"If you're fat and lose weight, you're probably gonna get fat again"

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Replies

  • DeguelloTex
    DeguelloTex Posts: 6,652 Member
    lorrpb wrote: »
    It prob is true. That's why the diet fad biz is so big. How many on MFP have lost weight only ONCE and kept it off forever? Even if it is true, it doesn't mean you can't be successful today.
    I've lost weight once and kept it off since then.

  • Kalikel
    Kalikel Posts: 9,603 Member
    jaga13 wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    i think for people who follow ' diets' it could definitely be true. especially if you are cutting out whole food groups of foods that you (or the diet) classify as 'bad' (ie: sugar, carbs, whatever).

    but for those of us who have made lifestyle changes... and eat everything we enjoy WITHIN those calorie (whether loss or maintenance) unless you just get lazy and stop monitoring your intake, i find it hard to believe. thats why its so important for me the same foods i always have - just in smaller quantities. could i eat MORE? oh yes - i can gorge myself till i feel like im going to pop ... i just dont do it anymore.
    Eating less isn't really a lifestyle change.

    Lifestyle changes are big things, like adding exercise when you didn't do it before or eating a healthy diet when you didn't - the kind of things that change your way of living - your lifestyle. Eating less changes your calorie total, not your way of living.

    You can totally be successful that way! It's just not what they're talking about when they say "lifestyle."

    Eh, I don't think any of this is really a lifestyle change. So you now run or lift weights (or whatever you do)? So would taking classes to learn the guitar also count as a lifestyle change if it takes the same amount of time and practice? If someone finally listens to their dentist and starts to floss faithfully, is that a lifestyle change? I mean, changing what and how much you eat...is it really turning your whole life upside down? Someone who gives up their six figure job to go sell ice cream on the beach = lifestyle change :)

    My point is, who care what it's called: diet, lifestyle. If you piece together healthy habits and stick to them as your new normal, you're probably in good shape.
    I'm totally on board with not getting all into what you call it. People who say they're "on a diet" aren't different than people who say they are "eating at a deficit." They just use a more common phrase. I say, "I'm dieting" a lot. I bumped into a neighbor at the grocery store and he encouraged me to try the free sample I'd missed. I said, "No, no thanks, really. I'm dieting," and he asked the lady if he could have mine. I can't even imagine saying, "No, no thanks, really. I'm eating at a deficit," lol. People get way too hung up on diction. But, if it helps them lose weight, ours is not to judge, I guess.

    I cannot tell you how much this has changed my life. My whole life. I now bring a cooler to the grocery store because I have all that frozen stuff. New Tupperware to store things sits in the same place I used to keep my ice cream containers. New shelf in the kitchen because all the cookbooks with healthy food recipes needed a place to go. I have a freezer I didn't have before because I make my own food and freeze it. If I go out for the day, I bring my own food because I'm not eating fast food or restaurant food...and the bag i carry it in sits where potato chips once sat. I had to buy new glasses because I drink ice water and the old ones got sweaty.

    I met a neighbor on the next street while I was out walking all the time who is now a friend, but I dropped an old friend who liked to make fun of my weighing and kept insisting I should eat out with her, one donut would to kill me, etc. Buh-bye.

    New hooky thing in the bathroom, so I can hang two suits to dry. New shoe rack because I have more shoes - walking/running shoes and cute ones that I can wear now that I've lost weight. Hell, I even park my car on the other side of the garage because I want my roller and stuff by the door when I get back and want extra room.

    My hair is shorter because with all the swimming, the ends get fried faster, so I keep it cut short.

    I could go on and on. I have stopped and thought about how my whole life is different so many, many times!

    Absolutely, positively lifestyle changes. Almost everything is new.
  • Dnarules
    Dnarules Posts: 2,081 Member
    Hornsby wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    yopeeps025 wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    yopeeps025 wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    gothchiq wrote: »
    I think it happens when people do unsustainable things to lose weight and/or don't have a good understanding of how to behave on a permanent basis for maintenance.
    They say that people who lose on crash diets have the same success rate for maintaining as those who don't. How you lose the weight is no indication of success when it comes to keeping it off.

    It's all very depressing when I think about it, lol.

    So you are already thinking of become a statistic?

    Everyone is part of the statistics, even hoes who keep it off. Those 2/10 who keep it off are in those stats.

