What rate can someone lose at.

lemurcat12

Tacklewasher wrote: »

And, please understand. This is an intellectual exercise for me and I like doing this *kitten*. Having numbers like this to play with is part of who I am so don't get concerned I'm overthinking it, or going to punish myself if I don't hit these goals. In a way, being able to do this makes weight loss easier FOR ME.

I'm the same way, so I get it. You just have to know yourself.

everher

Tacklewasher wrote: »

So I've played in Excel.
Average exercise calories earned according to MFP for Nov 1 - Dec 21 is 804 per day. I know from testing what MFP shows to what my Polar H7 shows, that MFP (for me) is about 20% overstated. So that gives about 670 cals earned per day over BMR + sedentary (my MFP base).

So, with a goal of eating ~2000 cals per day, I've worked backwards to what my weekly loss should be to cover my BMR + 20% + 500 cals from exercise. Has me @ 220 mid August.

Now to see how close I come in the end.

And, please understand. This is an intellectual exercise for me and I like doing this *kitten*. Having numbers like this to play with is part of who I am so don't get concerned I'm overthinking it, or going to punish myself if I don't hit these goals. In a way, being able to do this makes weight loss easier FOR ME.

I can also tell you what my fuel mileage is on every fill up of the truck I'm driving, and what the trucks computer said in comparison.

I am a numbers person myself and I like to have goals to keep me on track. I don't beat myself up if I miss them, but when I have done the math and I know what I *should* be losing and I'm not losing it, it makes it easier for me to go back and say, "hmm, have I gotten sloppy with my logging or exercising less?" I prefer having data over not having it, but that's just me.

Wicked_Seraph

Two pounds per week becomes unreasonable once the requirement for 2lbs/week (1000 calories below TDEE daily) sends you well below the recommended TDEE for your height and weight.

This is why weight loss slows as we become closer to our goal weights - our deficit is less steep as our size (and thereby our TDEE) decreases. I wouldn't focus too much on hitting established numbers. A variety of factors can affect rate of loss.

JeromeBarry1

I'm down 88 lb since January 25 so that's a little less than 2 lb/week. It's been odd, too. November, I lost nothing. The past 2 weeks, I lost 10 lb. I'm 5 lb below my Thanksgiving morning weight. There's really about you or the process other than the rock-solid fact that CICO does work easier for men than women. It works for both, but it's easier for men.

And I use Excel to predict my today weight based on my rolling calorie deficit and use the deviation from reality to evaluate the accuracy of my logging.

AnnPT77

Speaking as a fellow data geek, I think you might want to check this out:

MFP Data Export Tool - The Overview

It includes a link to a thread where the tool's discussed at length.

Tacklewasher

AnnPT77 wrote: »

Speaking as a fellow data geek, I think you might want to check this out:

MFP Data Export Tool - The Overview

It includes a link to a thread where the tool's discussed at length.

Nice.

I have a link that pulls info out as CSV data, but this one looks nicer. I'll look at it tonight.

Tacklewasher

Thought I may as well update this.

Was down ~ 10 for Dec. And down ~ 10 for Jan. Kinda varies depending on the day I pick (Jan 1 was 8, Jan 4 was 12 type thing) but around 10 for both months. I've been comparing my exercise calories pushed through to MFP and where I said I was down ~20%, it's a lot closer so I haven't been eating back enough exercise calories.

Been doing the C25K on the treadmill as well as light weight work twice a week. Plus I've been snow shoeing every weekend for the past month or so. God that burns calories. Hurt my toe snow shoeing last week, so little treadmill during the week and not snow shoeing this weekend. Means I've been limited to ~1,600 calories and I don't like that very much. Back on the treadmill yesterday and will do again today.

lulalacroix

Tacklewasher wrote: »

Thought I may as well update this.

Was down ~ 10 for Dec. And down ~ 10 for Jan. Kinda varies depending on the day I pick (Jan 1 was 8, Jan 4 was 12 type thing) but around 10 for both months. I've been comparing my exercise calories pushed through to MFP and where I said I was down ~20%, it's a lot closer so I haven't been eating back enough exercise calories.

Been doing the C25K on the treadmill as well as light weight work twice a week. Plus I've been snow shoeing every weekend for the past month or so. God that burns calories. Hurt my toe snow shoeing last week, so little treadmill during the week and not snow shoeing this weekend. Means I've been limited to ~1,600 calories and I don't like that very much. Back on the treadmill yesterday and will do again today.

Following this thread because I too like the numbers and have created a weight loss chart. Thanks for the update.

Also snow shoeing is amazing!

medic2038

First and foremost.... Awesome job, keep up the great work!
2k per day should carry you to sub 220 (might need some tweaking).

Being a bigger guy you can tend to have more consistent results for longer. Inevitably you WILL have off weeks where your results are below where you expect them to be. Keep sticking to your 2k and eventually it should normalize.

