Coronavirus prep

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  • lemurcat2
    lemurcat2 Posts: 7,885 Member
    Elise4270 wrote: »
    lemurcat2 wrote: »
    Elise4270 wrote: »
    kshama2001 wrote: »
    Ruatine wrote: »
    vanityy99 wrote: »
    I heard somewhere in the media that America is two weeks away from what has happened in Italy... is that true or fake news?

    People have been saying that for almost 2 weeks now... so I guess we should see within the next 2-3 days.

    The US surgeon general said this on Monday.

    I've heard others saying it for quite a bit longer. It's one of those "tomorrow will never come" stories, right? As long as you say "2 weeks" every day for the next several months, it can never be proven wrong.

    What they've been saying is that we are following Italy's track, which of course has changed over time. I've seen nothing that disputes that.

    Re the Monday statement from the surgeon general:

    US surgeon general: US cases are where Italy was 2 weeks ago

    by: Associated Press

    Posted: Mar 16, 2020 / 09:44 AM CDT / Updated: Mar 16, 2020 / 09:44 AM CDT

    WASHINGTON — The U.S. surgeon general said Monday that the number of coronavirus cases in the United States has reached the level that Italy recorded two weeks ago, a sign that infections are expected to rise in America as the government steps up testing and financial markets continue to fall.

    “We are at a critical inflection point in this country, people. We are where Italy was two weeks ago in terms of our numbers,” U.S. Surgeon General Dr. Jerome Adams told Fox News. “When you look at the projections, there’s every chance that we could be Italy.”

    Two weeks ago, there were 1,700 cases of coronavirus in Italy and the country had reported 34 deaths. Now, Italy is reporting an estimated 25,000 cases and more than 1,800 people have died. There are about 3,800 cases reported in the United States and so far, more than 65 people have died from coronavirus.

    Read more: https://wgntv.com/news/coronavirus/us-surgeon-general-us-cases-are-where-italy-was-2-weeks-ago/

    CDC says 7000 cases in US and 97 deaths. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-in-us.html

    However Johns Hopkins says, 7300 and 115 deaths. Ok that’s not the difference I thought I saw the other day... https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html . Anyway I’m probably missing the point about Italy, we’re way past the 1700 unless that’s adjusted per capita.

    I would think adjusting per capita would be the right approach. But I don't think you can say precisely how many days behind we are and it likely varies some across the US given how big we are.

    Our numbers (in my city and state) are jumping quickly right now in response to increased testing (and we already had a lot more testing than a lot of places). I'm trying to remind myself it's just confirming what we already knew was the case--lots of unconfirmed cases had to be out there.

    Saw a guesstimate that for every one positive there are 50 unconfirmed due to testing limitations. So, I give up. Guess y’all can have my tp. 🤪 dh is concerned about looting. Said liquor stores are closed. I mean.. maybe? Can’t that be bought else where? Or made? Or traded? Not everyone is a mad alcoholic, right? And what do I care if they loot the liquor store? Is he asking me out on a date? 🤔

    Chicago Trib did a story on liquor sales: https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-coronavirus-liquor-stores-illinois-20200317-yeagx6ordrfidlthmdg3lukq44-story.html
  • Ruatine
    Ruatine Posts: 3,424 Member
    edited March 2020
    I do pray those of you in the path of severe storms fare well and keep your power on.

    Bexar county updated their virus numbers tonight. We're up to 25 cases now, 8 travel related, 4 close contact and the rest under investigation: https://www.sanantonio.gov/Health/News/Alerts/CoronaVirus

    Mind you, the city announced our first case on Friday morning, 3/13. That's a 2400% increase in cases diagnosed in less than a week, but unsurprising given that we're testing more. What is it... expect the numbers to double every day until they level out?

    I'm 99% sure the mayor knew the numbers when he had his press conference this afternoon, although they just went public a short time ago. I'm really hoping the additional emergency directives slow the curve way down to give our hospitals adequate time to cope.

    They're still not saying "community spread," but it seems unlikely to all be travel related. They technically could be... people coming back from spring break and all, but I won't be a bit surprised if one or more end up being community spread.
  • Ruatine
    Ruatine Posts: 3,424 Member
    lemurcat2 wrote: »
    Elise4270 wrote: »
    lemurcat2 wrote: »
    Elise4270 wrote: »
    kshama2001 wrote: »
    Ruatine wrote: »
    vanityy99 wrote: »
    I heard somewhere in the media that America is two weeks away from what has happened in Italy... is that true or fake news?

    People have been saying that for almost 2 weeks now... so I guess we should see within the next 2-3 days.

