"If every day were like today... "
Aim4skinnyjeans
Posts: 45 Member
"If every day were like today... You'd weigh _____ in 5 weeks!":
How well does MFP predict weight loss? Has anyone weighed what MFP estimated you'd weigh in 5 weeks?
(Here's to hoping that MFP predicts the future of my weight loss correctly):drinker:
How well does MFP predict weight loss? Has anyone weighed what MFP estimated you'd weigh in 5 weeks?
(Here's to hoping that MFP predicts the future of my weight loss correctly):drinker:
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Replies
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MFP tells me that I'd weigh up to 10kg lighter in 5 weeks if everyday were like today. I don't believe it.
But in saying that, every day is not like today, sadly lol.0 -
I'll let you know in 5 weeks :laugh:0
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The number changes from day to day. Sadly, I've never stuck with it all that well for long enough to really make it. Not in 5 weeks.
Thankfully, on my bad days, what it tells me I'm hopefully never going to reach again xD0 -
It's supposed to change all the time.. your "in 5 weeks" date always changes
Seems fairly accurate to me.0 -
The problem is that every day is not just like today. Your body just doesn't work that way and MFP can predict anything it wants but it probably isn't accurate.0
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I tracked this one time, I wrote the weight on the calendar and stuck with my routine, every day it changes because one day I would work out more than the other. I would do walking / elliptical 3 days and strength training at least 2 other days. the calorie burn always different in the end I did not match what it had said but i was closer than when i started.0
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this is how it works.
(today's deficit x 7 x 5)/3500 = x lbs lost
your weight in 5 weeks = current weight - x
it doesnt take into account any strength training etc.0 -
maybe... I don't remember what it said 5 weeks ago... I never thought it was meant to be taken too seriously, I don't get all "wtf MFP, Y I NO weigh wut u said I gunna!" if it's not accurate. I think it's just like a fun little thing to motivate and close out your diary for the day.0
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I think the purpose of the "In five weeks..." is not necessarily to be accurate, but more so as a motivational tool for people to stay hopeful, persistent, and dedicated. I personally haven't measured it myself, as I exercise different amounts on different days, but I bet it's probably fairly accurate! BTW anyone who wants another buddy feel free to add me as a friend! :flowerforyou:0
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I don't think its meant to be taken too seriously, I think its more of a general guideline to be used as an eye-opener.0
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For a lark, I once plugged in 1,000,000 quick add calories as my entry after a Chinese buffet dinner...
"If every day were like today, you'd weigh 10,821.6 pounds in 5 weeks".0 -
maybe... I don't remember what it said 5 weeks ago... I never thought it was meant to be taken too seriously, I don't get all "wtf MFP, Y I NO weigh wut u said I gunna!" if it's not accurate. I think it's just like a fun little thing to motivate and close out your diary for the day.
:laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:0 -
You all should, just for the fun of it, check what it says you will be in 5 weeks and set a reminder on your calendar to compare the weight with the predicted weight.0
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I don't find it helpful at all. I'd find it more helpful if it took account of your calories and exercise and weight over a longer period (a week or a fortnight say) and gave you a sensible projection "You're on target to lose this amount by x date". The "if every day were like today" prediction is nonsense and I think it encourages people to eat less and less.0
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For a lark, I once plugged in 1,000,000 quick add calories as my entry after a Chinese buffet dinner...
"If every day were like today, you'd weigh 10,821.6 pounds in 5 weeks".
:laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:
at least they were optimistic that you wouldn't die.0 -
congrats on losing almost 40lbs.....0
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I absolutely love it, and I compete with it. I try to prove it wrong.
I don't require it to have the powers of God. it doesn't have to be prescient. It just has to be motivational.
which it is.
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There's no point unless every day in between was identical.You all should, just for the fun of it, check what it says you will be in 5 weeks and set a reminder on your calendar to compare the weight with the predicted weight.0 -
Well im mad because the first time i did it, i was 10 pounds off, well thats when i was underestimating my calories for a whole month.. now i did it again, and i did make it but i was 5 days early. but it is fun to see that thing give me hope everyday, ,wow to see a number on a scale that i will not have seen in years!!! it is fun to see that number so low.0
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Well, i like it. Sure, if you exercise like crazy that day and don't eat like crazy - it will give you an unrealistic number.