    If the stats are right, 8/10 people in this thread who say they won't gain it back will, in fact, gain it back. It only makes sense to consider it.

    n=1 will succeed. I don't really care who gives up because I know I won't. Statistics are facts about the past and you keep holding it to truth about the future.

    8/10 people in this thread who say they won't gain it back are going to gain it back. I wish I knew how to be one of the two who won't.

    This simply isn't true. The vast majority of MFP members that frequent the forums are much more knowledgeable about weight loss than the average joe taking phentramine on their doc's recommendation. That 8/10 number does not apply here.

    Well, I'm only n=1, but I gained it all back. I started MFP in Aug. 2012 and started in the forums right away. Within a week or so, I found IPOARM and never looked back. I averaged 1700 cals a day, and didn't eliminate foods I loved. I exercised 5 to 6
    days a week, and had even started running.

    I lost 54 pounds, and gave away all my larger clothes because I was never going back. I'm now back where I started. I understand the science. I know what to do.

    MFP is large enough that it would interesting to design some type of study based on its members. I do agree that knowledge increases your chances of succeeding. But there are other things at play. I can't be the only one.
  • daniwilford
    daniwilford Posts: 1,030 Member
    My aunt lost weight after 50 and kept it off until her death at 89. My mom lost weight over 25 years ago and is still trim at 83. They lost weight for health reasons, the dreaded diabetes diagnosis. When a warning shot was fired over my bow by the 3D's, I began my weight loss journey. In my family we see what happens to those who don't heed the warning, 2 of the cousins were dead in 10 years. I come from a family of strong women who can beat the odds, I plan on carrying on the legacy of choosing life.
  • SezxyStef
    SezxyStef Posts: 15,267 Member
    Dnarules wrote: »
    Hornsby wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    yopeeps025 wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    yopeeps025 wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    gothchiq wrote: »
    I think it happens when people do unsustainable things to lose weight and/or don't have a good understanding of how to behave on a permanent basis for maintenance.
    They say that people who lose on crash diets have the same success rate for maintaining as those who don't. How you lose the weight is no indication of success when it comes to keeping it off.

    It's all very depressing when I think about it, lol.

    So you are already thinking of become a statistic?

    Everyone is part of the statistics, even hoes who keep it off. Those 2/10 who keep it off are in those stats.

    If the stats are right, 8/10 people in this thread who say they won't gain it back will, in fact, gain it back. It only makes sense to consider it.

    n=1 will succeed. I don't really care who gives up because I know I won't. Statistics are facts about the past and you keep holding it to truth about the future.

    8/10 people in this thread who say they won't gain it back are going to gain it back. I wish I knew how to be one of the two who won't.

    This simply isn't true. The vast majority of MFP members that frequent the forums are much more knowledgeable about weight loss than the average joe taking phentramine on their doc's recommendation. That 8/10 number does not apply here.

    Well, I'm only n=1, but I gained it all back. I started MFP in Aug. 2012 and started in the forums right away. Within a week or so, I found IPOARM and never looked back. I averaged 1700 cals a day, and didn't eliminate foods I loved. I exercised 5 to 6
    days a week, and had even started running.

    I lost 54 pounds, and gave away all my larger clothes because I was never going back. I'm now back where I started. I understand the science. I know what to do.

    MFP is large enough that it would interesting to design some type of study based on its members. I do agree that knowledge increases your chances of succeeding. But there are other things at play. I can't be the only one.

    Question is why are you back where you started?

    Falling back into previous habits? How did that happen?

    I ask these questions as I do know that people are here again and again and I always ask the question....why?

    You have all the tools here to maintain the weight loss? why didn't you?
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  • Dnarules
    Dnarules Posts: 2,081 Member
    SezxyStef wrote: »
    Dnarules wrote: »
    Hornsby wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    yopeeps025 wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    yopeeps025 wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    gothchiq wrote: »
    I think it happens when people do unsustainable things to lose weight and/or don't have a good understanding of how to behave on a permanent basis for maintenance.
    They say that people who lose on crash diets have the same success rate for maintaining as those who don't. How you lose the weight is no indication of success when it comes to keeping it off.

    It's all very depressing when I think about it, lol.

    So you are already thinking of become a statistic?

    Everyone is part of the statistics, even hoes who keep it off. Those 2/10 who keep it off are in those stats.

    If the stats are right, 8/10 people in this thread who say they won't gain it back will, in fact, gain it back. It only makes sense to consider it.

    n=1 will succeed. I don't really care who gives up because I know I won't. Statistics are facts about the past and you keep holding it to truth about the future.

