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Pfizer for teens?

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  • chocolate_owl
    chocolate_owl Posts: 1,695 Member
    edited May 2021
    cwolfman13 wrote: »
    cwolfman13 wrote: »
    NVintage wrote: »
    Moderna said zero COVID cases were detected among children and teens who received the vaccine in a clinical trial, giving it an efficacy of 100%..probably will be approved in June? @chocolate_owl
    I would feel really bad if she got covid and had bad long term effects, but would feel just as bad if the vaccines turned out not as safe as we think. It's hard for me to decide sometimes what's best, but I am at an advantage because I've been able to homeschool, and there's not a lot she'd be missing out on if I wait til August since most of her friends have younger siblings and would have to follow the safety guidelines for the unvaccinated anyway.
    cwolfman13 wrote: »
    I'm hoping 12 and under get approved soon...hopefully before school starts back in August, but we're also taking a family vacation at the end of July and I would prefer them to be fully vaccinated...especially since we're going into one of the anti-vax/COVID denier capitals of the US in Florida.
    I wonder why some places are so much more cautious than others!Is cautious the right word?:/ I am a little North of Florida in Georgia, and I know quite a few highly educated people dead set against it.

    It's called politics. And from there, people find anything they want to find to fit their confirmation bias. You can be highly educated and also stupid at the same time. I trust science...people act like they just pushed this out willy nilly...it's mRNA vaccines have been in the works for decades. I also know a lot of people in the medical field and a good friend of mine is a chemist that worked on the moderna vaccine and I trust him implicitly.

    The wheel was not reinvented here...

    I feel like some of the most highly educated people I know were also prone to overestimate how well they knew things that they really didn't know that much about. They tend to assume that since they know a lot about one thing they can transfer that knowledge to immediately understanding subjects and situations they don't know much about.

    People who are highly educated and have common sense tend to also understand their limitations and are able to acknowledge that there are many subjects in which they aren't the best source of information.

    Yeah, I'm pretty highly educated. I'm great with business, accounting, statistics, and economics. I sucked at most of the sciences and I'm not in that field so I defer to those professionals who overwhelmingly say that the vaccine is safe.

    My chemist friend told me emphatically that it is safe and has been in the works for a very long time, just lacked the funding. He says it's a game changer for vaccines in general and even thinks this could potentially be a major breakthrough for viruses like HIV. I'm just going to defer to people who are way smarter with stuff like this than I am. Not that doing research is a bad thing, but it's pretty easy to dive down a rabbit hole of misinformation, especially when you're really trying to confirm your own bias.

    To the bolded: Moderna is taking mRNA vaccines for the flu and HIV to phase 1 trials this year. The cytomegalovirus vaccine is going to Phase 3. These haven't been concocted overnight. Pharma companies have been steadily pursuing this technology, waiting for the funding to become available to go through trials and approvals.

    https://www.biopharma-reporter.com/Article/2021/04/15/Moderna-to-take-mRNA-flu-and-HIV-vaccines-into-Phase-1-trials-this-year#:~:text=FREE newsletter Subscribe-,Moderna to take mRNA flu and HIV,Phase 1 trials this year&text=Moderna will take mRNA flu,candidate is also under way.
  • AnnPT77
    AnnPT77 Posts: 34,600 Member
    cwolfman13 wrote: »
    NVintage wrote: »
    Moderna said zero COVID cases were detected among children and teens who received the vaccine in a clinical trial, giving it an efficacy of 100%..probably will be approved in June? @chocolate_owl
    I would feel really bad if she got covid and had bad long term effects, but would feel just as bad if the vaccines turned out not as safe as we think. It's hard for me to decide sometimes what's best, but I am at an advantage because I've been able to homeschool, and there's not a lot she'd be missing out on if I wait til August since most of her friends have younger siblings and would have to follow the safety guidelines for the unvaccinated anyway.
    cwolfman13 wrote: »
    I'm hoping 12 and under get approved soon...hopefully before school starts back in August, but we're also taking a family vacation at the end of July and I would prefer them to be fully vaccinated...especially since we're going into one of the anti-vax/COVID denier capitals of the US in Florida.
    I wonder why some places are so much more cautious than others!Is cautious the right word?:/ I am a little North of Florida in Georgia, and I know quite a few highly educated people dead set against it.