    The US surgeon general said this on Monday.

    I've heard others saying it for quite a bit longer. It's one of those "tomorrow will never come" stories, right? As long as you say "2 weeks" every day for the next several months, it can never be proven wrong.

    What they've been saying is that we are following Italy's track, which of course has changed over time. I've seen nothing that disputes that.

    Re the Monday statement from the surgeon general:

    US surgeon general: US cases are where Italy was 2 weeks ago

    by: Associated Press

    Posted: Mar 16, 2020 / 09:44 AM CDT / Updated: Mar 16, 2020 / 09:44 AM CDT

    WASHINGTON — The U.S. surgeon general said Monday that the number of coronavirus cases in the United States has reached the level that Italy recorded two weeks ago, a sign that infections are expected to rise in America as the government steps up testing and financial markets continue to fall.

    “We are at a critical inflection point in this country, people. We are where Italy was two weeks ago in terms of our numbers,” U.S. Surgeon General Dr. Jerome Adams told Fox News. “When you look at the projections, there’s every chance that we could be Italy.”

    Two weeks ago, there were 1,700 cases of coronavirus in Italy and the country had reported 34 deaths. Now, Italy is reporting an estimated 25,000 cases and more than 1,800 people have died. There are about 3,800 cases reported in the United States and so far, more than 65 people have died from coronavirus.

    Read more: https://wgntv.com/news/coronavirus/us-surgeon-general-us-cases-are-where-italy-was-2-weeks-ago/

    CDC says 7000 cases in US and 97 deaths. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-in-us.html

    However Johns Hopkins says, 7300 and 115 deaths. Ok that’s not the difference I thought I saw the other day... https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html . Anyway I’m probably missing the point about Italy, we’re way past the 1700 unless that’s adjusted per capita.

    I would think adjusting per capita would be the right approach. But I don't think you can say precisely how many days behind we are and it likely varies some across the US given how big we are.

    Our numbers (in my city and state) are jumping quickly right now in response to increased testing (and we already had a lot more testing than a lot of places). I'm trying to remind myself it's just confirming what we already knew was the case--lots of unconfirmed cases had to be out there.

    Saw a guesstimate that for every one positive there are 50 unconfirmed due to testing limitations. So, I give up. Guess y’all can have my tp. 🤪 dh is concerned about looting. Said liquor stores are closed. I mean.. maybe? Can’t that be bought else where? Or made? Or traded? Not everyone is a mad alcoholic, right? And what do I care if they loot the liquor store? Is he asking me out on a date? 🤔

    Chicago Trib did a story on liquor sales: https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-coronavirus-liquor-stores-illinois-20200317-yeagx6ordrfidlthmdg3lukq44-story.html

    This does not surprise me at all. :D
  • DecadeDuchess
    DecadeDuchess Posts: 315 Member
    edited March 2020
  • JaxxieKat
    JaxxieKat Posts: 427 Member
    One of the new protocol’s at my husband’s plant is supposed to be taking all employee’s temps before entry - except, they can’t get their hands on any scanner type thermometers!

    They're doing this at the factory my husband works at, and they're no longer using the fingerprint scanner to clock in and out. He said this morning they sent a guy away for clocking a fever and he pitched a fit 😳

  • lightenup2016
    lightenup2016 Posts: 1,055 Member

    I saw this headline this morning and was initially concerned, since my husband and kids are all type A (I'm type O). But in reading over the study results, the evidence doesn't look all that convincing. Definitely would need more research before I'd worry much over it. Of course, kids are seemingly unaffected anyway, but for my husband, anyway.
  • DecadeDuchess
    DecadeDuchess Posts: 315 Member

    I saw this headline this morning and was initially concerned, since my husband and kids are all type A (I'm type O). But in reading over the study results, the evidence doesn't look all that convincing. Definitely would need more research before I'd worry much over it. Of course, kids are seemingly unaffected anyway, but for my husband, anyway.

    You're correct, there isn't certainty yet but as an A, it'll still remain a concern of mine unless there's definitive proof otherwise.
  • Nony_Mouse
    Nony_Mouse Posts: 5,646 Member
    Lillymoo01 wrote: »
    Nony_Mouse wrote: »
    NZ's Prime Minister has just announced our border will be closed to non residents/citizens as of 11.59pm tonight.

    Can we trade PM's? She has done an amazing job since being elected with this, natural disasters, a terrorist attack and all while being a new mum too. I do admire her really.

    We really need to clone her, don't we? Jacinda for Supreme World Leader?

