How accurate is FitBit TDEE (HR monitor version)?

I just wondered how accurate people have found exercise monitor TDEE calculations to be.

I'm a 5'3" female, 153 lbs., with PCOS. I am down about 25 lbs. (SW 179) over the past two years but the past year I have been bouncing back up and down between about 155 and 152 and cannot seem to get under the magic 150 barrier. My goal is 140, which will put me at a normal BMI.

My FitBit says I burn 2,400 calories a day (that's averaging out the burn over the past five weeks). I average about 12,600 steps a day (average for the last five weeks). About half those steps come from exercise (brisk walking 45 min/5x week + low impact aerobics with resistance band 45 min/2x week) and about half come from NEAT.

I weigh my food on a scale, and my calorie goal has been manually set at 1400 cals/day. I recently reset it (this week) to 1 lb./week, lightly active, which is 1430--so about what I was doing before.

I'm not on a specific diet but strictly count calories. I do try to limit processed carbohydrates due to my PCOS.

Is my TDEE way off? I don't think eating fewer calories is sustainable long term, because I will get hangry and give up. But when I do eat more calories, my weight seems to start creeping up again. Anybody have some good advice for me? I'm not looking to be a supermodel; I just want to get down to a normal BMI.

Replies

  • janejellyroll
    janejellyroll Posts: 25,763 Member
    I've been using a Fitbit with HR since 2015 and I've found it to be very accurate.

    That said, your real life results are going to be your best guide. If you're eating 2,400 and your weight is going up, that's more meaningful information than what the Fitbit is telling you your TDEE is.
  • shampbj
    shampbj Posts: 33 Member
    I've been using a Fitbit with HR since 2015 and I've found it to be very accurate.

    That said, your real life results are going to be your best guide. If you're eating 2,400 and your weight is going up, that's more meaningful information than what the Fitbit is telling you your TDEE is.

    I'm not eating 2,400 calories a day. I'm eating 1,400 calories a day. If 1,400 is my maintenance calories, I'm am severely in trouble.
  • janejellyroll
    janejellyroll Posts: 25,763 Member
    shampbj wrote: »
    I've been using a Fitbit with HR since 2015 and I've found it to be very accurate.

    That said, your real life results are going to be your best guide. If you're eating 2,400 and your weight is going up, that's more meaningful information than what the Fitbit is telling you your TDEE is.

    I'm not eating 2,400 calories a day. I'm eating 1,400 calories a day. If 1,400 is my maintenance calories, I'm am severely in trouble.

    Your weight is going up on 1,400?
  • TavistockToad
    TavistockToad Posts: 35,719 Member
    How long have you been eating 1400 cals? If you're weighing is accurate and your calorie burn is accurate then you should be losing 2lb per week. Are you?
  • Kay_180
    Kay_180 Posts: 38 Member
    This study found that most activity trackers are pretty bad at estimating energy expenditure, even if they're measuring your heart rate accurately.
    https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2017/05/fitness-trackers-accurately-measure-heart-rate-but-not-calories-burned.html
    Which probably isn't very helpful for you! But I guess it just means you need to keep tweaking what you're doing until you get the real-life result you want, rather than trusting what the FitBit is telling you.
  • shampbj
    shampbj Posts: 33 Member
    How long have you been eating 1400 cals? If you're weighing is accurate and your calorie burn is accurate then you should be losing 2lb per week. Are you?

    No. As stated in my original post, I have been bouncing up and down in a 3-pound range (155-152) for a year.
  • shampbj
    shampbj Posts: 33 Member
    Your weight is going up on 1,400?[/quote]

    No, my weight stays about the same at 1,400. If I go above that, say a couple of splurge days of 1600-1800, then, yes my weight goes up. It usually rebounds back to about the same level after going back to strict 1,400 for a few days.
  • toxikon
    toxikon Posts: 2,383 Member
    My Alta HR seems pretty accurate.

    I've always estimated my sedentary TDEE as around 1700. The Alta gives me that TDEE on lazy days (under 5k steps) which seems right on point. On more active days, I average out around 1900-2000 TDEE - which makes sense.

    2400 for 12k steps and some other workouts seems about right for you. PCOS may be throwing a wrench into the calculations though.
  • janejellyroll
    janejellyroll Posts: 25,763 Member
    shampbj wrote: »

    No, my weight stays about the same at 1,400. If I go above that, say a couple of splurge days of 1600-1800, then, yes my weight goes up. It usually rebounds back to about the same level after going back to strict 1,400 for a few days.