    It's called politics. And from there, people find anything they want to find to fit their confirmation bias. You can be highly educated and also stupid at the same time. I trust science...people act like they just pushed this out willy nilly...it's mRNA vaccines have been in the works for decades. I also know a lot of people in the medical field and a good friend of mine is a chemist that worked on the moderna vaccine and I trust him implicitly.

    The wheel was not reinvented here...

    I feel like some of the most highly educated people I know were also prone to overestimate how well they knew things that they really didn't know that much about. They tend to assume that since they know a lot about one thing they can transfer that knowledge to immediately understanding subjects and situations they don't know much about.

    People who are highly educated and have common sense tend to also understand their limitations and are able to acknowledge that there are many subjects in which they aren't the best source of information.

    Dunning-Kruger effect, buttressed by selective information sources (media and more), plus a social context that encourages certain beliefs via humans' tendency to accept immediate norms, or perceived norms. It's not a coincidence that predominating beliefs may tend to be geographically or socially regionalized.

    The paragraph above is intended as a general statement about humans of many beliefs about the pandemic, vaccines, or really any other major thing. I'm not accusing any particular camp in any particular dispute of being specially biased in this respect. I do think it can be easier for people who are educated to fall into Dunning-Kruger style fallacies, but it's an equal-opportunity thing.
  • xrj22
    xrj22 Posts: 218 Member
    My opinion (and I think it is pretty well informed medically), is that covid risks are small for teenagers, and teens themselves do not really benefit from the vaccine. However, they do have a real risk of transmitting covid. So teachers and elderly people around them benefit. Of course, those people can lower their risk by vaccinating themselves, but no vaccine is 100%, so teens being vaccinated helps them a little bit. Also I teens getting vaccinated would help the society to get herd immunity. However, it is uncertain that we will ever get there. So, it is controversial how much to expect them to vaccinate for the common good --- especially when it is hard to define exactly how much it will help the common good under real-world situations (as opposed to the theoretical situation where everyone gets vaccinated.

    Personally, I think the benefit to the common good is large enough that teens should get vaccinated, and that at some point they should be required to. But that's my opinion. We live in a democracy. I am willing to accept that this may not turn out to be the majority opinion and the rules should reflect the majority opinion.

  • fitom80
    fitom80 Posts: 154 Member
    xrj22 wrote: »

    Just a note. There is significant risk for them alhough its lower than for older groups (see e..g. here https://idpjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s40249-020-00785-1) and you have to add risk of serious consequences. All is based on currently spread mutations. (and we know at least that british mut. has 60% higher spread potential than original one, and Indian 60% more than british so without vaccinating almost whole population (by indiam mut spread ratio) you can count number of dead children bcs sooner or later each of them will face the virus..) much more could be said.
  • NVintage
    NVintage Posts: 1,463 Member
    I agree with you with you about social media, but I really don't like how you quoted me, but edited what I actually said. Isn't that sort of like what the social media influencers do?
    YellowD0gs wrote: »
    NVintage wrote: »
    So apparently if I'm understanding this right, the immune response can cause estrogen levels to rise. So I probably wouldn't worry for a son or if my daughter were a little older, but she is about a year away from starting menstruation and I worry about giving her something that alters her hormone levels, right now. I'll keep looking into it, though, and might reevaluate if we have an outbreak this Autumn or if a new variant looks more dangerous for kids. Right now, there's not high risk for contracting it in our area. I am still glad to have gotten it myself, but wish that particular side effect was listed with the others...
    Here is an interesting video talking about estrogen and Covid(from 9 months ago)
    YouTube "doctor" deleted

    Just to be clear, if anybody needs any more reasons to AVOID social media medicine... Social Media Influencers paid money to discredit Pfizer vaccine.

