The same is better than up - and being here checking in is best!

You are so determined ABD! You go, girl!

Height: 5'9 / Age: 39

Highest Weight (May 22 2019): 276.8 lbs
Started MFP for the 3rd time Oct 27 2021
Oct 31 2021 Weight 258.6 lbs
Nov 30 2021 Weight 251.4 lbs
Dec 31 2021 Weight 242.4 lbs

LW 1/18/22: 236.4 lbs
CW 1/19/22: 235.2 lbs
Loss: 1.2 lbs

Loss from 10/31/21 = 23.4 lbs
Loss from HW = 41.6 lbs

Obese Class I BMI (237 lbs) goal met 1/14/2022
Overweight BMI (203 lbs) lose 32.2 lbs
Healthy BMI (169 lbs) lose 66.2 lbs
Goal (145 lbs) lose 90.2 lbs

PAV - I'm just trying to keep a deficit at this point. Any deficit. Loosely aiming at 1650 calories a day - but trying to stay cool about it all so I don't go all wingy. These past few days walking has been way down so 1650 calories a day will give me somewhere near 300-400 calorie deficit. More walking - higher deficit - and I might perhaps eat more? Trying not to be hungry - but to eat wisely.

Laurie your plan seems solid enough and workable! Especially the "wisely" part.

ABD @Americanbabydoll you're doing an excellent job so far, woohoo!

And the first few months (I believe it is usually considered--as a general average--the first 5 or 6 months) people can often push a bit harder than they can push longer term without too many side effects;

Of course, with a lot of weight to lose, the game lasts years not months!

I don't know your previous history with diets and such. And what may have contributed to you discontinuing managing your weight in the past.

I did sort of notice your January numbers, and you confirmed it based on your trending app. And the quick spreadsheet I just did also confirms it.

So I am just letting you know that your numbers are saying that you're increasing your effective deficit as you're moving along. This may be something you're doing consciously, or something you're doing unconsciously.

If unconsciously, you may want to start considering the total size of your deficit as a percent of your TDEE and at what % levels you may want to manage that at moving forward.

Part of (my) "insight" (and others may of course have different insights) is that many dieters attempt to over-restrict.
And there is a honeymoon period during which we can do that.
But then reactions can set in pretty hard often leading to discontinuing the effort.
The problem actually being much more closely associated to the over-restriction than to anything else.
over-restriction both in terms of total calories and in terms of what is "allowed" to be consumed

Of course your fitbit will not (always) be super accurate.
But assuming that it is totally useless is guaranteed to be more wrong than assuming it is SOMEWHAT in the ballpark.
And it is fairly easy to double check on it.

You've had your logging over the past two to three months right? You know your total calories-in as logged.
You've had your fitbit and you can go and export on a monthly basis your calories-out, according to fitbit. (I can help you find the info if you don't know how)
You know your weight change and that it is "worth" 3500 Cal of difference per lb of weight change (more or less; but hey, 3500 is good enough for government work!)
You have a long enough time period and you can also use your weight trend to avoid skewing your estimates with spurious water weight changes.

Therefore you can estimate an approximate error for your [individualized logging+particular fitbit] combination!

I was lucky and things were pretty spot on for me, but even if they aren't you can get something more actionable than "I don't trust it"

Some progress this week.

Age: 41
Height: 166cm - 5'5''
SW: 177.8 kg - 392 lb - 64.5 ΒΜΙ (May 2020)
GW: 68.7 kg - 151.5 lb - 24.9 ΒΜΙ

LW: 86.7 kg - 191.1 lb - 31.5 ΒΜΙ
CW: 86.1 kg - 189.8 lb - 31.2 ΒΜΙ
Variance: -0.6 kg / -1.3 lb / -0.69% TBW

OL: 91.7 kg - 202.2 lb - 33.3 BMI - 51.6% TBW in 645 days

Weight class projections:
Obese class II: Reached - 21.05.2021 - 401 days.
Obese class I: Reached - 25.09.2021 - 526 days.
Overweight: 3.6 kg - 7.9 lb - 25 days.
Normal: 17.4 kg - 38.3 lb - 122 days.

Nicely back at it Dante and Laurie and ABD

This week's stats
SW (17/3/21): 96.0kg/211.2 lbs (BMI 40 - category 3 obese)
LW: Scale weight: 66.4 kg/146.1 lbs (BMI 27.6); Trend weight: 66.9 kg/147.3 lbs (BMI 27.8)
CW: Scale weight: 66.2 kg/145.6 lbs (BMI 27.6); Trend weight: 66.5 kg/146.5 lbs (BMI 27.7)

Down 0.5lbs for scale weight and 0.8 lbs for trend weight.

Inching downwards....