Eating just under MFP given maintenance calories and it's predicting I'll put on weight!

Just that really.
MFP gives me 1470 cal's/day to maintain. I've eaten 1458 calories and just closed my diary. It says I'll gain 1lb over 5 weeks. What?? 🤔
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Replies

  • sefajane1
    sefajane1 Posts: 322 Member
    Sorry, I just checked again and it's a 1.4lbs gain, not 1lb.
    How is that maintenance?
  • sefajane1
    sefajane1 Posts: 322 Member
    And I've just done a "quick add" to make tomorrow's calories up to the 1470 calories and closed the diary - I'd gain 1.6lbs in 5 weeks. Something's not right 🤔 I want to maintain, not gain.
  • sefajane1
    sefajane1 Posts: 322 Member
    Ok so, jiggling about with tomorrow's calories I'd need to eat only 1317 of the 1470 maintenance calories that MFP has set me to actually maintain.

    Any ideas as to why this would be?

    That's a potential 153 calories/day I'd be overeating 🙄
  • sefajane1
    sefajane1 Posts: 322 Member
    I get that, I just don't understand how they can get it so wrong?
    I'm new to maintenance and quite frankly I'm scared now about trusting the daily calorie amount. I think I'll stick with the 1317 to be on the safe side.
  • kshama2001
    kshama2001 Posts: 28,052 Member
    sefajane1 wrote: »
    I get that, I just don't understand how they can get it so wrong?
    I'm new to maintenance and quite frankly I'm scared now about trusting the daily calorie amount. I think I'll stick with the 1317 to be on the safe side.

    Have you logged any weight loss since MFP generated its maintenance prediction for you?

    @sefajane1 probably there is a mismatch like this going on. Double check your entries in https://www.myfitnesspal.com/account/change_goals_guided
  • sefajane1
    sefajane1 Posts: 322 Member
    MikePTY wrote: »
    sefajane1 wrote: »
    I get that, I just don't understand how they can get it so wrong?
    I'm new to maintenance and quite frankly I'm scared now about trusting the daily calorie amount. I think I'll stick with the 1317 to be on the safe side.

    What are your stats? 1317 seems super low for maintenance.

    Age 51 female, 5' 4", 99.8lbs

  • sefajane1
    sefajane1 Posts: 322 Member
    Have you logged a lower weight but not run through the goal setting yet? It doesn't auto-update.

    I refresh my goals daily to make sure it's correct.

    My issue is that if I ate at the 1470 it gave me I'd gain weight, not maintain.
  • sefajane1
    sefajane1 Posts: 322 Member
    edited August 2019
    PAV8888 wrote: »
    Cough cough cough.
    Hello there tigress!
    You're getting sidetracked due to fear.
    Assuming you're now at a comfortable weight? Wasn't it like yesterday when you were too low and heading for a vacation? Have you given your weight some time to settle after coming back?
    How much of the unwanted loss have you managed to reclaim?

    Anyway.

    Plug your weigh ins into your weight trend app... which one are you using?

    Eat the higher cals.
    If your weight TREND increases by +2 lbs above maintenance, scale back by recent excess cals and an extra 50 till you're level where you want.

    Until your trend increases while eating full maintenance calories... there is no reason to scale back.

    Btw . Didn't you use to need 1600 to maintain and were losing at 1300? How are you now maintaining below. I definitely could be misremembering the numbers ...

    Hi @PAV8888 👋 My holiday was back in May. I was 112.2lbs at the start and 114.4lbs after. I lost the holiday weight, and more. I've continued to lose, I'm now 99.8lbs. I'm trying to maintain before gaining as that seems the safer way for me (mentally) to cope.

    I've got a 3.5 week holiday coming up in 5 weeks time, I'm hoping to maintain until then. I know I'll gain quite a bit over the holiday and I'll try to maintain that new weight afterwards.

    I use the Libra app but I don't really find that very helpful.
  • sefajane1
    sefajane1 Posts: 322 Member
    WinoGelato wrote: »
    sefajane1 wrote: »
    Have you logged a lower weight but not run through the goal setting yet? It doesn't auto-update.

    I refresh my goals daily to make sure it's correct.

    My issue is that if I ate at the 1470 it gave me I'd gain weight, not maintain.

    I think the predictor is inaccurate enough to be ignored but you are already underweight by BMI charts so I’m not sure why you are so hung up on this metric that everyone has told you is unreliable....

    It's a matter of trust. I trusted MFP to lose weight, I want to have that same trust to maintain.
  • sefajane1
    sefajane1 Posts: 322 Member
    I'll look at my net calories over the last 2 months, compare that with my weight loss and calculate my maintenance number from that. I just wish that MFP would get it right 😣