    8/10 people in this thread who say they won't gain it back are going to gain it back. I wish I knew how to be one of the two who won't.

    This simply isn't true. The vast majority of MFP members that frequent the forums are much more knowledgeable about weight loss than the average joe taking phentramine on their doc's recommendation. That 8/10 number does not apply here.

    Well, I'm only n=1, but I gained it all back. I started MFP in Aug. 2012 and started in the forums right away. Within a week or so, I found IPOARM and never looked back. I averaged 1700 cals a day, and didn't eliminate foods I loved. I exercised 5 to 6
    days a week, and had even started running.

    I lost 54 pounds, and gave away all my larger clothes because I was never going back. I'm now back where I started. I understand the science. I know what to do.

    MFP is large enough that it would interesting to design some type of study based on its members. I do agree that knowledge increases your chances of succeeding. But there are other things at play. I can't be the only one.

    Question is why are you back where you started?

    Falling back into previous habits? How did that happen?

    I ask these questions as I do know that people are here again and again and I always ask the question....why?

    You have all the tools here to maintain the weight loss? why didn't you?

    It's a good question. Obviously I fell back into bad habits. It was a combination of life events.

    My point is not that this is is inevitable. I was responding to someone who said they didn't believe it would really happen to those active in these forums. I would agree that success is likelier for many in here, but it can happen. So I agree that a plan and due diligence is critical.

  • echmainfit619
    echmainfit619 Posts: 333 Member
    > 2 in a 1000...

    If this is true, the answer is simple. Just be one of the 2.
  • Jruzer
    Jruzer Posts: 3,501 Member
    I'm a little dubious on the statistics that are being thrown around, i.e. whether the number who maintain is 0.1%, 2%, or 20%. But in any case it's clear that the recidivism rate is high.

    Isn't it better to know this in any case? Isn't it good to know that the odds are bad, and that your best bet is to gird your loins and do whatever you must to be successful? Equip yourself with your weapons, know thine enemy, train well, and be prepared for battle.

    Myself? I know that "Fat Jruzer" is always there, biding his time, waiting for an opportunity. I have met the enemy, and he is me.
  • DeguelloTex
    DeguelloTex Posts: 6,652 Member
    Jruzer wrote: »
    I'm a little dubious on the statistics that are being thrown around, i.e. whether the number who maintain is 0.1%, 2%, or 20%. But in any case it's clear that the recidivism rate is high.

    Isn't it better to know this in any case?
    That other people fail literally makes no difference to me and my success.

  • stevencloser
    stevencloser Posts: 8,911 Member
    Jruzer wrote: »
    I'm a little dubious on the statistics that are being thrown around, i.e. whether the number who maintain is 0.1%, 2%, or 20%. But in any case it's clear that the recidivism rate is high.

    Isn't it better to know this in any case? Isn't it good to know that the odds are bad, and that your best bet is to gird your loins and do whatever you must to be successful? Equip yourself with your weapons, know thine enemy, train well, and be prepared for battle.

    Myself? I know that "Fat Jruzer" is always there, biding his time, waiting for an opportunity. I have met the enemy, and he is me.

    These aren't odds. Your success isn't determined by rolling a die. It is entirely up to you. All that statistic says is that x% of people fail to keep up their determination for whatever reasons. If you can keep it up, your chance of succeeding is 100%. Even if there's life events that make it harder to keep up with it, it's still within your power at all times, maybe harder but always doable.
  • Jruzer
    Jruzer Posts: 3,501 Member
    edited July 2015
    @DeguelloTex and @stevencloser, I don't deny that you are correct. My point is that each individual needs to be prepared to be successful, and that knowing that others fail is a part of widsom, not defeatism. Let me offer a few analogies:

    - They say that once you learn to ride a bicycle, you never forget how. I think this is generally accepted. Most people don't worry about remembering how to ride a bike, because the percentage of people who forget is low. Once you've learned you can not worry about maintaining your new skill.

    - The percentage of marriages that end in divorce is very high. But yet I'd be willing to bet that very few people going into marriages think that they will be the ones whose marriages end in divorce. "That won't happen to us!" But I assert that it's prudent for married people to be aware that the divorce rate is high, to be aware of the causes of divorce, and to take measures to protect and strengthen their marriages.