    That seems pretty low. Are you using a food scale for all your solid food?
  • shampbj
    shampbj Posts: 33 Member
    shampbj wrote: »

    No, my weight stays about the same at 1,400. If I go above that, say a couple of splurge days of 1600-1800, then, yes my weight goes up. It usually rebounds back to about the same level after going back to strict 1,400 for a few days.

    That seems pretty low. Are you using a food scale for all your solid food?

    Yes, I weigh meat in ounces since most of the entries use ounces, and everything else in grams, including hummus and shredded cheese! Except of course when I eat out, which is usually one night a week. But I usually get a burger with no bun and a salad with no dressing, so I don't think my logging could be off enough from that to wreck a whole week. I'm just feeling very frustrated at the moment. The biggest ? would probably be the wine I have with dinner, but if my TDEE is accurate, I'd have to be drinking two extra bottles of wine a week to account for the calories mismatch, which is definitely not the case.
  • TavistockToad
    TavistockToad Posts: 35,719 Member
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »

    No, my weight stays about the same at 1,400. If I go above that, say a couple of splurge days of 1600-1800, then, yes my weight goes up. It usually rebounds back to about the same level after going back to strict 1,400 for a few days.

    That seems pretty low. Are you using a food scale for all your solid food?

    Yes, I weigh meat in ounces since most of the entries use ounces, and everything else in grams, including hummus and shredded cheese! Except of course when I eat out, which is usually one night a week. But I usually get a burger with no bun and a salad with no dressing, so I don't think my logging could be off enough from that to wreck a whole week. I'm just feeling very frustrated at the moment. The biggest ? would probably be the wine I have with dinner, but if my TDEE is accurate, I'd have to be drinking two extra bottles of wine a week to account for the calories mismatch, which is definitely not the case.

    You don't log the wine?
  • DomesticKat
    DomesticKat Posts: 565 Member
    Some are better than others. My Alta HR has been very accurate. I'm 5'1" and 131 pounds and Fitbit estimates 2400 calories for 15K steps a day, which is pretty consistent with what I'm losing at currently. My husband's counts steps when he's driving in his car. The MFP estimate given to you and your Fitbit are only part of the picture. For all of this to work correctly, you have to be logging accurately. If you've been consuming 1400 calories consistently for the last year and not losing anything, then my initial suggestion is that something is incorrect with your logging. Can you open your food diary?
  • shampbj
    shampbj Posts: 33 Member
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »

    No, my weight stays about the same at 1,400. If I go above that, say a couple of splurge days of 1600-1800, then, yes my weight goes up. It usually rebounds back to about the same level after going back to strict 1,400 for a few days.

    That seems pretty low. Are you using a food scale for all your solid food?

    Yes, I weigh meat in ounces since most of the entries use ounces, and everything else in grams, including hummus and shredded cheese! Except of course when I eat out, which is usually one night a week. But I usually get a burger with no bun and a salad with no dressing, so I don't think my logging could be off enough from that to wreck a whole week. I'm just feeling very frustrated at the moment. The biggest ? would probably be the wine I have with dinner, but if my TDEE is accurate, I'd have to be drinking two extra bottles of wine a week to account for the calories mismatch, which is definitely not the case.

    You don't log the wine?

    Of course I log the wine. But I pour it into a glass. I don't weigh it. So there might be a variance if I am logging a glass as five ounces but in fact it is six ounces.
  • TavistockToad
    TavistockToad Posts: 35,719 Member
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »

    No, my weight stays about the same at 1,400. If I go above that, say a couple of splurge days of 1600-1800, then, yes my weight goes up. It usually rebounds back to about the same level after going back to strict 1,400 for a few days.

    That seems pretty low. Are you using a food scale for all your solid food?

    Yes, I weigh meat in ounces since most of the entries use ounces, and everything else in grams, including hummus and shredded cheese! Except of course when I eat out, which is usually one night a week. But I usually get a burger with no bun and a salad with no dressing, so I don't think my logging could be off enough from that to wreck a whole week. I'm just feeling very frustrated at the moment. The biggest ? would probably be the wine I have with dinner, but if my TDEE is accurate, I'd have to be drinking two extra bottles of wine a week to account for the calories mismatch, which is definitely not the case.

    You don't log the wine?

    Of course I log the wine. But I pour it into a glass. I don't weigh it. So there might be a variance if I am logging a glass as five ounces but in fact it is six ounces.