Tacklewasher

Dammit!
I missed my step goal yesterday by 22 steps. I should have looked at my watch before going to bed and done once around the living room.

Dammit!

/vent over

Tacklewasher

So, March 1 update.

Pretty frustrated the last week and a half as I was stuck right around 258. Which, for me, is the crossover from Obese Class II to Class I from a BMI standpoint. I hit 258 on Feb 18th, but kept bouncing up and down. Feb 27 & 28 were 257.8 and 257.3, but today was 255.5. Still ~ 10 lbs in Feb. Continuing to eat ~2000 cals but am burning through more as I'm jogging more, so I'm still a bit under my overall allowance, hence still losing more than 2 lbs per week. But @ 2000 cals, I don't think I have much of an issue with it. Plus I'm sure my logging isn't 100%.

Finished the C25K but taking another month until I actually am doing 5K. Need to work on my speed. Will do some outside running in March as well, once winter goes away. But the snow up on the hills is kinda sucky for snow shoeing, so I'm done that for the winter.

Next goal is 247.5, or 25% of my starting weight gone. Hope to get there by the end of March. It's 8 lbs away so perfectly doable.

kshama2001

Thanks for the update!

I discovered the joys of snowshoeing this year, inspired in part by @NorthCascades. I have older, wooden, long, heavy snowshoes, and boy that is hard work! Not complaining; makes for a great workout when I'm short on time. My longest time was a whopping 38 minutes and that was a killer.

However, looking at the weather forecast, we may be done with sufficient snow this year

Tacklewasher

kshama2001 wrote: »

Thanks for the update!

I discovered the joys of snowshoeing this year, inspired in part by @NorthCascades. I have older, wooden, long, heavy snowshoes, and boy that is hard work! Not complaining; makes for a great workout when I'm short on time. My longest time was a whopping 38 minutes and that was a killer.

However, looking at the weather forecast, we may be done with sufficient snow this year

I've been doing 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 hours. I find 2 hours is about my max, after that I become whiny. But I have lighter snow shoes (Costco). I'd hate to do this in the old wooden ones.

March will be tough as I can't do any real walks because it is still mucky, but snow shoeing is out. Can't wait for April to start doing a weekend hike.

NorthCascades

It's amazing how quickly snowshoeing can exhaust a person.

kshama2001

Tacklewasher wrote: »

kshama2001 wrote: »

Thanks for the update!

I discovered the joys of snowshoeing this year, inspired in part by @NorthCascades. I have older, wooden, long, heavy snowshoes, and boy that is hard work! Not complaining; makes for a great workout when I'm short on time. My longest time was a whopping 38 minutes and that was a killer.

However, looking at the weather forecast, we may be done with sufficient snow this year

I've been doing 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 hours. I find 2 hours is about my max, after that I become whiny. But I have lighter snow shoes (Costco). I'd hate to do this in the old wooden ones.

March will be tough as I can't do any real walks because it is still mucky, but snow shoeing is out. Can't wait for April to start doing a weekend hike.

Parts of my trails are flooded out this time of year, and when I know I won't be able to get a proper walk walk, I bring along clippers and work on the overgrowth on the sides of the trails. I get less steps, but plenty of exercise.

AnnPT77

Tacklewasher wrote: »

So, March 1 update.

Pretty frustrated the last week and a half as I was stuck right around 258. Which, for me, is the crossover from Obese Class II to Class I from a BMI standpoint. I hit 258 on Feb 18th, but kept bouncing up and down. Feb 27 & 28 were 257.8 and 257.3, but today was 255.5. Still ~ 10 lbs in Feb. Continuing to eat ~2000 cals but am burning through more as I'm jogging more, so I'm still a bit under my overall allowance, hence still losing more than 2 lbs per week. But @ 2000 cals, I don't think I have much of an issue with it. Plus I'm sure my logging isn't 100%.

Finished the C25K but taking another month until I actually am doing 5K. Need to work on my speed. Will do some outside running in March as well, once winter goes away. But the snow up on the hills is kinda sucky for snow shoeing, so I'm done that for the winter.

Next goal is 247.5, or 25% of my starting weight gone. Hope to get there by the end of March. It's 8 lbs away so perfectly doable.

Maybe those BMI classification boundaries really do have real-world correlates, so they're hard to jump over? Y'know, kinda like the way players trip on the blue line in ice hockey?

Congrats on getting over the border. Good luck on the next phase!

P.S. I watched my late husband snowshoeing, quickly assessed the difficulty level, and just stuck with XC skiing. Kudos to all of you for having more character!

TR0berts

+1 for the hockey reference

Tacklewasher

AnnPT77 wrote: »

P.S. I watched my late husband snowshoeing, quickly assessed the difficulty level, and just stuck with XC skiing. Kudos to all of you for having more character!

My wife wants to try XC next winter. I'm not sure it's easier in hilly terrain. I did it as a kid on the prairies, but some of the hills on the local trails do not look easy.