Are my calories off?

Hi everyone,

Ok, I started this new life change to finally conquer obesity about a month ago, just a little over.

In the last month I've only been using MFP to track my food for a little over 2 weeks, but my diet has stayed very consistent around the same amount of macros for a month.

Here is a bunch of math:

From what I have been able to gather from multiple sites, all of which have different numbers, but ultimately I just went with one which is IIFYM calculator using the calculations I got from other sites.

Supposedly I have the following:

TDEE = 3557
BMR = 2361
BMI = 46.24
Body Fat # = 47.80

I got that from using these measurements and facts:

Age = 28
Weight = 390lbs
Height = 6'5''

Waist size at your naval? 62 Inches
Waist size at narrowest point: 56 Inches
Hip size at widest point? 60 Inches
Neck at narrowest point? 20 Inches
Wrist circumference? 8 Inches
Forearm at largest point? 15 Inches

Given that, I have been told that I can eat 3120 calories a day and stand to lose 1 lb a week... as I should be creating an imbalance of ~500 calories a day, and assuming I only eat 2580 on Sunday, which would give me ~ 3500 calories a week below maintenance.

MFP says that I can east 3108 based on those calculations, so things seem to be consistent across all the calculators I'm using...

Again this site I'm sure assumes a lot, but it thinks I'm burning about 500 calories a workout, and when I go into the gym and I've been going for a machine or two I begin to look like I'm in the shower... I just pour sweat while I'm lifting, and I lift like crazy, not to mention I pant like a fat kid doing wind sprints...

I lift for 1 hour a day, 6 days a week, and here is my circuit:

Monday - Wednesday - Friday:

Bicep Curl = 90 Reps at 50lbs
Back Extension = 90 Reps at 170lbs
Calf Raises = 90 Reps at 230lbs
Pull Downs = 90 Reps at 90lbs
Row = 90 Reps at 90lbs
Ab Press = 90 Reps at 130lbs

Tuesday - Thursday - Saturday:

Tricep Extensions = 90 Reps at 50lbs
Hamstring Curls = 90 Reps at 110lbs
Fly = 90 Reps at 90lbs
Delts = 90 Reps at 50lbs
Squats = 90 Reps at 390lbs
Overhead Press = 90 Reps at 20lbs
Chest Press = 90 Reps at 50lbs

It takes me give or take an hour to get through both circuits doing 15 reps, then taking a small rest, then continuing until I've done 3 sets on each machine, then I repeat this.


So, we've established I'm exercising and I'm dieting... Based on what I've calculated I should be losing a pound a week and I should be down around 4 to 5 lbs total in my last month of effort.

Except I'm not down 1 single pound... I've gone up a pound in fact...

So, let's look at my macros:

In the last 16 days I have had the following macros:

Calories per day = 2684
Protein per day = 219 grams
Carbs per day = 190
Fats per day = 106

Let's assume that as consisted over the last month... That would mean I had created a deficit of 436 a day which means I should be down ~4 lbs

So, as I've written all this out I'm coming to the conclusion I've gained ~ 4 lbs of muscle / water that's offsetting what I've burned, or are my calories way off?

"Edit" I think I suck at math actually... I think the fact that I eat 2684 calories and are allowed 3100 means I'm down an additional 400 ish calories which should put me at around 1000 calories a day deficit from maintenance? I don't even know anymore /facepalm