If every day were like today... you would weigh...

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  • Pebble321
    Pebble321 Posts: 6,554 Member
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    I've been wondering for a while now so I've started to record what it says everyday and then in 5 weeks (from last Monday) I'll see where I end up :)

    I did this for a while last year - and found that if I ate pretty much what MFP recommended (not way under or way over) and I was pretty consistent - then, yes it was reasonably accurate.
    If I looked at it on a day when I ate a lot or a little, then the prediction was way high or way low.
  • airangel59
    airangel59 Posts: 1,887 Member
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    I enjoy seeing it, gives me motivation, regardless if it's accurate or not. Like another poster said, I might mark the pounds off on my calendar and see where I am in 5 weeks. (Actually I'm copying/pasting it into the note box)
  • reyopo
    reyopo Posts: 210 Member
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    Nope. No no no...not even CLOSE! From day 1 it that number was consistantly accelerated over my actual weight loss. I have been stalled for about 5 weeks and it's still predicting super low numbers, every single day. I'm VERY consistent, very diligent. It's not happening...but it's ok...my body fat % has improved, my muscle mass has increased, I feel good, i look pretty damn good...I'm ok with it.
  • guiltypleasure00
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    I've found mine to be a pretty good indication of where I'll be. It's always been true within about a 1/2 a kilo or so.
  • ShellyShuey
    ShellyShuey Posts: 162
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    I guess it could be... but who eats the same thing every day for 5 weeks? Maybe some people.. I am always a good 200-300 cal difference each day.

    ^^ this ^^
  • raeraeti
    raeraeti Posts: 108
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    I tend to loose more than it predicts- but you should take into account your activity level that it is set at. It thinks i am sedentary
  • BarbWhite09
    BarbWhite09 Posts: 1,128 Member
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    It's probably correct....but there arent many people who eat the exact same amount every single day...Lol...
  • neverstray
    neverstray Posts: 3,845 Member
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    I wish it would trend, rather than just be a one day calculation. I mean it has a lot of your history there. Why not trend the data too?
  • Kathy53925
    Kathy53925 Posts: 241 Member
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    It's just a guideline to give you an idea of where you are headed if you eat too much or too little.


    Yea...what she said!
  • obeserat
    obeserat Posts: 218 Member
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    I'm about 10lb lighter than predicted but have been losing weight rapidly since the doctor reduced my calories to 1200 and told me not to eat back exercise calories
  • Robin_Bin
    Robin_Bin Posts: 1,046 Member
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    It's roughly correct for me. I don't eat exactly the same each day, but most days I keep pretty near the MFP, and that's about what the 5 weeks from today calculates. When I've set my goal at different amounts and eaten what's recommended, MFP says I'll lose about what I selected in 5 weeks, and that's pretty much what's happened. It's not exact, some weeks have been a bit higher, some lower, but it pretty much averaged out.
  • kateblue72
    kateblue72 Posts: 113
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    I do like the motivation it gives me .... and I do think there is some truth to it .... it IS doing the 'math' based on your activity and food. And I am quite certain on some days if I did manage to be repetitive ... which we all know is boring, and highly unlikely, that the probability of it would be true. ie especially on low food/high exercise days ... one could seem to 'melt' away - LOL!!
  • Justkeepswimmin
    Justkeepswimmin Posts: 777 Member
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    I have found it to be generally true. Sometimes I lose more than it says, sometimes less, but its a decent ballpark.
  • slimmingdownsteph
    slimmingdownsteph Posts: 201 Member
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    It's an estimate. MFP doesn't know how each individual body works. Don't take it to be the absolute truth.

    Exactly!
  • jenmfpal
    jenmfpal Posts: 124
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    I think you have to take into account your activity level setting and how much of your calories you eat back from exercising. But overall, I think it's pretty accurate.

    I complete my day, and if I remember, I copy the message into my food note and save it into my daily diary. But I don't really make every day the same (except that I try to make every day close to my goal), and I find it is pretty accurate.
  • dirty_blonde
    dirty_blonde Posts: 71 Member
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    I love seeing this at the end of the day because I want to prove it WRONG. I want to do better and lose more weight then it says I will. hahaha. Will see if in 5 weeks I can lose more then it says I will.
  • ZugTheMegasaurus
    ZugTheMegasaurus Posts: 801 Member
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    It's never been even close to accurate for me; usually I lose in one week what it says I'll lose in five. I have absolutely no idea why it's so far off.
  • jenmfpal
    jenmfpal Posts: 124
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    I went back 5 weeks ago and checked, and this was accurate for the most part, except I've actually lost one more pound then MFP calculated. Recently I started eating back most of my exercise calories, because I was on a plateau and have come around to the eat more to weigh less philosophy.

    I have my weight loss goal set to two pounds a week. I noticed the other night, when I went over by about 300 calories, that I would loose only 1 pound a week for 5 weeks. So MFP must give me a daily deficit of about 600 calories. Seems good to know, and seems good to remember that even if we are over, we aren't really over...

    I went back earlier in my food dairy and estimates were way off when I wasn't eating back my calories- and I wasn't loosing weight even though the estimates looked good.