Coronavirus prep
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slimgirljo15 wrote: »
I know Jo. So glad I didn't have to go through what they did and so happy for them too. It's now 6 days no new cases and no deaths there
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My sister told me tonight there are 2 positive cases within the Home Health Agency that visits her and dh most every day, some days sending more than 1 person. In fact, she had 3 different ones today, 1 for personal care, a nurse, and an aide.
This is not good. They're already short staffed to begin with, plus they go into Very vulnerable people's homes.16 -
Chicago deaths are starting to kick way back up, with 17 yesterday. The state will be at 10,000 total before the end of the week. Sigh.13
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My niece's little boy was in the hospital last night being tested. Not sure why she went to the hospital, though. Probably out of fear and habit. I know they are equipped to test, but the symptoms were a low grade fever and just lethargic and he's younger, like 6. I worry more about her, TBH, getting it or passing it to others.
It seems like PSA (Public Service Announcements) have been mostly non existent in many areas. Yes, you see educational stuff in stores, but information like what to do if you suspect you have it, aside from running to a test center, has been hit and miss in certain areas. Perhaps if we hadn't spent the last year arguing about masks or whether or not it was dangerous, we might have spent more time on public education geared toward prevention and stopping the public spread.12 -
I am frustrated. I was sure our governor would step us back into tighter restrictions now that the election is over (he was up for reelection and won). Nope. Even with 3,756 new cases and 25 deaths reported yesterday. He is leaving things up to the counties/cities to make the call individually. He also thinks that asking people to remember to wear their masks will help. Well, it hasn't helped yet so not sure why he thinks suddenly these idiots would decide to do it.
Sorry. I am frustrated. I don't WANT a shut down and I 100% understand the economic toll that it would have at all levels. But the current path is not going to work and is only going to get people sick and killed. If we had done it right the first time, we would be in a stronger place now, but we didn't. Too many businesses were considered essential and the state wasn't willing to put any real power behind the "shut down". My city was lucky and smart and we have trended better then the rest of the state in general except at the very beginning (due to many people commuting into Indianapolis for work and the high numbers there) but we got it handled quickly. Indy itself did well because the mayor was willing to take the hate and set stricter rules as well.
I just want all of you to know I am thinking about you and I hope you stay safe. This has been a good place for me to be able to rant and to talk to like minded people. So thank you.19 -
I am frustrated. I was sure our governor would step us back into tighter restrictions now that the election is over (he was up for reelection and won). Nope. Even with 3,756 new cases and 25 deaths reported yesterday. He is leaving things up to the counties/cities to make the call individually. He also thinks that asking people to remember to wear their masks will help. Well, it hasn't helped yet so not sure why he thinks suddenly these idiots would decide to do it.
Sorry. I am frustrated. I don't WANT a shut down and I 100% understand the economic toll that it would have at all levels. But the current path is not going to work and is only going to get people sick and killed. If we had done it right the first time, we would be in a stronger place now, but we didn't. Too many businesses were considered essential and the state wasn't willing to put any real power behind the "shut down". My city was lucky and smart and we have trended better then the rest of the state in general except at the very beginning (due to many people commuting into Indianapolis for work and the high numbers there) but we got it handled quickly. Indy itself did well because the mayor was willing to take the hate and set stricter rules as well.
I just want all of you to know I am thinking about you and I hope you stay safe. This has been a good place for me to be able to rant and to talk to like minded people. So thank you.
I live in TN and I 100% feel you but I'm not saying anything lately as my bluntness gets my posts deleted. We have about 40-50% guideline compliance. (That's me being generous, as it is often less in many spots.) Everyone else refuses and are often rude about it.
If our folks would just ALL wear masks, social distance, not gather in large groups, and not do inside dining/bars right now (until community spread goes back down to a manageable level), then we wouldn't need to lockdown like March again. But they won't and have proven that. My town just had a downtown Halloween event. Thousands of people lined up for 1.5 hours. I saw pics. Widespread lack of masks. There will be consequences. Some schools in the region have already had to move back to hybrid or complete virtual. Our hospital system in our corner is begging the community to step up. They've already gone into surge plans, nixed elective procedures, get crying nurses to speak during the briefings, wanting to hire 350 nurses as they have about 400 staff infected or in quarantine. And this is all with COVID plus regular stuff. We don't get flu bad here until Dec and January. We face being overrun and nurses will have to give less care to each patient causing other poor recovery and deaths. They are already spread so thin. The hospital system just gave them a 15% temp raise. If people will do what they KNOW they need to do...but they will not, and that is where we are here. The downplaying of the virus has convinced them that it's not a concern, and anyone who insists that it is, is suspect. This is what I have experienced personally from people in my own life.
I was encouraged yesterday that my inlaws respected us enough to put masks on and distance when they came to give my newly-18-year-old daughter her birthday gift, but we stipulated that as a must, otherwise they would not have. And they have not been at all careful. They do not care and do not care if they get it and spread it. But my elderly Dad does care, so I care, and I'm not going to be a part of contributing to the spread in my community. They clearly think we are crazy
We are all free to make choices, but we are not free from the consequences of those choices.
