Start at the high end of moderate for a few weeks, if you start losing then you know, if nothing then increase to active level and try there for a few weeks (if nothing there increase to higher calories).. your weekends are pretty intense.

I did glance at your diary, you may want to try getting some more protein in there and stuff.. I know people lose weight eating all that stuff you are.. but if you don't see any progress you may want to change your menu. And I use Scooby's calculator.

I'd actually suggest that trying to spread out the big calorie burn day to all week doesn't work well in the long run (pun intended). You really need those extra calories post workout on those hard days, before your next workout.

I'd suggest count 1 hr of the days in to the TDEE estimate level, so 4 hrs - Moderately Active.

Then on days the workout goes over 1 hr, eat back the extra on those days, with the same 15% deficit.
So if the long run burned 1500 calories in 3 hrs, that's 2 hrs or 1000 eat-back, less 15%, so 850 cal extra that day, mainly after the workout.
Yes that seems like a lot, but it should be no problem, that's only 4 Clif bars, 2 of them after the workout, and slightly bigger dinner. Or bar and cup of chocolate milk - great recovery because both have carb:protein ratio of 4:1, which is best for recovery.

The difference between fat2fit and Scooby is fat2fit uses least accurate Harris BMR as foundation to math, Scooby uses Mifflin, or you can get bodyfat estimate and use Katch BMR.

Or you can use this for all in one place and track progress, get HRM tab setup to see best estimate of calorie burns and HR zone ranges, ect.
http://www.myfitnesspal.com/topics/show/961054-spreadsheet-for-bodyfat-bmr-tdee-progress-tracker