Realistic Half Marathon Pacing

bshedwick
bshedwick Posts: 659 Member
edited October 6 in Fitness and Exercise
So I've never run a half marathon before, and I'm signed up for 2 next year.

I just doing some longer term planning, and my first race on May 6th.

Currently my longest run (yesterday) was at 9.1 miles. I averaged a 9:48 mile pace during the run, and actually felt pretty good after it. I'm sure that I could have done another 4 miles.

I'm just trying to figure out if a 2:15 goal time is realistic.
«1

Replies

  • BackwoodsMom
    BackwoodsMom Posts: 227 Member
    I think I saw on runnersworld.com a pace calculator that took your different race paces and predicted what you could probably do for the longer runs. I know I'm in the same pace range as you and I remember seeing that 2:15 for a half was doable.
  • directorj
    directorj Posts: 537 Member
    Yup that is realistic. However just make sure that on the last 3 miles, your pace is consistent. My longest run was 10.30miles and my pace dropped by about 1-2mins a mile in the last 2 miles. But that's because it was my first long run around that distance and still in training.
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member
    If I extend that split out to the full half marathon distance, its a 2:08. I'd be more than happy with that. A few weeks ago, I was thinking 2:40 would be a realistic time for me.

    I still have a lot of training time left, so i guess i have time to get stronger.

    Thanks for the tip
  • 3dogsrunning
    3dogsrunning Posts: 27,167 Member
    According to this pace chart if you can maintain that pace, your finish time will be around 2:10, so 2:15 is very doable.
    http://runningtimes.com/Article.aspx?ArticleID=6745&PageNum=&CategoryID=

    Also, take into consideration you still have quite a bit of time left for training. I definitely think it is realistic.

    Edit - whoops, I looked at a 9:58 pace. It will be about 2:08 at 9:48
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member
    Yup that is realistic. However just make sure that on the last 3 miles, your pace is consistent. My longest run was 10.30miles and my pace dropped by about 1-2mins a mile in the last 2 miles. But that's because it was my first long run around that distance and still in training.

    Dropped as in got slower?

    I'm using Runkeeper on my iPhone with a coach that I can give a pace goal to, and it'll remind me how I'm doing. I may have to use that during my race.
  • gashinshotan
    gashinshotan Posts: 749 Member
    Wow how long have u been training? I started 1.5 months ago and ran 12.4 miles @ 10.5 pace... freaking slow... what did you do to increase your pace? Did you start at that pace from the beginning?
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member
    Wow how long have u been training? I started 1.5 months ago and ran 12.4 miles @ 10.5 pace... freaking slow... what did you do to increase your pace? Did you start at that pace from the beginning?

    I was a distance runner back in high school, so I guess I've been able to tap back into that training.

    I've been seriously running since about September (and have lost 36 pounds in the process). I'm improving my pace by doing long runs on the weekends, and doing more speed work during the week. (Interval runs on the treadmill and faster work outside). Mix in some strength work during the week.

    I definitely didnt start there. My earlier longer runs (4+ miles) were above 11 min/mile.
  • arc918
    arc918 Posts: 2,037 Member
    Wow how long have u been training? I started 1.5 months ago and ran 12.4 miles @ 10.5 pace... freaking slow... what did you do to increase your pace? Did you start at that pace from the beginning?

    If you want to speed up, you can't go out and try set a new distance record every time you run. Go run 5 or 6 miles, I be you can easily hold a 9:00 pace (or better).
  • arc918
    arc918 Posts: 2,037 Member
    Now for the original poster:

    I would try racing some 5K and 10K and then feed those times through the McMillan calculator. That can help give a good idea of realistic pace.
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member
    I'm trying to slowly increase my distance base up to near 13.1 before i do Hal Higdon's training plan starting in Feb. I'm only increasing my long runs by about 10% every time.

    I think I will take your advice and do my longer run this weekend as shorter distance, but at a faster pace.
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member
    Now for the original poster:

    I would try racing some 5K and 10K and then feed those times through the McMillan calculator. That can help give a good idea of realistic pace.

    I did a 5k at the beginning of Nov. I feel like i've made a lot of progress since then. I definitely need to find a 10K to race sometime before May 6th.
  • arc918
    arc918 Posts: 2,037 Member
    Now for the original poster:

    I would try racing some 5K and 10K and then feed those times through the McMillan calculator. That can help give a good idea of realistic pace.

    I did a 5k at the beginning of Nov. I feel like i've made a lot of progress since then. I definitely need to find a 10K to race sometime before May 6th.

    Or you can just go you out do you own 5K time trial. Warm up a mile or two, then drop the hammer!
  • arc918
    arc918 Posts: 2,037 Member
    I'm trying to slowly increase my distance base up to near 13.1 before i do Hal Higdon's training plan starting in Feb. I'm only increasing my long runs by about 10% every time.

    I think I will take your advice and do my longer run this weekend as shorter distance, but at a faster pace.

    FWIW - I totally reject all rules of thumb on increasing distance. I see that 10% one here all the time. I believe in listen to your body. If you are running 8 miles and you feel great, then you can go 9.5 or 10 miles.

    I wouldn't tell anyone to go from 5 to 8 miles in a single swoop, but I find 10% to be too restrictive at lower mileage (and perhaps at higher mileage as well). Just don't stop running on one of those rare magical "I feel great days" because you are up against a rule of thumb.

    Just my $.02
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member


    FWIW - I totally reject all rules of thumb on increasing distance. I see that 10% one here all the time. I believe in listen to your body. If you are running 8 miles and you feel great, then you can go 9.5 or 10 miles.

