If every day were like today... You'd weigh xx kg in 5 weeks. Does this work for you?

TimeToReduceFat
TimeToReduceFat Posts: 127 Member
edited November 28 in Getting Started
Does the weight loss shown on completing Diary hold true for you?
Thanks.
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Replies

  • LivingtheLeanDream
    LivingtheLeanDream Posts: 13,342 Member
    Nope, ignore that.
  • TimeToReduceFat
    TimeToReduceFat Posts: 127 Member
    If it's not working for you then the data you are giving MFP is not accurate. (i.e. your not logging accurately).

    Do you care? Well this depends on if your happy with your progress.



    Does this mean it is working for you?
  • solieco1
    solieco1 Posts: 1,559 Member
    DoubleUbea wrote: »
    I kept track of the five week prediction for fun knowing that MFP can not predict your weight five weeks in advance.

    Here are my results:
    qclab3ovgysg.png
    I did this for fun, there was a period where I logged my intake poorly and stopped losing weight.

    Ignore the five week prediction, if you are over the predicted weight it could be discouraging.

    (If you are a geek like me, want to have fun and track this information I created a Google spreadsheet http://bit.ly/MFP-Predict)

    Cool spreadsheet! Thanks!
  • dailyzey
    dailyzey Posts: 82 Member
    No it never works for me, I would ignore it.
  • Ralphone
    Ralphone Posts: 1,863 Member
    I think it works only if all the numbers are correct and that is difficult to do. But logging your food will help you to be mindful of what and how much you are eating.
  • dhiammarath
    dhiammarath Posts: 834 Member
    Every day is rarely the exact same. I don't complete my diary because I don't like seeing a message that's more myth and fable than a work of nonfiction art. I use a trending app (Happy Scale/apple user, but I think Libra(?) is the one for android) that trends my daily weigh-ins and I get a better trajectory of where I'm headed that way.

    When I first started, I'd get very excited about the "In 5 weeks..." message, until I realized that it never seemed to work, especially not as I'm getting closer to the normal BMI range.
  • joann23456
    joann23456 Posts: 25 Member
    It definitely works for me, within a small margin of error. I write down the prediction every Friday and check.
  • cbs1974
    cbs1974 Posts: 98 Member
    I use it as a guide and if I have no bad days its not far off , make sure you update you goals when you loose weight or it will be calculating on your original goal.
    It's not an exact science but its not a million miles away - it does discourage you if you god mad and it says "if every day was like today you will weight 500 tons" : )
  • pinuplove
    pinuplove Posts: 12,871 Member
    I find the trend line on my Libra app much more useful. I never close my diary here, and thus don't see that message anyway.
  • Fflpnari
    Fflpnari Posts: 975 Member
    I don't hit the complete button just so I don't have to see this
  • FrostysHouse
    FrostysHouse Posts: 20 Member
    I like it as a motivator, but have never tracked it for accuracy.
  • dsboohead
    dsboohead Posts: 1,899 Member
    Jackie9003 wrote: »
    Nope, mainly because if every day were like today I would be bored stupid and give up.

    Amen!!!
  • deputy_randolph
    deputy_randolph Posts: 940 Member
    edited September 2018
    When I am cutting weight and as accurate as possible with calorie intake/weighing food/logging (and ZERO cheating); yes, the button has been accurate.

    When I'm not cutting, I don't hit the button; so I don't know if it would be accurate or not.

    I've also been at this nearly 1000 days.

    ETA: I only cut for 6-10 weeks at a time (so not sure how accurate the prediction would be over longer periods).
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  • VUA21
    VUA21 Posts: 2,072 Member
    Nope. Ignore that.
  • corysmithsmail
    corysmithsmail Posts: 166 Member
    The only way for that to be correct, is by exactly how it states. If every day was like today. The chances that someone eats exactly the same thing, works out the exact same way is....slim. I close my diary just for a fake sense of instant gratification before I come back to reality lol.
  • dawnvt043
    dawnvt043 Posts: 6 Member
    No. I try to ignore it. If I dont, I get super frustrated if I'm not at that goal and end up stuffing things in my face I shouldn't.
    Like today, it said I'd be 20 pounds lighter in 5 weeks. As awesome as that would be, I don't see it happening any time soon .
  • AnnPT77
    AnnPT77 Posts: 34,600 Member
    No. MFP underestimates my calorie needs, so it thinks I'll gain when I'll actually lose slowly, or maintain . . . but that's unusual - MFP is more accurate for most people.

    For anyone, it's only potentially true if every day is exactly like today. Unlikely.
  • lynn_glenmont
    lynn_glenmont Posts: 10,097 Member
    If it's not working for you then the data you are giving MFP is not accurate. (i.e. your not logging accurately).

    Do you care? Well this depends on if your happy with your progress.



    This is not true. You could give MFP perfectly accurate information every day, but if you don't live out the assumption that you will live every day exactly the same for 35 days in a row, the prediction will not be accurate. No user told MFP to make that assumption, so the error is not in the information the user is providing.

    Personally, I find the prediction helpful in realistically assessing the damage from days that I indulge and eat above goal or even above maintenance ("even if I did that every day for more than a month, I'd still lose a few ounces, not gain") and the minimal gain from eating significantly below goal ("that was fine today because I was exhausted or sick and spent a big chunk of the day in bed, but I know I'd be gnawing my arm off if I tried to eat like that on normal days, and look, it would get me an extra three pounds of loss for over a month of misery and deprivation.")
  • DoubleUbea
    DoubleUbea Posts: 1,115 Member
    ...Personally, I find the prediction helpful in realistically assessing the damage from days that I indulge and eat above goal...
    I think that is a good point, if you see a constant lower number and then have a day where the predicted weight rises it is a good reminder not to eat the same way again.
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