But i decided to record it everyday about 6 weeks ago, so i check it now, and Ok - its not right on everyday - but if i look at it for
2 or 3 days - 5 weeks ago - its been right on! One of those 3 days is my normal workout and calorie intake - so Yes - it works pretty well and its fun to see that low number on my heavy exercise days!0 -
I've been tracking it, just for fun. I think it's more of a "this is about the area you should be in 5 weeks" kind of thing. Anyway, here's what mine looks like (in the () is the date of the actual weight and --XX-- was my actual weight):
7/5 195.2 in 5 weeks (8/9) --194.0--
7/6 194.3 in 5 weeks (8/10) --193.6--
7/7 195.4 in 5 weeks (8/11) --193.2--
7/8 194.0 in 5 weeks (8/12) --193.8--
7/9 193.1 in 5 weeks (8/13) --192.0--
7/10 193.5 in 5 weeks (8/14)--192.6--
7/11 192.9 in 5 weeks (8/15)--192.0--
7/12 192.2 in 5 weeks (8/16)--192.6--
7/13 192.1 in 5 weeks (8/17)--192.4--
7/14 193.1 in 5 weeks (8/18)--192.0--
7/15 193.1 in 5 weeks (8/19)--191.4--
7/16 193.1 in 5 weeks (8/20)--191.4--
7/17 192.8 in 5 weeks (8/21)--191.8--
7/18 191.1 in 5 weeks (8/22)--191.4--
7/19 191.7 in 5 weeks (8/23)--191.8--
7/20 191.1 in 5 weeks (8/24)--190.4--
7/21 189.9 in 5 weeks (8/25)--191.0--
7/22 189.7 in 5 weeks (8/26)--190.4--
7/23 190.2 in 5 weeks (8/27)--190.8--
7/24 188.6 in 5 weeks (8/28)--190.0--
7/25 189 in 5 weeks (8/29) --189.6--
7/26 186.8 in 5 weeks (8/30)--188.8--
7/27 186.4 in 5 weeks (8/31)--189.4--
7/28 190.2 in 5 weeks (9/1)--190.4--
7/29 186.2 in 5 weeks (9/2)--189.8--
7/30 187.4 in 5 weeks (9/3)--191.0--
7/21 188.3 in 5 weeks (9/4)--190.8--
8/1 187.6 in 5 weeks (9/5)--190.2--
8/2 188.1 in 5 weeks (9/6)--191.0--
8/3 187.1 in 5 weeks (9/7)--190.2--
8/4 187.3 in 5 weeks (9/8)--190.2--
8/5 186.6 in 5 weeks (9/9)--189.0--
8/6 185.5 in 5 weeks (9/10)--188.4--
8/7 185.2 in 5 weeks (9/11)--188.2--
8/8 186.1 in 5 weeks (9/12)--188.8--
8/9 185.1 in 5 weeks (9/13)--187.6--
8/10 186.0 in 5 weeks (9/14)--188.0--
8/11 187.4 in 5 weeks (9/15)--187.4--
8/12 184.5 in 5 weeks (9/16)--188.4--
8/13 183.4 in 5 weeks (9/17)--188.4--
8/14 184.2 in 5 weeks (9/18)--188.0--
8/15 184.2 in 5 weeks (9/19)--187.4--
8/16 184.1 in 5 weeks (9/20)--186.8--
8/17 184.8 in 5 weeks (9/21)--185.8--
8/18 184.9 in 5 weeks (9/22)--186.2--
8/19 184.3 in 5 weeks (9/23)--186.0--
8/20 184.6 in 5 weeks (9/24)--186.2--
8/21 184.3 in 5 weeks (9/25)--185.2--
8/22 183.0 in 5 weeks (9/26)--185.2--
8/23 181.4 in 5 weeks (9/27)--184.8--
8/24 181.7 in 5 weeks (9/28)--184.8--
8/25 181.1 in 5 weeks (9/29)--185.0--
8/26 182.1 in 5 weeks (9/30)--185.0--
8/27 182.6 in 5 weeks (10/1)--185.0--
8/28 180.2 in 5 weeks (10/2)--183.4--
8/29 182.3 in 5 weeks (10/3)--183.4--
I think it's beyond interesting to see, lol. But other than that, it should be taken with a grain of salt and not to be obsessed over. Like I said, I track it for fun. 0 -
When I set it up for a slight deficit, i.e. slow weight loss, it was constantly telling me I'd gain weight. I didn't... I lost weight (slowly, as intended)
not tracked for quite a while as I've recently done a bulk. In any case, it underestimates how many calories I need to eat, and I completely ignore it's "if every day were like today" statement. The calculator is based on averages, not everyone is average. A calculator gives you a starting point for your calorie goal, but you may need to adjust it upwards or downwards based on real world results.0 -
I've been tracking it, just for fun. I think it's more of a "this is about the area you should be in 5 weeks" kind of thing. Anyway, here's what mine looks like (in the () is the date of the actual weight and --XX-- was my actual weight):
7/5 195.2 in 5 weeks (8/9) --194.0--
7/6 194.3 in 5 weeks (8/10) --193.6--
7/7 195.4 in 5 weeks (8/11) --193.2--
