Almost at the halfway mark but....

I have lost some so far, but after starting to read the forums and seeing bmr, bmi, tdee and what not I started looking about and doing some number crunching.

First however, pics - I have tried to pick ones with the same dresses


the first one was just after I started myfitnesspal and the 2nd was almost 2 months ago - only 1kg (2pounds) more than i am now


the first one is about 6kg (13 pounds down from start) and the 2nd was from bit more than about 2 months ago


and before I started a bit below my peak weight I'm about 92kg (202 pounds)

I just plug all my numbers into MFP and trusted iit to generate a sensible calorie goal and what not. It started on 1480 I think then after I lost some weight it dropped down to 1380 and now to 1330. I did try for a little bit with it set to the 1.5 pounds a week and it made it 1200 per day but then I realised that was the absolute minimum and I tend to try and keep just under the goal so I put it back as it was.

In 5 months I have lost 14kg (30.8 pounds). Starting from peak 94kg (207pounds) down to about 80kg (176pounds). I have with that lost most of the hail damage from my reverse side as well.

I started dieting at the same time as I quit smoking because people always say you will gain weight if you quit - so I am like well I will show them I still use the nicorette gum however, it kills food cravings just as well as smoking did.

I rarely have sugar drinks, I stick to diet coke. I am not a big alcohol drinker so no issues there and I am scared of the number that come with ordinary bread so I stick with ultrathin mountain bread wraps and the little biscotte toasts which are only 36 kcal each - and I currently mostly live on those, with paté, crushed chilli or yoghurts cheese on them with great handfuls of rocket as filler, and just tend to have lots of tiny meals.

My activity level is sedentary and I am pretty generous on what I count as exercise, particularly when I am getting low on numbers and want something not so low in energy to eat. I tend to estimate what different things weigh if it's not just a single entry thing in the database, I do weigh stuff sometimes then estimate based off what I remember that weighing before and double check myself at times.

I don't real care much about the breakdown of where calories came from, as I figure if I need to be burning everything I take in since I have a deficit, it won't matter all that much. I did start making an effort to get more protein that MFP suggested as after a month into the diet I was feeling like I was falling apart, upping the protein helped with that.

My skin has been crap since I started all this, but I was reading about quitting smoking doing that to some people, and that weight loss releases female hormones stored in fat - I generally feel greasier than I did, i figure maybe it's like I am sweating out some of the fat that is mobilising itself. I started a deep cleanser like I used as a teenage and my skin has stabilised pretty much.

I was dancing a few times a week and when I work it is fairly energetic, but the dance studio has been closed and opens again soonish.

So I'm quite happy how it's been going, then I started looking at the numbers

I used http://www.bmi-calculator.net and plugged in all my numbers and came up with the following numbers and ratings;
(80kg, 31yo, F, 157cm/5'2", waist 85cm, hip 110.5cm, wrist 15.5cm, forearm 32cm)

BMI 32.19 - Obese Class 1
BMR 1566.3
Waist to Hip Ratio 0.77 - Low Risk
Body Fat Percentage 26.65% - Acceptable

So the TDEE thingy should be 1.2x BMR = 1879
Using the body fat percentage I should be 21.32kg (47pounds) fat and 58.68kg (129pounds) lean mass
so if I was aiming for the bottom end of fitness rating 20% fat - my goal should be 70kg (154pounds) not 65kg (143pounds) I currently have set.

I did originally have 70kg as the goal and then since it was going well I thought, hey I can go better than that.

What I am wondering about however is that if my BMR is 1566 - why MFP thinks 1330 is a good idea? If I have been well below BMR no wonder I have been losing weight. Since if I have understood right from reading other people's posts then I should be over the 1566 but below the 1879 TDEE?

Possibly my generous what counts as exercise, and maybe underestimating portions has meant I have been anyways and should just keep going as is. I am worried as the loss seems slower again after gaining 3 kg (6.6 pounds) after staying with grandparents over Christmas and not logging anything as my grandmother thinks dripping is good for cooking everything and all vegetable should be drowned in butter. That said I have lost what I gained and another half kilo ish in the month and a bit since, so perhaps it isn't all that slow after all I am just desperate to see the scales say below 80kg again.

Should I change goal back up from 65 because 70kg will be healthier?
Should I adjust the daily calorie goal based off the other calculations or will I be risking what has already been working?