Unfortunately, many are unable to recognize them. Many don't understand that their continual refusal to comply comes around and hurts them even if they don't get the virus. The state of the economy can't improve, more people can't be rehired, events can't be held, and schools can't stay in-person until they step up. Nothing will get better until the virus gets under control. Period. The country is stuck in a slow-burn and will be until next summer or longer. How awful it is as a whole will depend on whether or not people who aren't helping start helping control the spread. But here, the Christmas parade is still on Dec 5th. If things continue as they are re:guideline compliance, then our region is heading for a hard-candy Christmas, so to speak.
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MikePfirrman wrote: »My niece's little boy was in the hospital last night being tested. Not sure why she went to the hospital, though. Probably out of fear and habit. I know they are equipped to test, but the symptoms were a low grade fever and just lethargic and he's younger, like 6. I worry more about her, TBH, getting it or passing it to others.
It seems like PSA (Public Service Announcements) have been mostly non existent in many areas. Yes, you see educational stuff in stores, but information like what to do if you suspect you have it, aside from running to a test center, has been hit and miss in certain areas. Perhaps if we hadn't spent the last year arguing about masks or whether or not it was dangerous, we might have spent more time on public education geared toward prevention and stopping the public spread.
Here it's clear that if you think you've been exposed (or have it) you should be (1) tested, and (2) self isolate. We just got another announcement about doing that if you were a poll worker (I feel a bit bad as I said I thought it would be fine to do that, although I still do and still think it's important, but cases are also rising here faster than I expected -- yay, cities, I guess). Not sure what else they could tell people.
This is so frustrating, especially since it is still primarily in cities and Trump and McConnell don't seem to care at all about stuff that hurts people in cities, since we don't majority vote for them. And, yeah, that's likely not permitted, but I do think it's an important part of this discussion. (Jared specifically said it early on.)7 -
MikePfirrman wrote: »My niece's little boy was in the hospital last night being tested. Not sure why she went to the hospital, though. Probably out of fear and habit. I know they are equipped to test, but the symptoms were a low grade fever and just lethargic and he's younger, like 6. I worry more about her, TBH, getting it or passing it to others.
It seems like PSA (Public Service Announcements) have been mostly non existent in many areas. Yes, you see educational stuff in stores, but information like what to do if you suspect you have it, aside from running to a test center, has been hit and miss in certain areas. Perhaps if we hadn't spent the last year arguing about masks or whether or not it was dangerous, we might have spent more time on public education geared toward prevention and stopping the public spread.
You're not wrong.
For TN, they say "we are doing a PSA campaign!!!" They do one ad for one week on one station in my area and then quit. The hospital system runs one regularly. It is still ignored. Those who do not want to follow the guidelines are suspicious and do not believe that the virus is real or that it is a big deal at all. It becomes increasingly clear that they will not hear at this point, no matter what is said, until the virus hurts them or someone they love. How do I know? 8 months in and it is still the same. The Gov has said it, the Health Commissioner tells it like it is, the hospital system is telling us "PLEASE!", but many respond with opposition and disbelief. This is my experience with many people in my area of northeast TN/southwest VA. The local social media comments section is bombarded with responses along those lines on every COVID news story.
Unfortunately, it looks like our country has build this rollercoaster, and we are locked into the harness already. If something doesn't change drastically in many states soon, and at this point I don't see that happening, then we'll be taking all the frightening plunges and turns all the way through, and it will not be a fun ride.
I hope your niece's little fella is feeling much better very soon.And that the test is negative.7 -
baconslave wrote: »MikePfirrman wrote: »My niece's little boy was in the hospital last night being tested. Not sure why she went to the hospital, though. Probably out of fear and habit. I know they are equipped to test, but the symptoms were a low grade fever and just lethargic and he's younger, like 6. I worry more about her, TBH, getting it or passing it to others.
It seems like PSA (Public Service Announcements) have been mostly non existent in many areas. Yes, you see educational stuff in stores, but information like what to do if you suspect you have it, aside from running to a test center, has been hit and miss in certain areas. Perhaps if we hadn't spent the last year arguing about masks or whether or not it was dangerous, we might have spent more time on public education geared toward prevention and stopping the public spread.
You're not wrong.
For TN, they say "we are doing a PSA campaign!!!" They do one ad for one week on one station in my area and then quit. The hospital system runs one regularly. It is still ignored. Those who do not want to follow the guidelines are suspicious and do not believe that the virus is real or that it is a big deal at all. It becomes increasingly clear that they will not hear at this point, no matter what is said, until the virus hurts them or someone they love. How do I know? 8 months in and it is still the same. The Gov has said it, the Health Commissioner tells it like it is, the hospital system is telling us "PLEASE!", but many respond with opposition and disbelief. This is my experience with many people in my area of northeast TN/southwest VA. The local social media comments section is bombarded with responses along those lines on every COVID news story.
