5 week estimate/ if every day were like today
SecretGift
Posts: 16 Member
Does anyone know how accurate the estimate for how much you would weigh in five weeks is?
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Personally, I've never had it been accurate yet.0
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Very inaccurate0
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it's crap because there are too many variables. It is particularly bad for me as I only log weight every 90 days because I get discouraged by the scale. On the other hand, it is simple math and the calculations would be spot on in a static environment.0
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I tracked it for a while, writing it in my calendar and it proved quite accurate when averaging it over weekly fluctuations0
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Does it over exaggerate weight loss or under exaggerate? I'm trying to lose a specific amount each month.Liftng4Lis wrote: »Personally, I've never had it been accurate yet.
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HumboldtFred wrote: »it's crap because there are too many variables. It is particularly bad for me as I only log weight every 90 days because I get discouraged by the scale. On the other hand, it is simple math and the calculations would be spot on in a static environment.
This. What you've eaten for the past several days will affect where you are today. For example, your sodium and carb intake may be causing you to hold onto water weight. Your workouts will be affecting you as well. Did you hit the weights extra hard? Extra water weight. You haven't been working out but are going to start today? You'll probably weight a bit more tomorrow. Bathroom issues? Different points in your monthly cycle? Again, it all affects where you are each day. So if all of those other variables were exactly the same each day for 35 days straight, the prediction *might* be right. But it also might not because the calorie burn that MFP calculates is a best estimate, not an exact science.
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Inaccurate0
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SecretGift wrote: »
Does it over exaggerate weight loss or under exaggerate? I'm trying to lose a specific amount each month.Liftng4Lis wrote: »Personally, I've never had it been accurate yet.
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SecretGift wrote: »
Does it over exaggerate weight loss or under exaggerate? I'm trying to lose a specific amount each month.Liftng4Lis wrote: »Personally, I've never had it been accurate yet.
That's impossible to say. Everybody is different. You might have somebody like @rabbitjb who finds it accurate but most people you talk to are not going to find that it is.
In my experience, trying to lose a specific amount each month is an exercise in futility. You can set things up perfectly for it but it might not happen. How are you going to handle it if you don't make your time goals?0 -
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Its as accurate as your log is. Unfortunately we're human and even with the best efforts there are bound to be errors in either calories in or calories out. Especially considering calories out are estimated based on established formulas for the average person which may or may not be highly accurate for a specific individual.SecretGift wrote: »Does anyone know how accurate the estimate for how much you would weigh in five weeks is?
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Define accurate. If you have correctly recorded what you ate and you have correctly recorded calories burned, then it will accurately tell you how much you will lose from the deficit multiplied by five weeks. But no one correctly records what they've eaten and no one has an exact number on calories burned.
The real value of that number is that it gives you a way to comprehend your calorie deficit more easily. You may know that you were 200 calories over your goal, but that doesn't mean much. But if the tool tells you that instead of losing five pounds in five weeks you will only lose three pounds, it puts it in a better perspective and will hopefully encourage you to do better tomorrow.0 -
I honestly don't like it.0
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Never even come close to losing as much as it thinks I should - which made me cry last night when I was under calories and it said I'd lose pretty much nothing in the next 5 weeks.0
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It does say "if every day were like today"... My days are never exactly the same. I eat differently and my workouts change. I found the projection motivating at first, but the number kept changing and it didn't make any sense.0
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I've always ignored it, assuming it wasn't accurate. Now I'm curious.0
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littled1986 wrote: »It does say "if every day were like today"... My days are never exactly the same. I eat differently and my workouts change. I found the projection motivating at first, but the number kept changing and it didn't make any sense.
This. I haven't tried eating the exact same thing and getting the exact same exercise every single day for five weeks, so it may be accurate who knows?
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I look at it for motivation....when it tells me how much less I will weight 5 weeks out OR when I've had a "bad" day and it shows me how much more I will weigh in 5 weeks....0
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I eat pretty much the same things everyday, and lately I've been doing the same amount of exercise. I hardly ever close my diary, so i haven't taken much notice of the the prediction.
But i closed my diary the other day and wrote down the weight on my calendar 5 weeks from then, so i guess I will see on the 9th of May if it's accurate or not
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I dont understand it really.. it says be under 1500 and u will be x weight in five weeks (goal set) and when u log within 1500.. its says a lot more than my goal in 5 weeks.. i mean "whatttt" if i have a weight goal set according to ur calorie goal.. and i am lesser and within the goal calorie.. shouldn't i be less or equal to my weight goal in 5 weeks.. if everyday was like that ? ????0
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Tbh I weight 217.8 lbs and every time I complete it says I'll be 207.3 to 207.6 ish I aim for 2lbs per week loss so for me it's accurate
I do hit my calorie goal everyday nearly bang on tho 0 -
Can someone tell me how accurate my fortune cookie will be?0
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Fortune cookies are 100% accurate. ALWAYS!0
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Back to the original post: You mention you want to lose a certain amount of weight per month. What is that goal? You should be able to get into a rhythm and then stay there to consistently lose month to month. I lost 11 lbs every month for 6 months.. Once I found my "net calories" (calories - exercise) I knew where I needed to be to stay on track. I just had to make sure that number did not fluctuate greatly0
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BramageOMG wrote: »Fortune cookies are 100% accurate in bed. ALWAYS!
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SecretGift wrote: »Does anyone know how accurate the estimate for how much you would weigh in five weeks is?
Ignore it.0
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