    As much as I am horrified by the speed at which things are happening now*, I actually feel pretty safe. A big part of that (okay, all of that) is because of the steps our government has taken.

    *I read an article today comparing this pandemic to the one depicted in the film Contagion (we should all thank our lucky stars that this isn't much, much worse), written a week ago. The death toll was 4100. It's now more than double that. In a week.
  • lynn_glenmont
    lynn_glenmont Posts: 10,093 Member
    OK - so I have an idea. Instead of relying on health officials to do all the legwork. How about we all keep a daily diary of the places we have been and the people we have been in contact with. That way if we do come down with the virus, we already have everything concisely in one place to notify others quickly to try to contain the spread. I know if someone from work called me and said, hey I just got tested positive and am sick, I would take a LOT stronger measures as far as my movements and letting others around me know.

    Google already knows all of this about us. Even if you have an iPhone, Google Maps collects location data in the background - that's why they make it for iPhone.

    If anybody asks them too, they can query their data to find out who's been in the same place at the same time with you. As long as you both have your phones, which covers most people. I hope they're doing that.

    you're assuming everyone has a phone connected to the internet at all times. I know quite a few folks who barely have a cell phone, let alone a smart phone.

    Your carrier knows your location (historically as well as current) so long as your phone is on and you're within an area that has service (not a dead zone). Even if you have a flip phone.
  • snowflake954
    snowflake954 Posts: 8,399 Member
    Dnarules wrote: »
    Dnarules wrote: »
    nutmegoreo wrote: »
    acpgee wrote: »
    My office has started dispensing latex gloves for the commute. We are asked not to wear them in the office. Most people are working from home already.

    What is their logic in not having employees wear gloves in the office? I'm asking sincerely, I'm not sure how to word it without sounding confrontational.

    It's airborne and we don't have enough gloves and masks for our first responders, do they don't want people panic buying them. The general public can wash their hands and not touch their faces. We NEED the docs, nurses, people that do X-Rays, hospital workers and first responders to have these for now. I see us in a couple of months having them for the general public (older and immuno compromised first).

    What is your evidence for it being airborne? I have seen nothing to suggest this.

    Yes, it is airborne for a minimum of 4 to 5 ft. That's why--masks. On a bus in China a man without a mask, who had the virus, sat in one of the back rows. People in the front of the bus were contaminated. The bus was not crowded. People wearing masks on the bus did not get the virus. The Chinese did extensive testing on this.

    That isn't airborne. It seems pedantic, but there's a difference between aerosol and airborne.

    Oh--thanks. I'm not at all sciencey and don't know the terms. Thanks for the correction. Just as long as people realize why we need "social distancing".

    I hope I didn't come off like a jerk. I very much appreciate your updates. And I think it is great how we are all learning.

    No, I appreciate it. Those of you who know more are nice enough to explain a few things. There are always many "lurkers" so I think it's helpful--even to say something dumb and be corrected. <3
  • Nony_Mouse
    Nony_Mouse Posts: 5,646 Member
    edited March 2020
    https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/120371192/coronavirus-heres-how-quickly-the-number-of-cases-can-escalate

    ETA - read a graph wrong on increase in Italy's death toll, but thought I'd leave the article link anyway.
  • amusedmonkey
    amusedmonkey Posts: 10,330 Member
    https://nypost.com/2020/03/17/first-dog-to-test-positive-for-coronavirus-has-died-in-hong-kong/

    This is unsettling. I hope there is more to the story. I thought transmitting it from humans to dogs was not possible.
  • GaleHawkins
    GaleHawkins Posts: 8,159 Member
    There are so many unknowns about this virus. It looks more like a 6-18 month event. It doesn't like heat and high humidity they say.anf summer can bring both in our area. Hopefully schools can restart this fall.
  • amusedmonkey
    amusedmonkey Posts: 10,330 Member
    https://nypost.com/2020/03/17/first-dog-to-test-positive-for-coronavirus-has-died-in-hong-kong/

    This is unsettling. I hope there is more to the story. I thought transmitting it from humans to dogs was not possible.

    Well in most of the article and linked articles, it says that they still aren't sure if the dog was infected as blood tests came back clear and it may have only been carrying the virus in its mouth and nose from “environmental contamination.” as the owner had the virus and consequently recovered.

    Worth noting also that the dog was 17 years old, it might also have just been it's time.

    I really hope so. I didn't have time to read the article but it caught my attention. Thank you for listing the main points.
  • missysippy930
    missysippy930 Posts: 2,577 Member
    According to CNN, cases have spiked in the US 40% in the last 24 hours. That’s a huge jump.