    I wouldn't tell anyone to go from 5 to 8 miles in a single swoop, but I find 10% to be too restrictive at lower mileage (and perhaps at higher mileage as well). Just don't stop running on one of those rare magical "I feel great days" because you are up against a rule of thumb.

    Just my $.02

    Cool. I will keep that in mind. I was thinking about going longer yesterday b/c i really felt good, but didnt want to push myself too much.
  • arc918
    arc918 Posts: 2,037 Member
    When I reject is the notion that one is "safe from injury" at one moment, then they are suddenly injury prone the moment they cross a magic number.

    Listen to your body and have fun!
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member
    Will do!
  • agthorn
    agthorn Posts: 1,844 Member
    My first half is on May 6th too! Frederick?
  • AZTrailRunner
    AZTrailRunner Posts: 1,199 Member
    I'm trying to slowly increase my distance base up to near 13.1 before i do Hal Higdon's training plan starting in Feb. I'm only increasing my long runs by about 10% every time.

    I think I will take your advice and do my longer run this weekend as shorter distance, but at a faster pace.

    FWIW - I totally reject all rules of thumb on increasing distance. I see that 10% one here all the time. I believe in listen to your body. If you are running 8 miles and you feel great, then you can go 9.5 or 10 miles.

    I wouldn't tell anyone to go from 5 to 8 miles in a single swoop, but I find 10% to be too restrictive at lower mileage (and perhaps at higher mileage as well). Just don't stop running on one of those rare magical "I feel great days" because you are up against a rule of thumb.

    Just my $.02

    Glad to hear you say this. I've always felt 10% was too restrictive as well. But then again, I seldom play by the rules.
  • bstamps12
    bstamps12 Posts: 1,184
    That's definitely a do-able time goal. My 10K PR is 58:00 and I'll be happy under 2:20 for my first half in March. I'm taking into account now that I know I'll chicken out on a few training runs on really cold days between now and then so not improving my pace too much, but doubling my distance from beginning of November to beginning of March.
  • Nikstergirl
    Nikstergirl Posts: 1,549 Member
    I highly recommend the app Runner's World Smartcoach, which you can also do online. It's a training calculator that gives you a schedule up to your race (16 weeks out) and if you follow it you WILL beat that pace, by a long shot! I used it for both my first 10k and my first half and was able to finish almost exactly when they said. You put in your current info and they do the math for you.. it's awesome!

    You're going to KILL those races... you're doing great already! I'm already planning to start training for my second half on April 7, training will start Dec 19!!!! Can't wait!
  • rodneyderrick
    rodneyderrick Posts: 483 Member
    You're kidding, right? If you're putting your heart into your running, you'll beat that time with fifteen minutes to spare.
  • Photoology
    Photoology Posts: 121 Member
    You are doing the Maryland double aren't you?
  • savlyon
    savlyon Posts: 474 Member
    Absolutely!
    When I ran mine, I averaged 10+ minute miles before my race. I ran it in 2:20 and averaged less than 10 minute miles. I would be optimistic about a time closer to 2 hours. You run faster in a race environment. Also...you obviously have time to train which means you will get faster.
    You will do great! Also, Hal Higdon's plan is awesome.
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member
    You are doing the Maryland double aren't you?

    I am doing the MD double.
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member
    Thanks for all of the encouragement and advice. I'm really looking forward to getting the real training started.
  • KLo924
    KLo924 Posts: 379 Member
    You are doing the Maryland double aren't you?

    I am doing the MD double.

    I'm signed up for the Frederick half too! :) Considering the double, but I've never been a distance runner so this is all new to me--but pretty addicting!! See you there!

    PS: I have no pace advice for you since I'm a pretty new runner (just did the Jingle All the Way 8K last weekend in DC though woot!) - but I appreciate everyone else's responses on here!
  • Emme727
    Emme727 Posts: 92 Member
    I'm trying to slowly increase my distance base up to near 13.1 before i do Hal Higdon's training plan starting in Feb. I'm only increasing my long runs by about 10% every time.

    I think I will take your advice and do my longer run this weekend as shorter distance, but at a faster pace.
    I LOVE hal higdon's training plans!

    I used to train by the idea of "train at the pace you want to race." Longer runs may be slower at first, but I would make sure that my shorter runs were of a faster pace -- thus my body knew the pace. As my mileage would increase, I would increase my pace i.e. 5 mile runs may be race pace at first and 10 mile runs would be slower. Increase to 6-7 mile runs at race pace and 12 at slower, until you build up.

    Of course, I would add some faster slower runs into the mix after a while too. But you have a long time until May!

    When I was racing, I would sometimes wear a wrist band with my pace times. When I would hit a mile marker, I knew if I was on pace or not. The first few miles are easy to run too fast -- the adrenaline and pace of the crowd around you.
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member

    I'm signed up for the Frederick half too! :) Considering the double, but I've never been a distance runner so this is all new to me--but pretty addicting!! See you there!

    PS: I have no pace advice for you since I'm a pretty new runner (just did the Jingle All the Way 8K last weekend in DC though woot!) - but I appreciate everyone else's responses on here!

    Good luck training for the Frederick one. I've heard lots of good stuff about the race. Not too hilly, and the community is pretty supportive.
  • bshedwick
    bshedwick Posts: 659 Member

    I used to train by the idea of "train at the pace you want to race." Longer runs may be slower at first, but I would make sure that my shorter runs were of a faster pace -- thus my body knew the pace.

    I am definitely doing speed work during the week. Interval and tempo runs are the norm for me.
  • stingrayinfl
    stingrayinfl Posts: 284 Member
    You will improve between now and the runs. You will surprise your self.
This discussion has been closed.