Confused

I invested in a fit bit because I wasn't able to accurately estimate my calories burnt. Is it 100% accurate, likely not, but the calories burnt on the Fit bit are lower than what my fancy elliptical says I burnt. There are many different fitness devices that will give a relatively good idea of the calories you are burning in a day you may want to invest in one.

I also agree with the food tracking comments, it's very easy to say, oh it's only a handful of almonds, but it all adds up. I fell into the habit of lying to myself about what I was eating. I started weighing my food, for the things i eat all the time i no longer weigh them but I will slightly over estimate my quantities just to be sure.

Take a moment and re-evaluate what you are doing, develop a strategy, you got this, never give up.