  • NVintage
    NVintage Posts: 1,463 Member
    NVintage wrote: »
    So apparently if I'm understanding this right, the immune response can cause estrogen levels to rise. So I probably wouldn't worry for a son or if my daughter were a little older, but she is about a year away from starting menstruation and I worry about giving her something that alters her hormone levels, right now. I'll keep looking into it, though, and might reevaluate if we have an outbreak this Autumn or if a new variant looks more dangerous for kids. Right now, there's not high risk for contracting it in our area. I am still glad to have gotten it myself, but wish that particular side effect was listed with the others...
    Here is an interesting video
    https://youtu.be/AoSHkuc0hp8

    YellowD0gs wrote: »
    NVintage wrote: »
    No, but it doesn't make sense to use irrational fears to pressure people into vaccinating children any more than it does for adults to go unvaccinated if they're at higher risk for complications.
    You say others spread irrational fears, but you posted YouTube Medicine?

  • NVintage
    NVintage Posts: 1,463 Member
    edited May 2021
    NVintage wrote: »
    I'm not a scientist, but I do have a BA in Anthropology. I had to learn how to understand research papers for that, and am pretty good at detecting false science and bias. Dr. Campbell is on You tube, but he cites information from actual research papers and will let you know where to find it... Here is another video just simply explaining the role of estrogen in immune response. I'm not saying that the vaccine is dangerous. I'm just saying that this is something I want to look at a little more before deciding to make an appointment for my daughter.

    https://youtu.be/vMTNIpt-YjU

    @YellowD0gs This is a webinar from the University of Genova
  • Gisel2015
    Gisel2015 Posts: 4,189 Member
    I just saw this article on line. I really hope that parents start paying attention to this possible outbreak within the teen population and help them schedule their vaccination. Even if the youngsters don't get too sick, and based on reports from COVID survivors, they may have lingering side effects too regardless of their age.

    A rise in adolescent hospitalization rates is a reminder that children can suffer from the virus too, expert says

    https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/04/health/us-coronavirus-friday/index.html
  • NVintage
    NVintage Posts: 1,463 Member
    I know this article has a lot of truth to it, but I think this type of reporting is one reason why many people continue to distrust the government and public health. The headlines about rises in adolescent hospitalization rates without mentioning the actual numbers just seems manipulative...
    I'd rather someone tell me, "Look your kid has almost a zero chance of being hospitalized from covid unless there are previous health conditions to worry about. However, we have an abundance of vaccine in America and so why not vaccinate the kids to get closer to herd immunity since we have so many adults who refuse it...if all the adults were vaccinated we'd have no reason to vaccinate healthy kids. "
    From the CDC site:
    Among 376 adolescents hospitalized during January 1–March 31, 2021, who received a positive SARS-CoV-2 laboratory test result, 172 (45.7%) were analyzed separately because their primary reason for admission might not have been directly COVID-19–related (Table). Among the 204 patients who were likely admitted primarily for COVID-19–related illness, 52.5% were female, 31.4% were Hispanic or Latino (Hispanic), and 35.8% were non-Hispanic Black. Overall, 70.6% had one or more underlying medical conditions, the most common of which were obesity (35.8%), chronic lung disease, including asthma (30.9%), and neurologic disorders (14.2%); 31.4% of patients required ICU admission and 4.9% required invasive mechanical ventilation, but there were no associated deaths.
    Gisel2015 wrote: »
    I just saw this article on line. I really hope that parents start paying attention to this possible outbreak within the teen population and help them schedule their vaccination. Even if the youngsters don't get too sick, and based on reports from COVID survivors, they may have lingering side effects too regardless of their age.