Unfortunately, it looks like our country has build this rollercoaster, and we are locked into the harness already. If something doesn't change drastically in many states soon, and at this point I don't see that happening, then we'll be taking all the frightening plunges and turns all the way through, and it will not be a fun ride.
I hope your niece's little fella is feeling much better very soon.And that the test is negative.
I'm your neighbor to the north.
We hit the ground running in March and kept things lower than most of our neighbors. In hindsight, maybe we could have saved some of that energy. Because now, our governor seems to have no inclination to do anything other than color-code out counties and give "recommendations." Oh, and a mask mandate that doesn't really have much weight. And we're looking at numbers that are 10x what they were in the spring. My county had more cases in October than the preceding months combined, and we're on pace to beat October before this month's half over. It's raging.
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A couple of points:
It's allergy, flu, cold season. I know 2 people who assumed the person they were talking to had allergies or a cold and it turned out they were tested and positive for Covid19. We need to keep on our guard and alto we cannot think doom and gloom at the slightest symptom it would be more prudent to self isolate at that symptom vs risk others.
I also heard from a Dr friend that how severe the case may be could be directly related to the viral load you are exposed to. So, if you have a relative who gets sick don't assume "hey I am already exposed so no need for PPE" because if you continue to expose you could get a worse case.
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Our state is among the highest in cases, too. I missed most of it, but our Governor had a television announcement & had representatives from both major hospitals on also. Pleading with people to do the right thing, masks, social distance, etc. Still no mandates, tho, but will be having public service announcements on tv starting next week.
My daughter heard from a friend that their 10 month old grandson has it, the babies father, and not sure who else. And then I found out on Facebook that a woman I know (not close friend, but still know) just died of a Sudden Covid 19 death. She was probably about 50. Really hits home, this is not a hoax.10 -
I'm your neighbor to the north.
We hit the ground running in March and kept things lower than most of our neighbors. In hindsight, maybe we could have saved some of that energy. Because now, our governor seems to have no inclination to do anything other than color-code out counties and give "recommendations." Oh, and a mask mandate that doesn't really have much weight. And we're looking at numbers that are 10x what they were in the spring. My county had more cases in October than the preceding months combined, and we're on pace to beat October before this month's half over. It's raging.
If you are in KY then I am your neighbor in IN. And that is exactly what we are dealing with as well. One of the things that was actually said in the last live stream with the governor yesterday was that the states around us are also having problems and some of them have even stricter measures in place so obviously doing that doesn't work either. Like... WHAT?!?3 -
Also in KY, our hospitalization and ICU usage is going up at a pretty steady clip. Over 1000 hospitalized now.
I lost a great uncle on Monday, not to COVID but to cancer. I don't know what impact if any the pandemic had on his level of care, but I know he was stressed about all the everything that's going on. And that couldn't have been good. A few weeks prior I lost a friend who as only a few years older than me, also to cancer. Geez, what a downer these days are.10 -
Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO. The only category I found stupid were the "essential" liquor stores. But people have pointed out to me that alcoholics can die if forced to detox rapidly. I would not know as I have about 1 drink a month. In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed. My sons company was literally cut in half - 1500 to 750 employees, and good luck getting a new job. My son has a friend who is literally phone-crying on his shoulder. She was in the process of divorcing her husband when she was laid off. She has no income, no savings, and now cannot leave her husband, and sees no end in sight and is trapped. As for compliance, the worst compliance I encountered was in the state with the most strict rules at the time, Maine. Residents were terrible. Compliance slowly improved later in the summer, but was a real joke preceding July 4th. They would blame any transmission on "out of state visitors" yet locals were not wear masks nor social distancing.
As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down.
I will say that I honestly would not want to have the responsibility of dealing with the balance between shutting down to prevent viral spread, and the economic damage and destroyed lives that a shut down causes. I get to sit here and express my opinions with no repercussions for anyone.8 -
Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO. The only category I found stupid were the "essential" liquor stores. But people have pointed out to me that alcoholics can die if forced to detox rapidly. I would not know as I have about 1 drink a month. In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed. My sons company was literally cut in half - 1500 to 750 employees, and good luck getting a new job. My son has a friend who is literally phone-crying on his shoulder. She was in the process of divorcing her husband when she was laid off. She has no income, no savings, and now cannot leave her husband, and sees no end in sight and is trapped. As for compliance, the worst compliance I encountered was in the state with the most strict rules at the time, Maine. Residents were terrible. Compliance slowly improved later in the summer, but was a real joke preceding July 4th. They would blame any transmission on "out of state visitors" yet locals were not wear masks nor social distancing.
As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down.
I will say that I honestly would not want to have the responsibility of dealing with the balance between shutting down to prevent viral spread, and the economic damage and destroyed lives that a shut down causes. I get to sit here and express my opinions with no repercussions for anyone.
