Is this enough to reach my goal?

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I'm 5'2 195 lbs and i have hypothyroid :) is eating 1500 calories cleanly200 calories from quaker chocolate cookies or something similar, i don't know if this is considered clean though? I want to eat as cleanly as possible because my cellulite is really bad) and working out 3-5 times a week for 30-45 minutes enough? My goal is to lose inches (I want to lose weight as well of course but inches are my main concern) I've heard that the average for waist inch loss is 1 inch per 5-7 lbs for someone who's short.. So how many lbs\inches off my waist would you estimate me losing? (I know everyone's different but approximately) lol :) and what can i do to avoid sagging? Other than losing weight slowly and drinking plenty of water? and how many lbs should i start lifting? i can't seem to lift more than 2 lbs! i have no idea why :( also if you have any other tips let me know! Thanks :) xx