7/8 194.0 in 5 weeks (8/12) --193.8--
7/9 193.1 in 5 weeks (8/13) --192.0--
7/10 193.5 in 5 weeks (8/14)--192.6--
7/11 192.9 in 5 weeks (8/15)--192.0--
7/12 192.2 in 5 weeks (8/16)--192.6--
7/13 192.1 in 5 weeks (8/17)--192.4--
7/14 193.1 in 5 weeks (8/18)--192.0--
7/15 193.1 in 5 weeks (8/19)--191.4--
7/16 193.1 in 5 weeks (8/20)--191.4--
7/17 192.8 in 5 weeks (8/21)--191.8--
7/18 191.1 in 5 weeks (8/22)--191.4--
7/19 191.7 in 5 weeks (8/23)--191.8--
7/20 191.1 in 5 weeks (8/24)--190.4--
7/21 189.9 in 5 weeks (8/25)--191.0--
7/22 189.7 in 5 weeks (8/26)--190.4--
7/23 190.2 in 5 weeks (8/27)--190.8--
7/24 188.6 in 5 weeks (8/28)--190.0--
7/25 189 in 5 weeks (8/29) --189.6--
7/26 186.8 in 5 weeks (8/30)--188.8--
7/27 186.4 in 5 weeks (8/31)--189.4--
7/28 190.2 in 5 weeks (9/1)--190.4--
7/29 186.2 in 5 weeks (9/2)--189.8--
7/30 187.4 in 5 weeks (9/3)--191.0--
7/21 188.3 in 5 weeks (9/4)--190.8--
8/1 187.6 in 5 weeks (9/5)--190.2--
8/2 188.1 in 5 weeks (9/6)--191.0--
8/3 187.1 in 5 weeks (9/7)--190.2--
8/4 187.3 in 5 weeks (9/8)--190.2--
8/5 186.6 in 5 weeks (9/9)--189.0--
8/6 185.5 in 5 weeks (9/10)--188.4--
8/7 185.2 in 5 weeks (9/11)--188.2--
8/8 186.1 in 5 weeks (9/12)--188.8--
8/9 185.1 in 5 weeks (9/13)--187.6--
8/10 186.0 in 5 weeks (9/14)--188.0--
8/11 187.4 in 5 weeks (9/15)--187.4--
8/12 184.5 in 5 weeks (9/16)--188.4--
8/13 183.4 in 5 weeks (9/17)--188.4--
8/14 184.2 in 5 weeks (9/18)--188.0--
8/15 184.2 in 5 weeks (9/19)--187.4--
8/16 184.1 in 5 weeks (9/20)--186.8--
8/17 184.8 in 5 weeks (9/21)--185.8--
8/18 184.9 in 5 weeks (9/22)--186.2--
8/19 184.3 in 5 weeks (9/23)--186.0--
8/20 184.6 in 5 weeks (9/24)--186.2--
8/21 184.3 in 5 weeks (9/25)--185.2--
8/22 183.0 in 5 weeks (9/26)--185.2--
8/23 181.4 in 5 weeks (9/27)--184.8--
8/24 181.7 in 5 weeks (9/28)--184.8--
8/25 181.1 in 5 weeks (9/29)--185.0--
8/26 182.1 in 5 weeks (9/30)--185.0--
8/27 182.6 in 5 weeks (10/1)--185.0--
8/28 180.2 in 5 weeks (10/2)--183.4--
8/29 182.3 in 5 weeks (10/3)--183.4--
I think it's beyond interesting to see, lol. But other than that, it should be taken with a grain of salt and not to be obsessed over. Like I said, I track it for fun.
Very cool and fun to look at. Congrats on all the great weight loss!0 -
I'll let you know in 5 weeks :laugh:
Ha Ha! That;s funny!! :happy: :laugh: :laugh: :happy:
I am wondering if that is something MFP tells us to keep us motivated? Just a thought...0 -
For a lark, I once plugged in 1,000,000 quick add calories as my entry after a Chinese buffet dinner...
"If every day were like today, you'd weigh 10,821.6 pounds in 5 weeks".
:laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:
at least they were optimistic that you wouldn't die.
Lol true!! :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:0 -
I was curious about this five weeks ago, so I zipped ahead and put the estimate in my food notes for give weeks in the future. It turns out the future is tomorrow, and I weigh three pounds less than the estimate. Pretty close!0
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And now I'm vaguely worried I will gain three pounds overnight.0
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ha! I'm sure someone will fail to get the joke, but I chuckledAnd now I'm vaguely worried I will gain three pounds overnight.
the "in 5 weeks" thing is just an estimate that measures your deficit for today and multiplies it by 35, and divides by 3500... subtracting the result from your current weight. Someone else posted that formula upthread. It is no more, and no less than that formula applied. I think it's a good motivator.0 -
And now I'm vaguely worried I will gain three pounds overnight.
:laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:
Did you? 0
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