    - I have a PhD in a difficult technical field. I committed to it and did what I had to do to be successful. I had very difficult times in the process to be sure. I saw many classmates and colleagues fall along the way, for various reasons:some didn't work hard enough, some got distracted with other affairs in life, some probably shouldn't have been there in the first place. Doesn't it make sense that I knew it was hard, and that many would fail, so that I could prepare myself, learning from those who were not successful?
  • DeguelloTex
    DeguelloTex Posts: 6,652 Member
    Jruzer wrote: »
    - I have a PhD in a difficult technical field. I committed to it and did what I had to do to be successful. I had very difficult times in the process to be sure. I saw many classmates and colleagues fall along the way, for various reasons:some didn't work hard enough, some got distracted with other affairs in life, some probably shouldn't have been there in the first place. Doesn't it make sense that I knew it was hard, and that many would fail, so that I could prepare myself, learning from those who were not successful?
    I don't know that I disagree completely with your premise, I just don't think the fact that other people failed is relevant to me.

    Yes, I agree that knowing there will be challenges would be helpful. I think people generally know that from their own experiences, though. If someone doesn't understand the scope and scale of the challenge then, for that person, knowing some outrageous percentage of people fail could help. Even then, though, once the challenge is understood, what those other people did or didn't do is completely independent of what a particular person does or doesn't do.

    On the academic perspective, when I started college, I told my family, academic advisers, and whatnot that I was going to graduate with a 4.0. "Oh, that's so hard. Very few people do it. Don't set yourself up for disappointment." I graduated with a 4.0.

    Law school. Same thing.

    Learning to program. Essentially the same thing, just without explicit grades.

    Really, fat doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell here. One day, I might be overweight per the BMI because of muscle mass, but I will never, ever, ever have a high bodyfat percentage again. It just won't happen, regardless of however many other people said the same thing and failed.
  • RockstarWilson
    RockstarWilson Posts: 836 Member
    Maybe eating is an addiction, maybe not. But it is true that, as with all things that take greater effort and education, most overweight will gain some weight back. It could be 10% of what was lost, or 150%. Our ancestors went through similar cycles. We are human, and we are prone to err in judgment.

    The first part of a solution, however, is recognizing that there is a problem. Most people gain weight back. Is it for the same reasons as our ancestors? If not, what could be the cause?
  • DeguelloTex
    DeguelloTex Posts: 6,652 Member
    edited July 2015
    The first part of a solution, however, is recognizing that there is a problem. Most people gain weight back. Is it for the same reasons as our ancestors? If not, what could be the cause?
    Most likely, the fact that most of the industrialized world doesn't go through the feast and famine cycle very much. It's all feast and almost no famine. You can buy more calories than you can carry. Add that to what may well be less activity overall and presto!

  • Qskim
    Qskim Posts: 1,145 Member
    I think one of the best things that has been added to MFP in recent years is the maintenance thread. It certainly gave me pause for thought. Yes, I believed I approach this in a sustainable way...has always been my goal but when you are a hairs breath away from it (maintenance), it's funny what your mind does. I read that section to ready for it.

    In some ways, the idea of maintenance puts me off ever reaching that point and then I think well how stupid, considering my loss plan is also my maintenance plan. I fall off but I can't deny what I now know and that gets me going again.

    I see that maintenance thread daily and often think of all the diet books I've ever read - not a single one had a chapter on maintenance or spoke about long term adherence specifically. What happens when you get there? I think how did I come up with the notion myself because I did somehow, so it must have been scattered somewhere in my reading. I know some (authors) assume people understand this but they don't seem to reinforce the premise. That is what I feel should be the very first chapter. Can you do this forever...the choices you make?

    What I know for certain is that if I'd have never tried because someone suggested it's futile (and I got told to accept being MO cos genetics - the very next day I set about defying genetics) then I would never have pushed myself to learn what I now know. I think, with the right understanding, it is possible for a greater number to conquer this with better information. We are lucky on MFP to have access to better information. I've read more science studies because of the easier access here than I could have otherwise. I was interested but I also had a naive faith in the health industry delivering the correct information. It's "health" for goodness sake...surely no BS when it comes to that?
  • ogmomma2012
    ogmomma2012 Posts: 1,520 Member
    I think I'm confident that it will be a lifelong commitment and sometimes even a struggle once I get down to maintenance. I'm probably going to log my food for the rest of my life. Exercise will probably always be a battle. Realizing this, though, makes it easier. I really hope to be part of the 20% that has escaped a life of always being overweight.
  • bennettinfinity
    bennettinfinity Posts: 865 Member
    Zedeff wrote: »
    I agree with @Kalikel. Everyone should be mindful of the high probability that they will regain. Everyone who says "well that only applies to OTHER people and not to me" needs to remember one thing: you weren't born obese, you became that way through your choices. In other words, you've already failed once. If you couldn't avoid it last time, why are you confident that you can avoid it this time?

