Not exercising worse for your health than smoking, diabetes and heart disease, study reveals

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Replies

  • Evelyn_Gorfram
    Evelyn_Gorfram Posts: 706 Member
    edited October 2018
    nvmomketo wrote: »
    Zedeff wrote: »
    Why does it matter “why” someone is unfit? The study is pretty clear: lack of fitness correlates with risk of death. The “why” may inform interventions but doesn’t impact the outcome interaction, that lack of fitness may predict risk of death.

    Some people are more likely to be less fit, and die younger, due to health problems. They just happen to lose fitness as their health condition progresses.

    I'm not saying that lack of fitness does not correlate with risk of death. I'm saying that there may not be much causation. Fitness may drop off if someone has a chronic, possibly life threatening condition. Those without those problems are more likely to be able to achieve a greater level of fitness. IMO

    For (a more extreme) example, retirement, wrinkles and grey hair also correlate with an increased risk of death. There's no causation there.
    Woot! So, as long as my 89-yo mom keeps getting her hair colored, she'll never die! ( ...right?)

    The correlation/causation joke going around when I was in college went like this:
    Multiple studies have shown that the number of mules in a given locality is inversely related to the number of university professors in that same locality. So now people are bringing mules in in the hope of driving the university professors out.
  • AnnPT77
    AnnPT77 Posts: 34,688 Member
    nvmomketo wrote: »
    Zedeff wrote: »
    Why does it matter “why” someone is unfit? The study is pretty clear: lack of fitness correlates with risk of death. The “why” may inform interventions but doesn’t impact the outcome interaction, that lack of fitness may predict risk of death.

    Some people are more likely to be less fit, and die younger, due to health problems. They just happen to lose fitness as their health condition progresses.

    I'm not saying that lack of fitness does not correlate with risk of death. I'm saying that there may not be much causation. Fitness may drop off if someone has a chronic, possibly life threatening condition. Those without those problems are more likely to be able to achieve a greater level of fitness. IMO

    For (a more extreme) example, retirement, wrinkles and grey hair also correlate with an increased risk of death. There's no causation there.
    Woot! So, as long as my 89-yo mom keeps getting her hair colored, she'll never die! ( ...right?)

    The correlation/causation joke going around when I was in college went like this:
    Multiple studies have shown that the number of mules in a given locality is inversely related to the number of university professors in that same locality. So now people are bringing mules in in the hope of driving the university professors out.

    My favorite correlation/causation joke is the one where someone did a study showing that older people with higher grip strength lived longer, then a bunch of aging inactive people started squeezing tennis balls to live longer.

    Wait, what? That wasn't a joke, it was real?!!?
  • nvmomketo
    nvmomketo Posts: 12,019 Member
    nvmomketo wrote: »
    Zedeff wrote: »
    Why does it matter “why” someone is unfit? The study is pretty clear: lack of fitness correlates with risk of death. The “why” may inform interventions but doesn’t impact the outcome interaction, that lack of fitness may predict risk of death.

    Some people are more likely to be less fit, and die younger, due to health problems. They just happen to lose fitness as their health condition progresses.

    I'm not saying that lack of fitness does not correlate with risk of death. I'm saying that there may not be much causation. Fitness may drop off if someone has a chronic, possibly life threatening condition. Those without those problems are more likely to be able to achieve a greater level of fitness. IMO

    For (a more extreme) example, retirement, wrinkles and grey hair also correlate with an increased risk of death. There's no causation there.
    Woot! So, as long as my 89-yo mom keeps getting her hair colored, she'll never die! ( ...right?)

    The correlation/causation joke going around when I was in college went like this:
    Multiple studies have shown that the number of mules in a given locality is inversely related to the number of university professors in that same locality. So now people are bringing mules in in the hope of driving the university professors out.

    I'm starting to grey in my 40s. I'm doomed....
  • Evelyn_Gorfram
    Evelyn_Gorfram Posts: 706 Member
    nvmomketo wrote: »
    nvmomketo wrote: »
    Zedeff wrote: »
    Why does it matter “why” someone is unfit? The study is pretty clear: lack of fitness correlates with risk of death. The “why” may inform interventions but doesn’t impact the outcome interaction, that lack of fitness may predict risk of death.

    Some people are more likely to be less fit, and die younger, due to health problems. They just happen to lose fitness as their health condition progresses.

    I'm not saying that lack of fitness does not correlate with risk of death. I'm saying that there may not be much causation. Fitness may drop off if someone has a chronic, possibly life threatening condition. Those without those problems are more likely to be able to achieve a greater level of fitness. IMO

    For (a more extreme) example, retirement, wrinkles and grey hair also correlate with an increased risk of death. There's no causation there.
    Woot! So, as long as my 89-yo mom keeps getting her hair colored, she'll never die! ( ...right?)

    The correlation/causation joke going around when I was in college went like this:
    Multiple studies have shown that the number of mules in a given locality is inversely related to the number of university professors in that same locality. So now people are bringing mules in in the hope of driving the university professors out.

