"If every day were like today... "

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"If every day were like today... You'd weigh _____ in 5 weeks!":

How well does MFP predict weight loss? Has anyone weighed what MFP estimated you'd weigh in 5 weeks?

(Here's to hoping that MFP predicts the future of my weight loss correctly):drinker:
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Replies

  • Jessica_Mujahidah
    Jessica_Mujahidah Posts: 40 Member
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    MFP tells me that I'd weigh up to 10kg lighter in 5 weeks if everyday were like today. I don't believe it.

    But in saying that, every day is not like today, sadly lol.
  • DiaryofaMadFatMan
    DiaryofaMadFatMan Posts: 131 Member
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    I'll let you know in 5 weeks :laugh:
  • krokador
    krokador Posts: 1,794 Member
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    The number changes from day to day. Sadly, I've never stuck with it all that well for long enough to really make it. Not in 5 weeks.

    Thankfully, on my bad days, what it tells me I'm hopefully never going to reach again xD
  • ChrisM32205
    ChrisM32205 Posts: 218 Member
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    It's supposed to change all the time.. your "in 5 weeks" date always changes :smile:

    Seems fairly accurate to me.
  • Mokey41
    Mokey41 Posts: 5,769 Member
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    The problem is that every day is not just like today. Your body just doesn't work that way and MFP can predict anything it wants but it probably isn't accurate.
  • KellyBundyRalph
    KellyBundyRalph Posts: 8 Member
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    I tracked this one time, I wrote the weight on the calendar and stuck with my routine, every day it changes because one day I would work out more than the other. I would do walking / elliptical 3 days and strength training at least 2 other days. the calorie burn always different in the end I did not match what it had said but i was closer than when i started.
  • zorbaru
    zorbaru Posts: 1,077 Member
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    this is how it works.

    (today's deficit x 7 x 5)/3500 = x lbs lost

    your weight in 5 weeks = current weight - x

    it doesnt take into account any strength training etc.
  • sweet_blasphemy
    sweet_blasphemy Posts: 129 Member
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    maybe... I don't remember what it said 5 weeks ago... I never thought it was meant to be taken too seriously, I don't get all "wtf MFP, Y I NO weigh wut u said I gunna!" if it's not accurate. I think it's just like a fun little thing to motivate and close out your diary for the day.
  • omariea
    omariea Posts: 11
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    I think the purpose of the "In five weeks..." is not necessarily to be accurate, but more so as a motivational tool for people to stay hopeful, persistent, and dedicated. I personally haven't measured it myself, as I exercise different amounts on different days, but I bet it's probably fairly accurate! BTW anyone who wants another buddy feel free to add me as a friend! :flowerforyou:
  • SlimDownWithChristina
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    I don't think its meant to be taken too seriously, I think its more of a general guideline to be used as an eye-opener.
  • SkinnyBubbaGaar
    SkinnyBubbaGaar Posts: 389 Member
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    For a lark, I once plugged in 1,000,000 quick add calories as my entry after a Chinese buffet dinner...


    "If every day were like today, you'd weigh 10,821.6 pounds in 5 weeks".
  • JenzL13
    JenzL13 Posts: 27
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    maybe... I don't remember what it said 5 weeks ago... I never thought it was meant to be taken too seriously, I don't get all "wtf MFP, Y I NO weigh wut u said I gunna!" if it's not accurate. I think it's just like a fun little thing to motivate and close out your diary for the day.

    :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:
  • Losingthedamnweight
    Losingthedamnweight Posts: 535 Member
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    You all should, just for the fun of it, check what it says you will be in 5 weeks and set a reminder on your calendar to compare the weight with the predicted weight.
  • Camera_BagintheUK
    Camera_BagintheUK Posts: 707 Member
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    I don't find it helpful at all. I'd find it more helpful if it took account of your calories and exercise and weight over a longer period (a week or a fortnight say) and gave you a sensible projection "You're on target to lose this amount by x date". The "if every day were like today" prediction is nonsense and I think it encourages people to eat less and less.
  • alexsheena
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    For a lark, I once plugged in 1,000,000 quick add calories as my entry after a Chinese buffet dinner...


    "If every day were like today, you'd weigh 10,821.6 pounds in 5 weeks".

    :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:
    at least they were optimistic that you wouldn't die.
  • pytnurse
    pytnurse Posts: 10 Member
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    congrats on losing almost 40lbs.....
  • bridgie101
    bridgie101 Posts: 817 Member
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    I absolutely love it, and I compete with it. I try to prove it wrong.

    I don't require it to have the powers of God. it doesn't have to be prescient. It just has to be motivational.

    which it is. :p
  • howardheilweil
    howardheilweil Posts: 604 Member
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    You all should, just for the fun of it, check what it says you will be in 5 weeks and set a reminder on your calendar to compare the weight with the predicted weight.
    There's no point unless every day in between was identical.
  • NonnyMary
    NonnyMary Posts: 982 Member
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    Well im mad because the first time i did it, i was 10 pounds off, well thats when i was underestimating my calories for a whole month.. now i did it again, and i did make it but i was 5 days early. but it is fun to see that thing give me hope everyday, ,wow to see a number on a scale that i will not have seen in years!!! it is fun to see that number so low.
  • DianneP6772
    DianneP6772 Posts: 272 Member
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    Well, i like it. Sure, if you exercise like crazy that day and don't eat like crazy - it will give you an unrealistic number.
    But i decided to record it everyday about 6 weeks ago, so i check it now, and Ok - its not right on everyday - but if i look at it for
    2 or 3 days - 5 weeks ago - its been right on! One of those 3 days is my normal workout and calorie intake - so Yes - it works pretty well and its fun to see that low number on my heavy exercise days!