5 week estimate/ if every day were like today

SecretGift
SecretGift Posts: 16 Member
Does anyone know how accurate the estimate for how much you would weigh in five weeks is?
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Replies

  • Liftng4Lis
    Liftng4Lis Posts: 15,151 Member
    Personally, I've never had it been accurate yet.
  • malibu927
    malibu927 Posts: 17,562 Member
    Very inaccurate
  • HumboldtFred
    HumboldtFred Posts: 159 Member
    it's crap because there are too many variables. It is particularly bad for me as I only log weight every 90 days because I get discouraged by the scale. On the other hand, it is simple math and the calculations would be spot on in a static environment.
  • Sued0nim
    Sued0nim Posts: 17,456 Member
    I tracked it for a while, writing it in my calendar and it proved quite accurate when averaging it over weekly fluctuations
  • SecretGift
    SecretGift Posts: 16 Member
    Liftng4Lis wrote: »
    Personally, I've never had it been accurate yet.
    Does it over exaggerate weight loss or under exaggerate? I'm trying to lose a specific amount each month.
  • jemhh
    jemhh Posts: 14,261 Member
    it's crap because there are too many variables. It is particularly bad for me as I only log weight every 90 days because I get discouraged by the scale. On the other hand, it is simple math and the calculations would be spot on in a static environment.

    This. What you've eaten for the past several days will affect where you are today. For example, your sodium and carb intake may be causing you to hold onto water weight. Your workouts will be affecting you as well. Did you hit the weights extra hard? Extra water weight. You haven't been working out but are going to start today? You'll probably weight a bit more tomorrow. Bathroom issues? Different points in your monthly cycle? Again, it all affects where you are each day. So if all of those other variables were exactly the same each day for 35 days straight, the prediction *might* be right. But it also might not because the calorie burn that MFP calculates is a best estimate, not an exact science.

  • Sued0nim
    Sued0nim Posts: 17,456 Member
    rabbitjb wrote: »
    I tracked it for a while, writing it in my calendar and it proved quite accurate when averaging it over weekly fluctuations

    *shuffles out of thread backwards...never mind, nothing to see here*
  • jjnt007
    jjnt007 Posts: 302 Member
    Inaccurate
  • Liftng4Lis
    Liftng4Lis Posts: 15,151 Member
    rabbitjb wrote: »
    rabbitjb wrote: »
    I tracked it for a while, writing it in my calendar and it proved quite accurate when averaging it over weekly fluctuations

    *shuffles out of thread backwards...never mind, nothing to see here*

    OMG woman!
  • Liftng4Lis
    Liftng4Lis Posts: 15,151 Member
    SecretGift wrote: »
    Liftng4Lis wrote: »
    Personally, I've never had it been accurate yet.
    Does it over exaggerate weight loss or under exaggerate? I'm trying to lose a specific amount each month.

    under
  • JenniferIsLosingIt
    JenniferIsLosingIt Posts: 595 Member
    rabbitjb wrote: »
    rabbitjb wrote: »
    I tracked it for a while, writing it in my calendar and it proved quite accurate when averaging it over weekly fluctuations

    *shuffles out of thread backwards...never mind, nothing to see here*

    I never thought to try that!~ :)
  • jemhh
    jemhh Posts: 14,261 Member
    SecretGift wrote: »
    Liftng4Lis wrote: »
    Personally, I've never had it been accurate yet.
    Does it over exaggerate weight loss or under exaggerate? I'm trying to lose a specific amount each month.

    That's impossible to say. Everybody is different. You might have somebody like @rabbitjb who finds it accurate but most people you talk to are not going to find that it is.

    In my experience, trying to lose a specific amount each month is an exercise in futility. You can set things up perfectly for it but it might not happen. How are you going to handle it if you don't make your time goals?
  • Sued0nim
    Sued0nim Posts: 17,456 Member
    Liftng4Lis wrote: »
    rabbitjb wrote: »
    rabbitjb wrote: »
    I tracked it for a while, writing it in my calendar and it proved quite accurate when averaging it over weekly fluctuations

    *shuffles out of thread backwards...never mind, nothing to see here*

    OMG woman!