Maybe it's me getting more philosophical as I age or the Psych major in me, but as a consultant for businesses (from Fortune 100s to startups) for 25 years, I've seen the most successful businesses nearly always have common themes. A top down strategy that is communicated effectively from the top down to the lowest person in the organization, conformity/consistency of messaging and honesty/ethics. No matter what company I deal with, the ones that are the most successful and have the happiest employees seem to follow this pattern.
If you apply and contrast that to how our government has operated in this pandemic, it's pretty clear they failed miserably. And no matter who wins this election, the damage is already done and we are irreparably harmed.
I mentioned around 2 months ago that I thought we'd see a very dirty form of herd immunity before we saw vaccines. Not that I wanted to see that, but you could see the writing on the wall with people fighting mask mandates and common sense. I still think that's what we'll see. And I'm not sure, at this stage, uniformity of message will help. And that's sad.
You simply have to be as vigilant as you can be, even if that means sacrificing seeing family these upcoming Holidays and stay in the 30% to 50% that will stay safe until we have some form of herd immunity, vaccines, antibodies or treatments for everyone.8 -
MikePfirrman wrote: »Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO. The only category I found stupid were the "essential" liquor stores. But people have pointed out to me that alcoholics can die if forced to detox rapidly. I would not know as I have about 1 drink a month. In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed. My sons company was literally cut in half - 1500 to 750 employees, and good luck getting a new job. My son has a friend who is literally phone-crying on his shoulder. She was in the process of divorcing her husband when she was laid off. She has no income, no savings, and now cannot leave her husband, and sees no end in sight and is trapped. As for compliance, the worst compliance I encountered was in the state with the most strict rules at the time, Maine. Residents were terrible. Compliance slowly improved later in the summer, but was a real joke preceding July 4th. They would blame any transmission on "out of state visitors" yet locals were not wear masks nor social distancing.
As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down.
I will say that I honestly would not want to have the responsibility of dealing with the balance between shutting down to prevent viral spread, and the economic damage and destroyed lives that a shut down causes. I get to sit here and express my opinions with no repercussions for anyone.
Maybe it's me getting more philosophical as I age or the Psych major in me, but as a consultant for businesses (from Fortune 100s to startups) for 25 years, I've seen the most successful businesses nearly always have common themes. A top down strategy that is communicated effectively from the top down to the lowest person in the organization, conformity/consistency of messaging and honesty/ethics. No matter what company I deal with, the ones that are the most successful and have the happiest employees seem to follow this pattern.
If you apply and contrast that to how our government has operated in this pandemic, it's pretty clear they failed miserably. And no matter who wins this election, the damage is already done and we are irreparably harmed.
I mentioned around 2 months ago that I thought we'd see a very dirty form of herd immunity before we saw vaccines. Not that I wanted to see that, but you could see the writing on the wall with people fighting mask mandates and common sense. I still think that's what we'll see. And I'm not sure, at this stage, uniformity of message will help. And that's sad.
You simply have to be as vigilant as you can be, even if that means sacrificing seeing family these upcoming Holidays and stay in the 30% to 50% that will stay safe until we have some form of herd immunity, vaccines, antibodies or treatments for everyone.
I think your business analogy is spot on, and that does not exist, pre or post pandemic.3 -
Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO.
Probably similar to most states. Here we had groceries, liquor stores (although here one can buy booze in grocery stories), and Home Depot like stores open, and some pure gardening stores, although most went to delivery anyway.
"In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed."
Restaurants closed here, plus one book store I liked, I am sad. Would they have closed without the stay at home? Likely, as people's actions have changed independent of the state requirements. Do you have reason to think otherwise? Also, re people claiming the issue is states not opening up, what's not open?
"As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major [mayor?] makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down."
Here is a specific quote I was referring to:
"Most troubling of all, perhaps, was a sentiment the expert said a member of Kushner's team expressed: that because the virus had hit blue states hardest, a national plan was unnecessary and would not make sense politically. "The political folks believed that because it was going to be relegated to Democratic states, that they could blame those governors, and that would be an effective political strategy," said the expert."
That might be cool with you (it wouldn't affect FL), but I think it's relevant to what happened in the NE early on and what is happening generally in IL now, as well as early on.
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Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO.
Probably similar to most states. Here we had groceries, liquor stores (although here one can buy booze in grocery stories), and Home Depot like stores open, and some pure gardening stores, although most went to delivery anyway.
"In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed."
Restaurants closed here, plus one book store I liked, I am sad. Would they have closed without the stay at home? Likely, as people's actions have changed independent of the state requirements. Do you have reason to think otherwise? Also, re people claiming the issue is states not opening up, what's not open?
"As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major [mayor?] makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down."
Here is a specific quote I was referring to:
"Most troubling of all, perhaps, was a sentiment the expert said a member of Kushner's team expressed: that because the virus had hit blue states hardest, a national plan was unnecessary and would not make sense politically. "The political folks believed that because it was going to be relegated to Democratic states, that they could blame those governors, and that would be an effective political strategy," said the expert."