    Surely you can figure that out by how many glasses you get out of a bottle...? It's not that difficult a calculation....
  • shampbj
    shampbj Posts: 33 Member
    edited June 2018
    Some are better than others. My Alta HR has been very accurate. I'm 5'1" and 131 pounds and Fitbit estimates 2400 calories for 15K steps a day, which is pretty consistent with what I'm losing at currently. My husband's counts steps when he's driving in his car. The MFP estimate given to you and your Fitbit are only part of the picture. For all of this to work correctly, you have to be logging accurately. If you've been consuming 1400 calories consistently for the last year and not losing anything, then my initial suggestion is that something is incorrect with your logging. Can you open your food diary?

    I did set it to public in my settings. Is there something else I need to do?

    ETA - Not sure why I can't see it from my profile, but the link is http://www.myfitnesspal.com/food/diary/shampbj
  • shampbj
    shampbj Posts: 33 Member
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »

    No, my weight stays about the same at 1,400. If I go above that, say a couple of splurge days of 1600-1800, then, yes my weight goes up. It usually rebounds back to about the same level after going back to strict 1,400 for a few days.

    That seems pretty low. Are you using a food scale for all your solid food?

    Yes, I weigh meat in ounces since most of the entries use ounces, and everything else in grams, including hummus and shredded cheese! Except of course when I eat out, which is usually one night a week. But I usually get a burger with no bun and a salad with no dressing, so I don't think my logging could be off enough from that to wreck a whole week. I'm just feeling very frustrated at the moment. The biggest ? would probably be the wine I have with dinner, but if my TDEE is accurate, I'd have to be drinking two extra bottles of wine a week to account for the calories mismatch, which is definitely not the case.

    You don't log the wine?

    Of course I log the wine. But I pour it into a glass. I don't weigh it. So there might be a variance if I am logging a glass as five ounces but in fact it is six ounces.

    Surely you can figure that out by how many glasses you get out of a bottle...? It's not that difficult a calculation....

    Yes, there are 5 glasses per bottle. So if I drink half a bottle of wine, I log 2.5 glasses. I'm saying it might not be exact, but it should be pretty close. You are kind of treating me like an idiot here.

    If I am maintaining at 1,400 calories a day but my FitBit says my TDEE is 2,400 calories a day, then either my consumption numbers are wrong or my TDEE is wrong. I am a very tight logger, so I'm theorizing that my TDEE is not correct, and this post was to see if anyone else had encountered similar issues.
  • janejellyroll
    janejellyroll Posts: 25,763 Member
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »

    No, my weight stays about the same at 1,400. If I go above that, say a couple of splurge days of 1600-1800, then, yes my weight goes up. It usually rebounds back to about the same level after going back to strict 1,400 for a few days.

    That seems pretty low. Are you using a food scale for all your solid food?

    Yes, I weigh meat in ounces since most of the entries use ounces, and everything else in grams, including hummus and shredded cheese! Except of course when I eat out, which is usually one night a week. But I usually get a burger with no bun and a salad with no dressing, so I don't think my logging could be off enough from that to wreck a whole week. I'm just feeling very frustrated at the moment. The biggest ? would probably be the wine I have with dinner, but if my TDEE is accurate, I'd have to be drinking two extra bottles of wine a week to account for the calories mismatch, which is definitely not the case.

    You don't log the wine?

    Of course I log the wine. But I pour it into a glass. I don't weigh it. So there might be a variance if I am logging a glass as five ounces but in fact it is six ounces.

    I use a measuring cup for my alcohol -- the liquid ones typically have the ounce measurement clearly marked.
  • yirara
    yirara Posts: 9,943 Member
    edited June 2018
    Can be too high by a lot if you happen to have a higher than average maximum heartrate and/or are not very fit so that your heartrate goes up easily. For me it's very off! It gave me nearly 500kcal for a concert lasting about an hour yesterday and the day before. Just some dancing? No way! On normal days Fitbit is about 150-200kcal too high as well. Thus if I believed it I would gain weight. Btw, I've adjusted it by adding my maxHR, but Fitbit settings only allow so much (mine is about 205)
  • shampbj
    shampbj Posts: 33 Member
    Just looking back until May, I have some questions. The recipes you log, are those generic entries or are you adding them to your recipes yourself? Some appear to be generic. How are you calculating a serving for a recipe? I see some entries that aren't weighed. Things like cake or cinnamon buns that are entered as a partial serving. I also see some entries missing for dinner or lunch. Did you not eat meals on those days? I see that you're eating out at restaurants or fast food as well. Those can be off since you have to estimate the calorie content. I see days where you're over on calories as well as under, so there are some issues with consistency. Those are all things I would recommend tightening up before jumping to not losing at 1400 calories.