    *giggle* just when you think I've left...da-DAH!
  • segacs
    segacs Posts: 4,599 Member
    It's not accurate, but my prediction on Libra has been pretty accurate so far.
  • StaciMarie1974
    StaciMarie1974 Posts: 4,138 Member
    Its as accurate as your log is. Unfortunately we're human and even with the best efforts there are bound to be errors in either calories in or calories out. Especially considering calories out are estimated based on established formulas for the average person which may or may not be highly accurate for a specific individual.
    SecretGift wrote: »
    Does anyone know how accurate the estimate for how much you would weigh in five weeks is?

  • TimothyFish
    TimothyFish Posts: 4,925 Member
    Define accurate. If you have correctly recorded what you ate and you have correctly recorded calories burned, then it will accurately tell you how much you will lose from the deficit multiplied by five weeks. But no one correctly records what they've eaten and no one has an exact number on calories burned.

    The real value of that number is that it gives you a way to comprehend your calorie deficit more easily. You may know that you were 200 calories over your goal, but that doesn't mean much. But if the tool tells you that instead of losing five pounds in five weeks you will only lose three pounds, it puts it in a better perspective and will hopefully encourage you to do better tomorrow.
  • _QueenE_
    _QueenE_ Posts: 459 Member
    I honestly don't like it.
  • Ready2Rock206
    Ready2Rock206 Posts: 9,487 Member
    Never even come close to losing as much as it thinks I should - which made me cry last night when I was under calories and it said I'd lose pretty much nothing in the next 5 weeks.
  • littled1986
    littled1986 Posts: 101 Member
    It does say "if every day were like today"... My days are never exactly the same. I eat differently and my workouts change. I found the projection motivating at first, but the number kept changing and it didn't make any sense.
  • SarcasmIsMyLoveLanguage
    SarcasmIsMyLoveLanguage Posts: 2,668 Member
    I've always ignored it, assuming it wasn't accurate. Now I'm curious.
  • Kimberly_Harper
    Kimberly_Harper Posts: 409 Member
    It does say "if every day were like today"... My days are never exactly the same. I eat differently and my workouts change. I found the projection motivating at first, but the number kept changing and it didn't make any sense.

    This. I haven't tried eating the exact same thing and getting the exact same exercise every single day for five weeks, so it may be accurate who knows?
  • I look at it for motivation....when it tells me how much less I will weight 5 weeks out OR when I've had a "bad" day and it shows me how much more I will weigh in 5 weeks....
  • Christine_72
    Christine_72 Posts: 16,049 Member
    I eat pretty much the same things everyday, and lately I've been doing the same amount of exercise. I hardly ever close my diary, so i haven't taken much notice of the the prediction.
    But i closed my diary the other day and wrote down the weight on my calendar 5 weeks from then, so i guess I will see on the 9th of May if it's accurate or not :#
  • praksindiafit
    praksindiafit Posts: 526 Member
    I dont understand it really.. it says be under 1500 and u will be x weight in five weeks (goal set) and when u log within 1500.. its says a lot more than my goal in 5 weeks.. i mean "whatttt" if i have a weight goal set according to ur calorie goal.. and i am lesser and within the goal calorie.. shouldn't i be less or equal to my weight goal in 5 weeks.. if everyday was like that ? ????
  • matt88uk
    matt88uk Posts: 96 Member
    Tbh I weight 217.8 lbs and every time I complete it says I'll be 207.3 to 207.6 ish I aim for 2lbs per week loss so for me it's accurate :) I do hit my calorie goal everyday nearly bang on tho
  • geotrice
    geotrice Posts: 274 Member
    Can someone tell me how accurate my fortune cookie will be?
  • BramageOMG
    BramageOMG Posts: 319 Member
    Fortune cookies are 100% accurate. ALWAYS!
  • BramageOMG
    BramageOMG Posts: 319 Member
    edited May 2015
    Back to the original post: You mention you want to lose a certain amount of weight per month. What is that goal? You should be able to get into a rhythm and then stay there to consistently lose month to month. I lost 11 lbs every month for 6 months.. Once I found my "net calories" (calories - exercise) I knew where I needed to be to stay on track. I just had to make sure that number did not fluctuate greatly
  • longtimeterp
    longtimeterp Posts: 614 Member
    BramageOMG wrote: »
    Fortune cookies are 100% accurate in bed. ALWAYS!

  • ncboiler89
    ncboiler89 Posts: 2,408 Member
    SecretGift wrote: »
    Does anyone know how accurate the estimate for how much you would weigh in five weeks is?

    Ignore it.
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