I analyzed by MFP data since 2013 - Here's what I learned

I have been tracking in MFP since 2013 (back in high school). Albeit not super consistently, but there is still a wealth of information stored.

The purpose of this post is to share the findings from a data analysis I performed on my own data from the past near decade. If you would like me to share the excel formulas/charts and graphs I created to glean these insights - simply comment down below and I can share, or even do the analysis for you on your data.

So, I started out with the following questions to guide me:
  1. For a given day when do I usually have my first meal?
  2. For a given day how many calories do I usually have for breakfast, lunch, dinner, and snacks?
  3. How many calories did I have per day?
  4. How many grams protein per day?
  5. How many grams carbs per day?
  6. How many grams fat per day?
These questions gave me a place to start. Once diving into the numbers, I learned way more than the answers to those questions. I summarized (in my opinion) the most interesting findings from my data analysis. For context I am 5'9", African American, Female and this data is from age 14-25.

FINDINGS
  • On average I weigh 179 +/- 13 lbs. I usually start checking my weight again when I reach 191 +/- 20 lbs. I usually fall off the bandwagon when I reach 179 +/- 21 lbs. I have had bouts of weight loss/focus that last anywhere from about 4.5 years to one week. On average, I lose 13 +/- 9 lbs during each weight loss stint. For one year in particular (9/2022 to 10/2023) I was the most consistent with tracking my weight. During that year, I weighed 177 +/- 4 lbs.
  • Eat between 11 AM and 8 PM. If I were to limit calories to no more than 1900 per day consistently and control the carbs - I can control the calories. Carbs lead to overeating and excess calories (1,000+).
  • I enjoy between 0.636 and 1.14 lbs a food a day, or 288.5 and 517.1 grams. Following low carb <50g, using the high end, that leaves 467.1g for protein and fat. Aiming for 33% protein would be 170g protein (right on par with typical weight) and 297.1g left. To fill in the gap, we are approximating 113g fat to reach 1900 cals a day optimally. If I ate only protein and carbs (no fat) that would be 2,068 calories. So I can either watch fat or carbs following strictly macro manipulation. For example, to reverse, and do low fat <50g and protein stays at 170g, then fat would have to stay under 192.5g carbs to reach 1900 cals a day.


Variables to perform my analysis:
  • Start of a weight loss phase
  • End of a weight loss phase
  • Duration of a weight loss phase
  • Weight lost during a weight loss phase
  • Meal Type (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner, Snack)
  • Time of Meal
  • Calories (by Meal)
  • Number of Protein/Carbs/Fat in grams and calories (by Meal)
  • Macro Eaten in Weight (per Day)

Graphs that I created with the variables:
  • Date v. First Meal Time (line)
  • Date v. Last Meal Time (line)
  • Total Food Weight (lbs) (box & whisker)
  • Date v. Breakfast Calories (line)
  • Breakfast Total Protein/Carbs/Fat (grams) (box & whisker)
  • Date v. Lunch Calories (line)
  • Lunch Total Protein/Carbs/Fat (grams) (box & whisker)
  • Date v. Dinner Calories (line)
  • Dinner Total Protein/Carbs/Fat (grams) (box & whisker)
  • Date v. Snack Calories (line)
  • Snack Total Protein/Carbs/Fat (grams) (box & whisker)
  • Total Protein/Carbs/Fat (grams) (box & whisker)
  • Protein (grams) v. Calories (scatter plot)

*In this post I do not share the analysis of each individual graph, to keep this post from getting even longer. If this is valuable information, just comment below and I can dive into more detail about how I interpreted information from each graph.*

Conclusion:
I thought this was a fun, and informative, little experiment. I hope you enjoyed this data-driven deep dive into my MFP data, and I've given you some ideas for reflecting on your own habits. I didn't analyze exercise, notes, water, etc. because my tracking was particularly faulty there - but that would definitely be cool to analyze in the future, so I'm making a point to be more diligent moving forward.

Happy tracking!

Replies

  • Hi, that is awesome that you have so much data. Love the analysis! Something else that would be cool for you to see and would potentially provide useful data.
    Time of 1st meal with total calories eaten. (Maybe even averaged out by week) some of us think that the longer we push off our first meal the less we’ll eat throughout the day, but I think that we’ll end up compensating and eating more later, or if you really have lower calories those days, does it make you overeat other days of the week?
    Sorry about the run on!
    Just a random thought I had on this awesome data analysis!