On the topic of how weight actually declines.

BearJuden

So, I weighed myself recently, and something weird happened. About a week and a half ago, I weighed 200 pounds. Since then, my calorie intake has been less than my metabolism each day (except one, I think)-not necessarily at my goal every day, but low enough that I would be losing weight. Now, my weight says 203.

Where is the discrepancy between projected weight loss and actual weight loss? Because I've been finding the projection horribly inaccurate. How do I know what I actually have to do to lose weight?

SideSteel

So, I weighed myself recently, and something weird happened. About a week and a half ago, I weighed 200 pounds. Since then, my calorie intake has been less than my metabolism each day (except one, I think)-not necessarily at my goal every day, but low enough that I would be losing weight. Now, my weight says 203.

Where is the discrepancy between projected weight loss and actual weight loss? Because I've been finding the projection horribly inaccurate. How do I know what I actually have to do to lose weight?

Fluid weight can mask change in non fluid weight.
Caloric needs are estimated and often wrong.
Caloric expenditure is estimated and often wrong.
Caloric intake is estimated and often wrong.

And the bold items on the above list, IMO, are the biggest factors.

tigersword

^What he said.

cbeutler

Yes pretty normal. Your body is complex. Don't worry about your weight on a day to day basis or even a week to week basis. Just consistently do the right thing. Watch your graphs if they are headed down on a monthly basis all is good. I have been at this almost a year still can't tell you what the scale will do one day to the next.