    I'm starting to grey in my 40s. I'm doomed....
    Not if Lady Clairol has anything to say about it... ;)

  • Machka9
    Machka9 Posts: 25,737 Member
    I went grey in my early 30s ... at a time I was peaking with my exercise and fitness in general.
  • Machka9
    Machka9 Posts: 25,737 Member
    kimny72 wrote: »
    I think I'm probably not being clear. All I'm saying is that correlation studies usually get translated incorrectly to the public who often take away the wrong message. I'm not really taking issue with the study, more with the article and the title in addition to theorizing about the underlying why but I seem to be posting faster than my brain can keep up so I'm just going to stop :lol: I don't disagree with anything you guys are saying, if my posts didn't convey that, my bad.

    Are you saying that "exercise is good for you" is the wrong message?

    Some people I know would have you believe that.
  • Aaron_K123
    Aaron_K123 Posts: 7,122 Member
    edited October 2018
    Well i suppose it may be worse to being out of shape person than a physically fit diabetic....but honesty the majority of diabetics aren't physically fit so its kind of a moot point.
  • MikePTY
    MikePTY Posts: 3,814 Member
    I saw this study a few days ago and it was a kick in the butt for both my wife and I. We've known that being out of shape was bad for us, but it really hit home how important getting back into physical shape is.
  • NorthCascades
    NorthCascades Posts: 10,968 Member
    AnnPT77 wrote: »
    nvmomketo wrote: »
    Zedeff wrote: »
    Why does it matter “why” someone is unfit? The study is pretty clear: lack of fitness correlates with risk of death. The “why” may inform interventions but doesn’t impact the outcome interaction, that lack of fitness may predict risk of death.

    Some people are more likely to be less fit, and die younger, due to health problems. They just happen to lose fitness as their health condition progresses.

    I'm not saying that lack of fitness does not correlate with risk of death. I'm saying that there may not be much causation. Fitness may drop off if someone has a chronic, possibly life threatening condition. Those without those problems are more likely to be able to achieve a greater level of fitness. IMO

    For (a more extreme) example, retirement, wrinkles and grey hair also correlate with an increased risk of death. There's no causation there.
    Woot! So, as long as my 89-yo mom keeps getting her hair colored, she'll never die! ( ...right?)

    The correlation/causation joke going around when I was in college went like this:
    Multiple studies have shown that the number of mules in a given locality is inversely related to the number of university professors in that same locality. So now people are bringing mules in in the hope of driving the university professors out.

    My favorite correlation/causation joke is the one where someone did a study showing that older people with higher grip strength lived longer, then a bunch of aging inactive people started squeezing tennis balls to live longer.

    Wait, what? That wasn't a joke, it was real?!!?

    My favorite isn't really a joke it's an observation, but is along the same lines.

    Not everything that runs in families (correlation) is genetic ("cause" - or not). Like recipes, fortunes, and heirlooms.

    Really doesn't apply in this case. But I always thought it was a clever and obvious cautionary tale in general.
  • lorrpb
    lorrpb Posts: 11,463 Member
    AnnPT77 wrote: »
    nvmomketo wrote: »
    Zedeff wrote: »
    Why does it matter “why” someone is unfit? The study is pretty clear: lack of fitness correlates with risk of death. The “why” may inform interventions but doesn’t impact the outcome interaction, that lack of fitness may predict risk of death.

    Some people are more likely to be less fit, and die younger, due to health problems. They just happen to lose fitness as their health condition progresses.

    I'm not saying that lack of fitness does not correlate with risk of death. I'm saying that there may not be much causation. Fitness may drop off if someone has a chronic, possibly life threatening condition. Those without those problems are more likely to be able to achieve a greater level of fitness. IMO

    For (a more extreme) example, retirement, wrinkles and grey hair also correlate with an increased risk of death. There's no causation there.
    Woot! So, as long as my 89-yo mom keeps getting her hair colored, she'll never die! ( ...right?)

    The correlation/causation joke going around when I was in college went like this:
    Multiple studies have shown that the number of mules in a given locality is inversely related to the number of university professors in that same locality. So now people are bringing mules in in the hope of driving the university professors out.

    My favorite correlation/causation joke is the one where someone did a study showing that older people with higher grip strength lived longer, then a bunch of aging inactive people started squeezing tennis balls to live longer.

    Wait, what? That wasn't a joke, it was real?!!?

    Correlation is not causation.
  • Gamliela
    Gamliela Posts: 2,468 Member
    ahoy_m8 wrote: »

    In a similar vein, I’m particularly annoyed by “studies” promoted by the fish industry. They correlate eating fish x times per week to an astonishing array of outcomes, from longevity to fetal academic achievement. Some studies correct for some factors, but not wealth. Fish is expensive! Wealth has numerous positive outcomes— longevity, educational attainment, less stress, better sleep, better healthcare. I am utterly unconvinced fish can take credit for all this. Nothing against fish. I like it, too. Ok, that was a bit off topic. Apologies.

    I know how expensive fish can be for people who live inland and it has to be shipped a long way. I'm gratful to be living where a kilo of sardines is one dollar and two large slices of fresh tuna come to ( 700 grams) 7 dollars. Tuna and sword fish are expensive everywhere but there are so many more healthy small fish that are extremely cheap to eat. The smaller the fish usually the less the load of metals it will have.

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