Water Weight Insight Plz

My weight sometimes fluctuates a lot. Four days ago I weighted 239.9 and than I weighted myself today and I weighted 233.5. That's a huge difference. I do normally weight myself once a week on sunday (but this week I did it on Sat instead), but I thought my 239.9 was high, so I weighted myself again today

People tell me it's water weight, so how do I know which weight is right? I take measurements once a month, and I use clothing to see where I am at. I know I have lost weight because of clothing. At what point can I look at the scale and say "look i've lost 2 pounds so far"

Any thoughts would be great!