    The recipes are created using the recipe importer (if it is a website) or the calculator (if it is from a cookbook). I try to adjust the recipes so they match the actual ingredients I am using (brands, etc.). It is hard to get the serving sizes exact except for things that are individually portioned, such as stuffed peppers. etc. That is something I do struggle with since we cook most nights.

    If you see a partial, like .25 slices of cake, that's because I only ate a bite or two.

    I didn't realize I had missed logging some meals in there. That may have been while travelling. I assume the fast food entries should be close to accurate since they have to post the calorie counts. I have a lot more trouble when I am going to a nice local restaurant to try to find reasonable entries that are close enough.

    I will work on tightening up my logging some more. Thank you for taking the time to look through my food diary and give concrete suggestions! I appreciate it.
  • jenilla1
    jenilla1 Posts: 11,118 Member
    My Fitbit Charge 2 has me right on track. If you think it's overestimating your burn, try eating fewer for a while and see if that works. :)
  • DomesticKat
    DomesticKat Posts: 565 Member
    shampbj wrote: »
    Just looking back until May, I have some questions. The recipes you log, are those generic entries or are you adding them to your recipes yourself? Some appear to be generic. How are you calculating a serving for a recipe? I see some entries that aren't weighed. Things like cake or cinnamon buns that are entered as a partial serving. I also see some entries missing for dinner or lunch. Did you not eat meals on those days? I see that you're eating out at restaurants or fast food as well. Those can be off since you have to estimate the calorie content. I see days where you're over on calories as well as under, so there are some issues with consistency. Those are all things I would recommend tightening up before jumping to not losing at 1400 calories.

    The recipes are created using the recipe importer (if it is a website) or the calculator (if it is from a cookbook). I try to adjust the recipes so they match the actual ingredients I am using (brands, etc.). It is hard to get the serving sizes exact except for things that are individually portioned, such as stuffed peppers. etc. That is something I do struggle with since we cook most nights.

    If you see a partial, like .25 slices of cake, that's because I only ate a bite or two.

    I didn't realize I had missed logging some meals in there. That may have been while travelling. I assume the fast food entries should be close to accurate since they have to post the calorie counts. I have a lot more trouble when I am going to a nice local restaurant to try to find reasonable entries that are close enough.

    I will work on tightening up my logging some more. Thank you for taking the time to look through my food diary and give concrete suggestions! I appreciate it.

    It's not any one day that's a big deal, it's the long-term trend that's important because high days can wipe out low days over the course of a week, month, and year. When there are consistency issues over a long period of time, that will influence your overall rate of loss.

    Restaurant calorie counts can be off unless they're weighing and measuring every component of the dish each time they're making it.

    For the recipes, it's fine to create them yourself in the recipe builder but try not to use generic entries because you have no idea how different from your recipe they actually are and what ingredients they included. When you build your own recipe and are using a single cooking vessel, weigh your cooking vessel empty and write that down. Then once your dish is completed, weigh the finished dish and subtract the empty weight of the cooking vessel from it. That's your number of servings to enter in the recipe in grams. Then when you go to log it, weigh out your portion and enter that as your serving size. It's not going to be 100%, but it's better than eyeballing portions. Do that for whatever entree and sides you make.
  • TavistockToad
    TavistockToad Posts: 35,719 Member
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »
    shampbj wrote: »

    No, my weight stays about the same at 1,400. If I go above that, say a couple of splurge days of 1600-1800, then, yes my weight goes up. It usually rebounds back to about the same level after going back to strict 1,400 for a few days.

    That seems pretty low. Are you using a food scale for all your solid food?

    Yes, I weigh meat in ounces since most of the entries use ounces, and everything else in grams, including hummus and shredded cheese! Except of course when I eat out, which is usually one night a week. But I usually get a burger with no bun and a salad with no dressing, so I don't think my logging could be off enough from that to wreck a whole week. I'm just feeling very frustrated at the moment. The biggest ? would probably be the wine I have with dinner, but if my TDEE is accurate, I'd have to be drinking two extra bottles of wine a week to account for the calories mismatch, which is definitely not the case.

    You don't log the wine?

    Of course I log the wine. But I pour it into a glass. I don't weigh it. So there might be a variance if I am logging a glass as five ounces but in fact it is six ounces.

    Surely you can figure that out by how many glasses you get out of a bottle...? It's not that difficult a calculation....

    Yes, there are 5 glasses per bottle. So if I drink half a bottle of wine, I log 2.5 glasses. I'm saying it might not be exact, but it should be pretty close. You are kind of treating me like an idiot here.