That might be cool with you (it wouldn't affect FL), but I think it's relevant to what happened in the NE early on and what is happening generally in IL now, as well as early on.
Wow! @lemurcat2 all I can say is that I truly hope that the team "member" was a disgruntled individual looking to stir the pot and that somehow that is false. But assuming it is an accurate statement, that is very disturbing and something I would not condone. Thank you for sharing.3 -
MikePfirrman wrote: »Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO. The only category I found stupid were the "essential" liquor stores. But people have pointed out to me that alcoholics can die if forced to detox rapidly. I would not know as I have about 1 drink a month. In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed. My sons company was literally cut in half - 1500 to 750 employees, and good luck getting a new job. My son has a friend who is literally phone-crying on his shoulder. She was in the process of divorcing her husband when she was laid off. She has no income, no savings, and now cannot leave her husband, and sees no end in sight and is trapped. As for compliance, the worst compliance I encountered was in the state with the most strict rules at the time, Maine. Residents were terrible. Compliance slowly improved later in the summer, but was a real joke preceding July 4th. They would blame any transmission on "out of state visitors" yet locals were not wear masks nor social distancing.
As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down.
I will say that I honestly would not want to have the responsibility of dealing with the balance between shutting down to prevent viral spread, and the economic damage and destroyed lives that a shut down causes. I get to sit here and express my opinions with no repercussions for anyone.
Maybe it's me getting more philosophical as I age or the Psych major in me, but as a consultant for businesses (from Fortune 100s to startups) for 25 years, I've seen the most successful businesses nearly always have common themes. A top down strategy that is communicated effectively from the top down to the lowest person in the organization, conformity/consistency of messaging and honesty/ethics. No matter what company I deal with, the ones that are the most successful and have the happiest employees seem to follow this pattern.
If you apply and contrast that to how our government has operated in this pandemic, it's pretty clear they failed miserably. And no matter who wins this election, the damage is already done and we are irreparably harmed.
I mentioned around 2 months ago that I thought we'd see a very dirty form of herd immunity before we saw vaccines. Not that I wanted to see that, but you could see the writing on the wall with people fighting mask mandates and common sense. I still think that's what we'll see. And I'm not sure, at this stage, uniformity of message will help. And that's sad.
You simply have to be as vigilant as you can be, even if that means sacrificing seeing family these upcoming Holidays and stay in the 30% to 50% that will stay safe until we have some form of herd immunity, vaccines, antibodies or treatments for everyone.
I disagree and don't expect that we will ever have herd immunity. It seems like the antibodies are lasting for only a few months and there have been a few cases of the same person getting infected twice. This also makes me wonder about the efficacy of a vaccine once it comes out. Assume everyone gets it (they won't) around the same time... you have a 3 month window where everyone has antibodies and nobody can spread it around. Theoretically, the virus could die out within that 3 month window. But that assumption is not realistic, so I'm not sure how that is supposed to work out.5 -
@T1DCarnivoreRunner
Natural herd immunity (direct infection by the virus) is dangerous and not as effective as herd immunity via vaccination.
Natural herd immunity may only provide neutralizing antibodies for a short period of time, and there are studies that determined that the number of neutralizing antibodies are in proportion to the original viral load.
Somebody that was infected by the virus and was mostly asymptomatic or with very mild side effects, may not have generated a large number of antibodies and their T-cells may have “limited memory.” And probably their antibodies were not considered “neutralizing abs.”
On the other hand, people that were very sick with the infection (due to a high viral load in their system), may have longer lasting antibodies and their T cells may also have a lasting memory. However, the risk of having autoimmune antibodies (antibodies attacking the body not the virus) may be present and that is dangerous.
A vaccine will always deliver a steady and even dose of antigen, and many vaccines were formulated to get a booster shot few months after the first inoculation. Finding a robust neutralizing response and preferable a long lasting response is the goal of vaccination. That is why we have clinical trials. Trust science!
https://www.businesslive.co.za/bd/world/2020-08-21-herd-immunity-through-infection-vs-vaccination/
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Yesterday's update...
4,462 new positive cases
45 new deaths
We only have 28.5% available ICU beds in the state. Luckily vents are a lot better at 77.1% available.
Glad I started stocking up a couple months ago. I could easily go without a grocery trip for awhile if I had to. It would mean a lot of meat, pasta, rice, and canned veggies but I could do it. Going to grab a few more things this weekend as well. Also stocked up on most of my meds. Need allergy pills, but otherwise have a couple months of everything else. TP is good. Next check I will do an Amazon order for kitty litter and a couple other things I get from them I need.