    I'm not saying don't try. If anything, I'm saying "try harder." I know that's my plan, because really, what other options do we have?

    All the statistics are saying is that a PROPORTION of people will regain weight - the statistic doesn't apply to the individual. All individuals represent INDEPENDENT variables. My success or failure has absolutely no impact on your success or failure and vice versa.
  • Kalikel
    Kalikel Posts: 9,603 Member
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
  • DeguelloTex
    DeguelloTex Posts: 6,652 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
    You have no way of knowing that.

  • Kalikel
    Kalikel Posts: 9,603 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
    You have no way of knowing that.
    It doesn't take a genius to count them up and do the math.
  • bennettinfinity
    bennettinfinity Posts: 865 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.

    I don't think anyone denies it *could* be them - but I'm fairly positive a large number here would indicate that if they *do* regain, it's because they went back to their old ways.

    Don't go back to the old ways, keep doing what got you to goal, and success is guaranteed.

    The maintenance phase requires just as much diligence as the weight-loss phase.
  • DeguelloTex
    DeguelloTex Posts: 6,652 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
    You have no way of knowing that.
    It doesn't take a genius to count them up and do the math.
    You might want to learn more about statistics and non-random samples before you pronounce what does and doesn't take genius.

  • bennettinfinity
    bennettinfinity Posts: 865 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
    You have no way of knowing that.
    It doesn't take a genius to count them up and do the math.

    So which of us will fail? You can't apply statistics to individuals, it doesn't work that way.
  • lemurcat12
    lemurcat12 Posts: 30,886 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
    You have no way of knowing that.
    It doesn't take a genius to count them up and do the math.
    You might want to learn more about statistics and non-random samples before you pronounce what does and doesn't take genius.

    This.

    For example, the percentage of Americans below the poverty line says nothing about the percentage of residents of my neighborhood who are below the poverty line.

    Similarly, the percentage of Americans who own a car says nothing about the percentage of residents of my neighborhood (in a large city with good--well, reasonable--public transportation and a strong encouragement of biking) who own a car. (I happen to know from the food desert information that my neighborhood is well under the average on this, even though we are not a food desert.)
  • zyxst
    zyxst Posts: 9,148 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.

    BB bro is comparing being obese to having a food addiction. Since I don't have such an addiction, I'm clearly out of his perimeters for "fatties who lose will regain. lulz" speech.
  • Kalikel
    Kalikel Posts: 9,603 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
    You have no way of knowing that.
    It doesn't take a genius to count them up and do the math.
    You might want to learn more about statistics and non-random samples before you pronounce what does and doesn't take genius.
    Tell yourself whatever you want. Believe that everyone in this thread is one of the exceptions.

    And tell yourself that thinking it makes you smarter than I am, if you want.

    I'm out.
  • Therealobi1
    Therealobi1 Posts: 3,262 Member
    edited July 2015
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
    It tells you that we are working hard on ourselves.
    yes some maybe wrong but what should they do give up now
  • stevencloser
    stevencloser Posts: 8,911 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
    You have no way of knowing that.
    It doesn't take a genius to count them up and do the math.

    You still show a pretty big misunderstanding of how statistics works.
  • stevencloser
    stevencloser Posts: 8,911 Member
    Kalikel wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    Kalikel wrote: »
    The fact that everyone in this thread thinks it won't be them tells you something! Some of them are wrong.
    You have no way of knowing that.
    It doesn't take a genius to count them up and do the math.
    You might want to learn more about statistics and non-random samples before you pronounce what does and doesn't take genius.
    Tell yourself whatever you want. Believe that everyone in this thread is one of the exceptions.

    And tell yourself that thinking it makes you smarter than I am, if you want.

    I'm out.

    Look. Let's say something like... 70% of gym goers never bench press more than 100 kg in their life, or whatever.
    Now you go to bodybuilding.com and tell them that. Do you think that 70% of the people on bodybuilding.com never bench press more than 100 kg?