Calories in minus calories out

tomcornhole

Past 93 days:

199,219 calories consumed (2,142 cal / day average)
35,794 calories exercised (385 cal / day average)
163,425 calories total net (1,757 cal / day avg) [my target is 1,739 cal / day net]

Based on this data, if I would have consumed 1,757 cal / day avg, I would have lost the exact same amount of weight vs. the 2,142 cal / day minus exercise calories.

Discuss.

Debate the efficacy of the data if you wish, but if the estimations of calories in and exercise calories are wrong, they are wrong for both caloric assumptions equally.

Tom