Even if the state doesn't do a shut down, I am going back to being more restricted myself. I admit, I started to slack. Ate out a few times (restaurant was mostly empty and they kept parties very separated), did some non necessary shopping, that sort of thing. I am gonna have to cut that out again. Only go out if I HAVE to like for groceries. Heck, I am even thinking of doing grocery delivery though I still am nervous about it due to my allergy issues. Going to look into it more just in case.5 -
T1DCarnivoreRunner wrote: »MikePfirrman wrote: »Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO. The only category I found stupid were the "essential" liquor stores. But people have pointed out to me that alcoholics can die if forced to detox rapidly. I would not know as I have about 1 drink a month. In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed. My sons company was literally cut in half - 1500 to 750 employees, and good luck getting a new job. My son has a friend who is literally phone-crying on his shoulder. She was in the process of divorcing her husband when she was laid off. She has no income, no savings, and now cannot leave her husband, and sees no end in sight and is trapped. As for compliance, the worst compliance I encountered was in the state with the most strict rules at the time, Maine. Residents were terrible. Compliance slowly improved later in the summer, but was a real joke preceding July 4th. They would blame any transmission on "out of state visitors" yet locals were not wear masks nor social distancing.
As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down.
I will say that I honestly would not want to have the responsibility of dealing with the balance between shutting down to prevent viral spread, and the economic damage and destroyed lives that a shut down causes. I get to sit here and express my opinions with no repercussions for anyone.
Maybe it's me getting more philosophical as I age or the Psych major in me, but as a consultant for businesses (from Fortune 100s to startups) for 25 years, I've seen the most successful businesses nearly always have common themes. A top down strategy that is communicated effectively from the top down to the lowest person in the organization, conformity/consistency of messaging and honesty/ethics. No matter what company I deal with, the ones that are the most successful and have the happiest employees seem to follow this pattern.
If you apply and contrast that to how our government has operated in this pandemic, it's pretty clear they failed miserably. And no matter who wins this election, the damage is already done and we are irreparably harmed.
I mentioned around 2 months ago that I thought we'd see a very dirty form of herd immunity before we saw vaccines. Not that I wanted to see that, but you could see the writing on the wall with people fighting mask mandates and common sense. I still think that's what we'll see. And I'm not sure, at this stage, uniformity of message will help. And that's sad.
You simply have to be as vigilant as you can be, even if that means sacrificing seeing family these upcoming Holidays and stay in the 30% to 50% that will stay safe until we have some form of herd immunity, vaccines, antibodies or treatments for everyone.
I disagree and don't expect that we will ever have herd immunity. It seems like the antibodies are lasting for only a few months and there have been a few cases of the same person getting infected twice. This also makes me wonder about the efficacy of a vaccine once it comes out. Assume everyone gets it (they won't) around the same time... you have a 3 month window where everyone has antibodies and nobody can spread it around. Theoretically, the virus could die out within that 3 month window. But that assumption is not realistic, so I'm not sure how that is supposed to work out.
But understand, what you're saying is that we'll all of a sudden all listen to reason, wear masks, comply with getting a universal vaccine and that the vaccine will work. Or perhaps you aren't. Either way, it's going to get really, really ugly before it's all said and done. And the election is done and it hasn't magically disappeared. I forget who said that
Some dirty form of Herd Immunity, at this stage, is the optimistic view. The pessimists view is this thing is seasonal, like the flu or the common cold, mutates to be more contagious, and is the most efficient killer of people with compromised immune systems we've ever seen.
I prefer the first scenario. Where people with sense protect themselves as well as possible and those that don't (along with, unfortunately, many who do), get it and then finally understand how dangerous this is. Refrigerated trucks as back up morgues are very compelling to change minds. It is coming to that very quickly right now. I don't mean to sound bleak, but we are going to see that very soon all over the states that don't believe in masks.5 -
Quote from a friend at a hospital: We're getting the first recovered nurses back from our big outbreak. They're worthless. 2 weeks out most of them aren't functional enough to work as a nurse. For example one today couldn't remember how to set up telemetry or keep train of thought long enough to accomplish a task. She couldn't even follow a TV show from scene to scene.21
-
Quote from a friend at a hospital: We're getting the first recovered nurses back from our big outbreak. They're worthless. 2 weeks out most of them aren't functional enough to work as a nurse. For example one today couldn't remember how to set up telemetry or keep train of thought long enough to accomplish a task. She couldn't even follow a TV show from scene to scene.
This wouldn't be surprising in how it impacts the brain as well, but they will or should recover. It might take some time. I'm less worried about people's brains than their lungs and heart. The brain has so much unused that most will recover. The heart, not so much. Every part of the heart is used. Same with the lungs. Those with decent immune systems should recover eventually. Those that have compromised ones will require long term care or have long term health issues.