    If I am maintaining at 1,400 calories a day but my FitBit says my TDEE is 2,400 calories a day, then either my consumption numbers are wrong or my TDEE is wrong. I am a very tight logger, so I'm theorizing that my TDEE is not correct, and this post was to see if anyone else had encountered similar issues.

    I was responding in kind to your attitude.

    And as your other identical thread has shown, you're not accurate in your logging.
  • heybales
    heybales Posts: 18,842 Member
    If the Fitbit is mistakenly using HR-based calorie burn for daily activity level of stuff - it's inflated calorie burn.

    It attempts in first week to figure out your resting HR, and non-activite HR, and it tries to figure out that point where it should switch from more accurate step-based calorie burn to HR-based.

    But if on some meds, or genetic, and you just have a high HR in general - it could be including a whole lot more gentle activity time as exercise level and getting inflated HR.
    If that is the case then to have HR on all the time won't be useful as far as estimated calorie burn goes. Perhaps still useful if you are supposed to monitor your HR thru the day. If not, turn it off except for exercise.

    You could also have an incorrect stride length setting for walking, and it's seeing a lot more distance than you do for normal daily things, and more distance is more calories - so inflated again.
    Walking stride length should be set for avg daily pace, not grocery store shuffle, not exercise level pace - in the middle. That way it can adjust either direction as it needs to with chance of accuracy.

    It does not attempt to estimate calories burned from eating food, or standing with no steps - so underestimated there.

    Potential accuracy can be improved.

    Some workouts too are not going to be good with either step-based or HR-based calorie burn - like lifting, or swimming obviously. Intervals is bad for HR, rowing is bad for step-based, ect.
    But if workout is 20 min weekly with otherwise lots of activity - doesn't matter.
    If it lots of time weekly and otherwise very sedentary - could matter much more.


    And even with all that, it's accuracy may remain off by some %, which is good to know, because then as seasons change and your activity level may change, you can keep up with that potential % off being the same and adjust as needed.
    Instead of taking 30 days to discover, then 30 days to see if adjustment was correct, and by then 30 good days before season changes again!
  • WinoGelato
    WinoGelato Posts: 13,454 Member
    Mine has always been accurate for me. It helped me lose the last 15 lbs, and maintain my weight pretty easily for 3+ years by trusting and eating back the exercise adjustments. I’m 5’2 and 118 and average 12-15k steps a day, my FitBit estimates my TDEE to be about 2200. For what it’s worth...
  • hipari
    hipari Posts: 1,367 Member
    My Fitbit is very accurate, as in my food log + burn numbers from Fitbit match my weight loss.

    How long have you had your Fitbit? My boyfriend got one very recently and the numbers were all over the place for the first couple of weeks, before they sort of adjusted into place.

    That being said, your numbers sound pretty high compared to mine. I’m 5’8”, weigh 200 (that’s my barrier!), average around 9000 steps and my burn average is at 2500-2600. Sure, you take more steps, but I’m significantly heavier, so I carry a heavier load around all day.
  • SummerSkier
    SummerSkier Posts: 5,139 Member
    I look at about a 6 week rolling avg because things are always changing. I am in maintenance. 5'1+ 59 yo around 99 lbs. Fitbit gives me a 1345 base for now (which is where i set MFP) and then I avg around 635 more cals per day due to activity. The ones I get from a specific exercise I usually accept 100%. The ones I get from the fitbit adjustment I think are a little inflated so I will usually go with 80% of those. If you are trying to lose, I agree that your #s seem very inflated. That all said, I don't really like to adjust cals on a daily basis because I like to have energy for my longer workouts before and not after. So, I stick around 1900 to 2K cals a day and that seems to level me out. When I was losing I never ate back any exercise cals and just put myself at a deficit which gave me about a 1 pound per week loss without trying to calculate TDEE manually. I did use a chart which said TDEE would be around 1800. That was low but it could just be summer right now. Again in maintenance rolling avgs become more significant.

    To me, every individual will be unique so altho MFP and Fitbit give estimates and hopefully stay consistent, you have to monitor YOUR #s and go from there. They are great tools to help of course.
  • tess5036
    tess5036 Posts: 942 Member
    edited June 2018
    How old are you....If I do not do any exercise my TDEE is very low as my BMR is about 1400, and I do not have PCOS. Fitbit will not know you have PCOS, which I believe, but may be wrong, might slow down your metabolism.

    When you enter foods, do you check the entries you are using are correct, that could make a big difference.