MFP's 5 week prediction

cchild2

When you complete your daily food/exercise log, does anyone pay attention to the... "If every day were like today... You'd weigh xxx.x lbs in 5 weeks"

I started plotting this prediction vs my actual weight to see how accurate it is. Won't know for at least 4 weeks.

Curious if anyone has done this already?

juliegetshealthy

I have always wondered but haven't checked it out. Will be interesting to see what you find out.

TheTrophyWife

The first day I completed my diary, it stated I would weigh 299 in five weeks. Next week is week 5. Currently my "broken" scale says I'm 305.1. Unless something really big happens, I don't think it's very accurate. Then again, I don't eat on weekends so that may affect my outcome.

hrosent1

It's never been accurate for me, simply because: the likelihood that every day is going to be exactly the same for the next 5 weeks is absolutely zero. It's a fun motivator to think about how much you theoretically could lose, but don't put any stock in it.

TheTrophyWife

hrosent1 wrote: »

It's never been accurate for me, simply because: the likelihood that every day is going to be exactly the same for the next 5 weeks is absolutely zero. It's a fun motivator to think about how much you theoretically could lose, but don't put any stock in it.

That's a good point. Sometimes I try to repeat meals but my activity definitely doesn't get repeated.

sljohnson1207

hrosent1 wrote: »

It's never been accurate for me, simply because: the likelihood that every day is going to be exactly the same for the next 5 weeks is absolutely zero. It's a fun motivator to think about how much you theoretically could lose, but don't put any stock in it.

What she said^^

cchild2

I'm comparing the 7 day average of my weight vs the 7 day average of my MFP prediction, to smooth out the noise.