@Gisel2015 - I do trust science will solve this eventually, but we're out time for this Fall and Winter. Even if they do have vaccines, only the first responders and most at risk should be able to get them now.2 -
Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO. The only category I found stupid were the "essential" liquor stores. But people have pointed out to me that alcoholics can die if forced to detox rapidly. I would not know as I have about 1 drink a month. In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed. My sons company was literally cut in half - 1500 to 750 employees, and good luck getting a new job. My son has a friend who is literally phone-crying on his shoulder. She was in the process of divorcing her husband when she was laid off. She has no income, no savings, and now cannot leave her husband, and sees no end in sight and is trapped. As for compliance, the worst compliance I encountered was in the state with the most strict rules at the time, Maine. Residents were terrible. Compliance slowly improved later in the summer, but was a real joke preceding July 4th. They would blame any transmission on "out of state visitors" yet locals were not wear masks nor social distancing.
As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down.
I will say that I honestly would not want to have the responsibility of dealing with the balance between shutting down to prevent viral spread, and the economic damage and destroyed lives that a shut down causes. I get to sit here and express my opinions with no repercussions for anyone.
None of the new restrictions in MA affect me, as I'm in for the night well before 10 PM, and have been acting as if the only business open were still supermarkets, Home Depot, and garden centers.
I wish the gathering restrictions had been in place this summer when four houses one street over were having very loud outdoor parties Every Freaking Weekend.
https://thehill.com/homenews/news/524760-new-coronavirus-restrictions-take-effect-in-massachusetts3 -
MikePfirrman wrote: »T1DCarnivoreRunner wrote: »MikePfirrman wrote: »Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO. The only category I found stupid were the "essential" liquor stores. But people have pointed out to me that alcoholics can die if forced to detox rapidly. I would not know as I have about 1 drink a month. In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed. My sons company was literally cut in half - 1500 to 750 employees, and good luck getting a new job. My son has a friend who is literally phone-crying on his shoulder. She was in the process of divorcing her husband when she was laid off. She has no income, no savings, and now cannot leave her husband, and sees no end in sight and is trapped. As for compliance, the worst compliance I encountered was in the state with the most strict rules at the time, Maine. Residents were terrible. Compliance slowly improved later in the summer, but was a real joke preceding July 4th. They would blame any transmission on "out of state visitors" yet locals were not wear masks nor social distancing.
As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down.
I will say that I honestly would not want to have the responsibility of dealing with the balance between shutting down to prevent viral spread, and the economic damage and destroyed lives that a shut down causes. I get to sit here and express my opinions with no repercussions for anyone.
Maybe it's me getting more philosophical as I age or the Psych major in me, but as a consultant for businesses (from Fortune 100s to startups) for 25 years, I've seen the most successful businesses nearly always have common themes. A top down strategy that is communicated effectively from the top down to the lowest person in the organization, conformity/consistency of messaging and honesty/ethics. No matter what company I deal with, the ones that are the most successful and have the happiest employees seem to follow this pattern.
If you apply and contrast that to how our government has operated in this pandemic, it's pretty clear they failed miserably. And no matter who wins this election, the damage is already done and we are irreparably harmed.
I mentioned around 2 months ago that I thought we'd see a very dirty form of herd immunity before we saw vaccines. Not that I wanted to see that, but you could see the writing on the wall with people fighting mask mandates and common sense. I still think that's what we'll see. And I'm not sure, at this stage, uniformity of message will help. And that's sad.
You simply have to be as vigilant as you can be, even if that means sacrificing seeing family these upcoming Holidays and stay in the 30% to 50% that will stay safe until we have some form of herd immunity, vaccines, antibodies or treatments for everyone.
I disagree and don't expect that we will ever have herd immunity. It seems like the antibodies are lasting for only a few months and there have been a few cases of the same person getting infected twice. This also makes me wonder about the efficacy of a vaccine once it comes out. Assume everyone gets it (they won't) around the same time... you have a 3 month window where everyone has antibodies and nobody can spread it around. Theoretically, the virus could die out within that 3 month window. But that assumption is not realistic, so I'm not sure how that is supposed to work out.
But understand, what you're saying is that we'll all of a sudden all listen to reason, wear masks, comply with getting a universal vaccine and that the vaccine will work. Or perhaps you aren't. Either way, it's going to get really, really ugly before it's all said and done. And the election is done and it hasn't magically disappeared. I forget who said that
Some dirty form of Herd Immunity, at this stage, is the optimistic view. The pessimists view is this thing is seasonal, like the flu or the common cold, mutates to be more contagious, and is the most efficient killer of people with compromised immune systems we've ever seen.
I prefer the first scenario. Where people with sense protect themselves as well as possible and those that don't (along with, unfortunately, many who do), get it and then finally understand how dangerous this is. Refrigerated trucks as back up morgues are very compelling to change minds. It is coming to that very quickly right now. I don't mean to sound bleak, but we are going to see that very soon all over the states that don't believe in masks.
