more like 2100 cals for a guy like you. I think that is the fundamental error in your calculation.