    A rise in adolescent hospitalization rates is a reminder that children can suffer from the virus too, expert says

    https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/04/health/us-coronavirus-friday/index.html

  • NVintage
    NVintage Posts: 1,463 Member
    So that was 200-300 kids out of about 25 million?

    https://www.childstats.gov/AMERICASCHILDREN/tables/pop1.asp
  • NVintage
    NVintage Posts: 1,463 Member
    Good question!:D We also have to take into account the risk of exposure... 100% if vaccinated versus maybe 1 in 1,000 chance at most of being exposed to covid in my area right now (would be a lot less if more adults were vaccinated.)
    33gail33 wrote: »
    That were hospitalized. What percentage of kids with Covid do you think end up in the hospital? (Rhetorical question I don't know the exact number but I assume it is fairly low).

    Which means that many more kids are infected, and capable of spreading the virus to those who have risk factors and/or can't get vaccinated or don't mount an immune response to the vaccine. It also means many more kids might have long term complications (which are not dependent on the severity of illness.)

    Do you think that your kids risk of hospitalization from the vaccine is higher than 200-300 in 25 million?

  • NVintage
    NVintage Posts: 1,463 Member
    Also, is it ethical for wealthy countries to start vaccinating low risk children, while developing countries need vaccines for their elderly people?
  • cmriverside
    cmriverside Posts: 34,454 Member
    NVintage wrote: »
    Also, is it ethical for wealthy countries to start vaccinating low risk children, while developing countries need vaccines for their elderly people?

    When the "wealthy" countries have an abysmal healthcare system, yes.
    Go into the inner cities and rural poor areas of the U.S. and tell people with no health insurance that they should wait for their vaccine because the country is so "wealthy".

    Where in the U.S. do people not have Access to health insurance or state-funded plans?

    I got it for free on my state's insurance marketplace when Obamacare kicked in - 2014 or so.
  • cmriverside
    cmriverside Posts: 34,454 Member
    ah. Well, I guess I'm glad I moved away from Florida...and for a lot more reasons than insurance. I admit, I don't know how that works, haven't kept up with it, don't care, etc. I guess you make do with what's in front of you.
  • fitom80
    fitom80 Posts: 154 Member
    33gail33 wrote: »

    Do you think that your kids risk of hospitalization from the vaccine is higher than 200-300 in 25 million?

    It's not what one thinks. There are facts. You can google or scroll up the discussion i sent a link. And there is a chance for new mutations.

  • fitom80
    fitom80 Posts: 154 Member
    NVintage wrote: »
    Also, is it ethical for wealthy countries to start vaccinating low risk children, while developing countries need vaccines for their elderly people?

    Yes this is not a simple moral dilemma. There are 25000 ppl in the world dying daily from hunger (10000 children). There are also simply treatable diseases many ppl in third world unnecessarily are dying from. In this context it doesn't sounds as dilemma but cynicism.
    On the other hand and if it helps to challenge the dilemma...i have to add that there are ppl that cannot be vaccinated between us. Currently we need to achieve more than 80%( new mutations) to have a chance to protect them and unfortunately without children this is not possible.
  • sijomial
    sijomial Posts: 19,809 Member
    NVintage wrote: »
    Also, is it ethical for wealthy countries to start vaccinating low risk children, while developing countries need vaccines for their elderly people?

    This is part of the debate currently in the UK.
    The vaccine has been approved for use for 12 - 15 years old as being safe and effective.

    But the decision has not yet been made whether to actively vaccinate this age group.
    Do remember the impact of the virus is not solely around suffering adverse reactions to COVID which are typically but not exclusively mild in that age group, think of the missed education and social isolation too.

    This wouldn't be the only vaccine given to children for the benefit of society as a whole of course.

    There's not an easy answer whether we should prioritise vaccinating a low risk group, which besides the benefits to that cohort also reduces infection spread, versus donating to COVAX for vaccinating high risk groups in other countries. A targetted response to outbreaks and hotspots is one option.