We had refrigerated trucks as backup morgues staged here in TN back in April. Too many people don't care. We need a better plan, which needs to include forcing people to take proper actions like wearing masks.8 -
T1DCarnivoreRunner wrote: »MikePfirrman wrote: »T1DCarnivoreRunner wrote: »MikePfirrman wrote: »Chiming in and some of my experiences are different from those mentioned above. Since March, I have lived in 3 states; began the shutdown in florida, and then spent from May - Oct in Mass and Maine. As for not enough essential businesses being shut down, in Florida and Mass, things were shut down tight IMO. The only category I found stupid were the "essential" liquor stores. But people have pointed out to me that alcoholics can die if forced to detox rapidly. I would not know as I have about 1 drink a month. In both Florida and Mass, there are businesses closed forever because they were not considered "essential". All those people are now unemployed. My sons company was literally cut in half - 1500 to 750 employees, and good luck getting a new job. My son has a friend who is literally phone-crying on his shoulder. She was in the process of divorcing her husband when she was laid off. She has no income, no savings, and now cannot leave her husband, and sees no end in sight and is trapped. As for compliance, the worst compliance I encountered was in the state with the most strict rules at the time, Maine. Residents were terrible. Compliance slowly improved later in the summer, but was a real joke preceding July 4th. They would blame any transmission on "out of state visitors" yet locals were not wear masks nor social distancing.
As for our president ignoring cities, the Boston Major makes all kinds of rules and mandates and if he does not, our governor steps in. We just got new rules going into effect tomorrow night. It is all a tricky balance. There is finger pointing everywhere - lower government levels pointing up, and federal level pointing down.
I will say that I honestly would not want to have the responsibility of dealing with the balance between shutting down to prevent viral spread, and the economic damage and destroyed lives that a shut down causes. I get to sit here and express my opinions with no repercussions for anyone.
Maybe it's me getting more philosophical as I age or the Psych major in me, but as a consultant for businesses (from Fortune 100s to startups) for 25 years, I've seen the most successful businesses nearly always have common themes. A top down strategy that is communicated effectively from the top down to the lowest person in the organization, conformity/consistency of messaging and honesty/ethics. No matter what company I deal with, the ones that are the most successful and have the happiest employees seem to follow this pattern.
If you apply and contrast that to how our government has operated in this pandemic, it's pretty clear they failed miserably. And no matter who wins this election, the damage is already done and we are irreparably harmed.
I mentioned around 2 months ago that I thought we'd see a very dirty form of herd immunity before we saw vaccines. Not that I wanted to see that, but you could see the writing on the wall with people fighting mask mandates and common sense. I still think that's what we'll see. And I'm not sure, at this stage, uniformity of message will help. And that's sad.
You simply have to be as vigilant as you can be, even if that means sacrificing seeing family these upcoming Holidays and stay in the 30% to 50% that will stay safe until we have some form of herd immunity, vaccines, antibodies or treatments for everyone.
I disagree and don't expect that we will ever have herd immunity. It seems like the antibodies are lasting for only a few months and there have been a few cases of the same person getting infected twice. This also makes me wonder about the efficacy of a vaccine once it comes out. Assume everyone gets it (they won't) around the same time... you have a 3 month window where everyone has antibodies and nobody can spread it around. Theoretically, the virus could die out within that 3 month window. But that assumption is not realistic, so I'm not sure how that is supposed to work out.
But understand, what you're saying is that we'll all of a sudden all listen to reason, wear masks, comply with getting a universal vaccine and that the vaccine will work. Or perhaps you aren't. Either way, it's going to get really, really ugly before it's all said and done. And the election is done and it hasn't magically disappeared. I forget who said that
Some dirty form of Herd Immunity, at this stage, is the optimistic view. The pessimists view is this thing is seasonal, like the flu or the common cold, mutates to be more contagious, and is the most efficient killer of people with compromised immune systems we've ever seen.
I prefer the first scenario. Where people with sense protect themselves as well as possible and those that don't (along with, unfortunately, many who do), get it and then finally understand how dangerous this is. Refrigerated trucks as back up morgues are very compelling to change minds. It is coming to that very quickly right now. I don't mean to sound bleak, but we are going to see that very soon all over the states that don't believe in masks.
We had refrigerated trucks as backup morgues staged here in TN back in April. Too many people don't care. We need a better plan, which needs to include forcing people to take proper actions like wearing masks.
There are always going to be people that refuse to wear them and local politicians that refuse to enforce mandates. I wish we could have started with that and not made mask wearing political, things would be much, much different. That ship sailed long ago.13 -
And given that so many people wear their masks under their nose, having a mask mandate probably won't help. Even at restaurants, I see a lot of the waiters and waitresses with the mask down low so it is utterly useless. The grocery people seem to have gotten better about that, but in the early months half the checkout clerks wore their masks wrong, if they wore them at all.
6 -
May be any mandate could not only demand mask wearing but specify the way in which they are worn with fines for those not complying. With information to emphasise the way the virus moves atmospherically and remains on hard surfaces, staying active there for how ever many hours the scientists have worked out now, best scientific understanding. Information/ expectation.
My local authority UK had appointed marshals to work along side the police and other officials. My hope is they will not be over worked in this second lockdown.
Wishing everyone all the very best and willing everyone to keep safe.4
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